NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	105		Excitement	6.9 [411]		MVP	Mo Williams (UTA): +27.6%
Portland Trail Blazers	95		Comeback	14.3 [56]		LVP	Meyers Leonard (POR): -10.9%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mo Williams	0.28	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.2,0.09,0.27,0.28	0.11	0.16	0.00	19	64%	0.40	2	-0.13	6	100%	0.02
Randy Foye	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12	-0.00	0.12	-0.00	5	38%	0.12	0	0.00	3	100%	0.03
Derrick Favors	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.07	0.03	-0.00	8	68%	0.12	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.04
Gordon Hayward	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.00	8	62%	0.10	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Paul Millsap	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03	0.11	-0.02	0.05	14	74%	0.15	3	-0.12	6	83%	0.00
Jeremy Evans	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Jefferson	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.04	-0.03	0.01	21	52%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Marvin Williams	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alec Burks	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	6	17%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Tinsley	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	2	0%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.09	0.04	-0.00	6	89%	0.23	4	-0.11	7	86%	0.01
Eric Maynor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.06	-0.00	5	70%	0.11	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
JJ Hickson	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.03	0.01	11	65%	0.13	2	-0.06	4	25%	-0.06
Victor Claver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	6	46%	0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Luke Babbitt	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damian Lillard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.06,0.06,-0.03,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.04	-0.01	16	52%	0.15	2	-0.17	14	71%	0.01
Joel Freeland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Matthews	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.01	-0.09	-0.00	10	50%	-0.02	2	-0.07	4	100%	0.03
Meyers Leonard	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.04	-0.08	-0.01	11	50%	0.05	3	-0.16	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	1.6	27.4	15.7	27.3	2.6	36.4	136.2
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +14.0%

POR -3.6%

UTA +17.0%

UTA +24.7%

POR -2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	POR	NBA	UTA	POR	NBA
this game	16.5	14.6	15.4	112.9	103.3	104.1
season	16.0	15.8		104.6	104.3
opponent	15.3	15.1		107.6	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	18.5	17.2	15.2	15.2	16.5
POR	12.8	15.5	15.4	14.8	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mo Williams	59	59	0.81	-0.31	1.12	0.31	17	-7	24	15.9	17.6	-1.69	13.9	15.9	-1.93
Randy Foye	57	58	0.73	-0.23	0.95	0.26	16	-6	22	15.6	17.8	-2.16	14.2	15.4	-1.13
Gordon Hayward	78	77	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.31	8	2	6	16.6	15.9	0.74	14.4	15.7	-1.30
Derrick Favors	52	50	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.01	13	-3	16	15.8	17.4	-1.62	15.7	13.4	2.36
Paul Millsap	61	62	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.20	6	4	2	16.8	15.9	0.88	14.4	15.2	-0.83
Al Jefferson	73	71	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.27	2	8	-6	17.1	14.1	2.97	14.1	16.5	-2.44
Marvin Williams	25	23	0.05	0.45	-0.41	-0.01	2	8	-6	15.9	16.7	-0.83	14.6	14.7	-0.04
Jeremy Evans	4	5	-0.17	0.67	-0.83	-0.02	-5	15	-20	19.0	16.4	2.63	13.2	14.7	-1.52
Alec Burks	27	26	-0.24	0.74	-0.98	-0.15	-3	13	-16	16.9	16.3	0.57	16.1	14.1	2.05
Jamaal Tinsley	29	29	-0.30	0.80	-1.10	-0.13	-6	16	-22	17.9	15.8	2.05	16.5	13.8	2.69

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Maynor	38	42	0.41	-0.91	1.31	0.23	6	-16	22	14.8	14.5	0.30	17.1	16.0	1.07
Meyers Leonard	60	59	0.31	-0.81	1.11	0.01	10	-20	30	14.0	15.9	-1.94	18.5	13.0	5.45
Luke Babbitt	4	3	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.02	-1	-9	8	6.5	15.0	-8.51	11.0	16.7	-5.67
Victor Claver	32	34	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.00	-4	-6	2	15.7	14.0	1.70	16.8	16.3	0.44
Joel Freeland	27	28	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.02	-10	0	-10	15.5	14.3	1.19	14.7	17.2	-2.48
Nicolas Batum	77	79	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.24	-4	-6	2	14.0	18.1	-4.17	16.7	15.2	1.49
Wesley Matthews	73	73	-0.67	0.17	-0.83	-0.23	-15	5	-20	14.8	14.0	0.81	16.3	17.0	-0.66
Damian Lillard	79	77	-0.80	0.30	-1.10	-0.36	-15	5	-20	14.6	15.1	-0.51	15.9	19.2	-3.34
JJ Hickson	70	70	-0.95	0.45	-1.40	-0.45	-17	7	-24	15.4	12.2	3.23	15.8	18.7	-2.88

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.61,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.6,0.55,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.48,0.61,0.67,0.78,0.78,0.84,0.75,0.75,0.73,0.67,0.55,0.48,0.44,0.41,0.48,0.56,0.54,0.57,0.38,0.57,0.63,0.83,0.91,0.9,0.81,0.63,0.32,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 99, MIL 94	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.57,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.66,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.58,0.65,0.63,0.72,0.64,0.61,0.7,0.75,0.67,0.62,0.71,0.61,0.58,0.55,0.48,0.38,0.38,0.44,0.52,0.6,0.54,0.38,0.38,0.58,0.72,0.83,0.88,0.97,0.8,0.46,0.06,0.02,0	90.7%
SAS 107, SAC 100	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.6,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.68,0.69,0.67,0.69,0.83,0.78,0.78,0.84,0.86,0.8,0.78,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.7,0.63,0.48,0.52,0.62,0.77,0.66,0.67,0.68,0.83,0.8,0.74,0.81,0.54,0.14,0.04,0	89.7%
CHI 90, NYK 89	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.58,0.62,0.55,0.49,0.58,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.41,0.41,0.49,0.52,0.62,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.74,0.81,0.67,0.75,0.63,0.41,0.26,0	89.6%