NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	79		Excitement	3.6 [1079]		MVP	Danny Granger (IND): +14.0%
Portland Trail Blazers	102		Comeback	1.8 [1062]		LVP	Troy Murphy (IND): -7.3%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danny Granger	0.14	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.00	0.01	22	62%	0.16	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Josh McRoberts	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	75%	0.00	1	0.00	2	50%	0.00
A.J. Price	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.02	5	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luther Head	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	1	0%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dahntay Jones	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	0.00	0.02	5	73%	0.02	3	-0.04	1	0%	-0.01
T.J. Ford	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	9	45%	0.02	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Brandon Rush	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	0.00	-0.04	9	28%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Earl Watson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	4	37%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mike Dunleavy	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	8	37%	-0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Roy Hibbert	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	5	40%	0.00	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Troy Murphy	-0.07	0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	7	37%	-0.03	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.11	0.02	0.00	11	68%	0.13	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.03
Jerryd Bayless	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.00	-0.02	6	83%	0.09	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Roy	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.01	-0.02	16	51%	0.07	1	0.00	11	91%	0.03
Juwan Howard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.00	-0.01	6	57%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.02	0.01	6	71%	0.08	3	-0.06	5	100%	0.02
Rudy Fernandez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.09	0.00	0.08	12	62%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Patty Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	3	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Ayres	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Martell Webster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0.02	6	43%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Marcus Camby	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	0.00	0.01	8	31%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dante Cunningham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	0.01	7	25%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.5	2.0	31.8	14.8	25.1	2.6	29.0	132.8
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +8.0%

POR +8.8%

POR +17.0%

POR +13.5%

POR +2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	POR	NBA	IND	POR	NBA
this game	14.8	16.7	15.3	84.9	113.3	106.0
season	14.2	16.7		102.2	108.8
opponent	15.6	15.1		106.3	105.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	15.0	14.1	16.1	14.2	14.8
POR	13.8	16.7	19.9	17.1	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh McRoberts	7	8	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-27	31	15.0	14.8	0.23	20.0	16.4	3.60
A.J. Price	25	26	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.14	-6	-17	11	15.6	14.5	1.17	16.8	16.7	0.12
Brandon Rush	64	62	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	0.10	-8	-15	7	14.4	15.6	-1.16	17.2	15.6	1.67
Luther Head	19	17	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.04	-7	-16	9	15.2	14.7	0.53	14.6	17.2	-2.56
Mike Dunleavy	26	25	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	0.09	-12	-11	-1	16.0	14.3	1.63	15.4	17.2	-1.83
Roy Hibbert	45	41	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.08	-6	-17	11	14.5	15.1	-0.57	17.3	16.2	1.05
T.J. Ford	61	61	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.06	-7	-16	9	14.3	15.7	-1.42	16.9	16.4	0.51
Dahntay Jones	38	38	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.19	-16	-7	-9	15.4	14.3	1.08	15.4	17.7	-2.30
Troy Murphy	53	53	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	0.23	-18	-5	-13	14.8	14.7	0.11	16.7	16.7	0.03
Danny Granger	71	66	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.28	-21	-2	-19	14.5	15.9	-1.41	16.7	16.9	-0.27
Earl Watson	56	53	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.06	-18	-5	-13	14.8	14.7	0.09	17.3	15.9	1.32

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rudy Fernandez	58	62	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.20	23	0	23	15.9	18.2	-2.27	15.1	14.2	0.94
Dante Cunningham	46	47	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.24	21	2	19	16.1	17.4	-1.25	15.8	13.8	2.03
Jerryd Bayless	32	35	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.28	22	1	21	14.6	17.9	-3.35	15.9	14.1	1.86
Marcus Camby	48	48	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.00	12	11	1	17.1	16.3	0.86	15.0	14.6	0.36
Brandon Roy	60	62	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.32	21	2	19	16.3	17.6	-1.32	15.3	13.7	1.56
Martell Webster	26	26	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.12	1	22	-21	16.8	16.7	0.12	14.0	15.1	-1.14
Juwan Howard	31	34	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.21	12	11	1	15.6	17.3	-1.74	14.5	15.0	-0.50
Andre Miller	48	48	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.04	3	20	-17	17.8	15.5	2.38	13.8	15.8	-2.05
LaMarcus Aldridge	48	50	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.04	3	20	-17	17.4	16.0	1.40	13.9	15.9	-2.00
Nicolas Batum	36	36	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.05	1	22	-21	18.7	15.4	3.29	13.9	15.3	-1.37
Patty Mills	10	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	25	-27	18.3	16.5	1.77	15.5	14.7	0.80
Jeff Ayres	7	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	25	-27	18.6	16.6	2.01	15.0	14.8	0.23

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.43,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.65,0.7,0.68,0.77,0.79,0.85,0.82,0.79,0.8,0.77,0.79,0.7,0.82,0.79,0.84,0.87,0.85,0.84,0.89,0.88,0.89,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 84, CHA 103	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.43,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.43,0.51,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.83,0.82,0.79,0.83,0.8,0.79,0.8,0.78,0.81,0.84,0.89,0.91,0.88,0.89,0.83,0.89,0.9,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%
POR 98, GSW 125	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.43,0.44,0.37,0.43,0.43,0.46,0.53,0.51,0.63,0.64,0.69,0.71,0.79,0.76,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.72,0.69,0.67,0.78,0.74,0.74,0.86,0.85,0.81,0.79,0.87,0.95,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%
MEM 87, TOR 94	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.4,0.41,0.39,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.73,0.76,0.78,0.79,0.8,0.81,0.87,0.86,0.8,0.83,0.88,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.91,0.9,0.89,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%