NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	92		Excitement	6.9 [412]		MVP	Tobias Harris (ORL): +25.2%
Orlando Magic	97		Comeback	1.6 [422]		LVP	John Wall (WAS): -13.8%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Martell Webster	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.04	-0.00	18	47%	0.07	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.04
Emeka Okafor	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	0.01	5	64%	0.05	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.01
Jan Vesely	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
A.J. Price	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Cartier Martin	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Singleton	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	100%	0.02	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Garrett Temple	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	9	35%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Trevor Ariza	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	6	42%	-0.00	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Booker	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	7	44%	-0.03	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Kevin Seraphin	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	5	40%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
John Wall	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.02,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.14	-0.01	-0.11	0.01	28	50%	0.02	4	-0.16	14	86%	0.06

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tobias Harris	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.25	0.25	0.14	0.10	-0.01	21	61%	0.29	1	-0.03	7	86%	0.05
E'Twaun Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.05	0.08	-0.03	13	56%	0.16	1	-0.01	1	0%	-0.02
Andrew Nicholson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	12	54%	0.06	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Maurice Harkless	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	17	45%	0.03	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Beno Udrih	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	8	45%	0.02	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.02
Kyle O'Quinn	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	4	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jameer Nelson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
DeQuan Jones	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Doron Lamb	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	4	25%	-0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	1.7	29.9	15.5	26.4	1.8	37.0	136.0
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +52.9%

WAS -11.8%

WAS -13.7%

ORL +21.6%

ORL +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	ORL	NBA	WAS	ORL	NBA
this game	15.5	15.8	15.4	100.0	105.4	104.1
season	15.1	15.5		98.8	100.3
opponent	15.3	15.7		107.7	101.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	16.5	15.5	16.6	13.6	15.5
ORL	16.3	13.9	16.9	16.4	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Emeka Okafor	59	59	0.07	-0.57	0.65	-0.19	9	-14	23	15.3	15.8	-0.47	15.4	16.6	-1.19
Chris Singleton	11	10	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.02	-2	-3	1	15.3	15.5	-0.25	19.4	15.4	4.02
Trevor Booker	47	49	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.09	1	-6	7	16.3	14.6	1.65	15.5	16.2	-0.74
Jan Vesely	5	4	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.05	-4	-1	-3	19.2	15.3	3.92	11.5	16.0	-4.51
Cartier Martin	9	9	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	0.04	-4	-1	-3	14.6	15.6	-1.03	14.9	15.9	-1.03
Garrett Temple	66	65	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.28	6	-11	17	15.6	15.3	0.25	16.7	13.8	2.88
Martell Webster	74	76	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.33	4	-9	13	15.6	15.1	0.54	15.7	16.2	-0.53
A.J. Price	32	31	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.26	-3	-2	-1	15.6	15.4	0.21	17.2	15.1	2.13
John Wall	74	74	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.31	-5	0	-5	15.5	15.6	-0.15	15.1	18.8	-3.68
Kevin Seraphin	33	33	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	-0.16	-14	9	-23	15.8	15.3	0.47	16.6	15.4	1.19
Trevor Ariza	50	50	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.26	-13	8	-21	14.3	16.9	-2.65	15.2	16.6	-1.39

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrew Nicholson	53	54	0.89	-0.39	1.27	0.30	20	-15	35	15.8	15.8	0.04	15.1	16.0	-0.92
E'Twaun Moore	60	59	0.82	-0.32	1.15	0.32	17	-12	29	15.5	16.5	-1.00	15.5	15.5	-0.04
Beno Udrih	59	61	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.22	10	-5	15	15.4	16.6	-1.23	15.2	16.1	-0.87
Tobias Harris	86	86	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.41	-3	8	-11	16.2	10.5	5.69	15.3	18.7	-3.40
Doron Lamb	26	25	0.32	0.18	0.15	-0.03	12	-7	19	14.1	16.5	-2.37	16.7	15.0	1.69
Maurice Harkless	79	79	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.45	-9	14	-23	16.6	11.2	5.43	15.1	17.9	-2.83
Jameer Nelson	17	16	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.04	-4	9	-13	15.4	15.9	-0.49	16.0	15.4	0.62
Kyle O'Quinn	41	41	-0.20	0.70	-0.91	-0.03	-6	11	-17	15.6	16.0	-0.46	17.1	14.2	2.90
DeQuan Jones	39	39	-0.28	0.78	-1.06	0.07	-12	17	-29	16.2	15.5	0.68	15.1	15.8	-0.67

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.74,0.71,0.81,0.79,0.86,0.82,0.86,0.77,0.64,0.52,0.55,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.6,0.71,0.78,0.74,0.75,0.62,0.68,0.7,0.81,0.86,0.81,0.93,0.94,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 100, SAC 109	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.41,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.45,0.47,0.56,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.75,0.78,0.8,0.81,0.8,0.69,0.64,0.55,0.58,0.48,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.64,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.87,0.81,0.79,0.71,0.73,0.85,0.89,0.95,1,1	92.6%
NOP 106, GSW 116	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.56,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.56,0.66,0.76,0.84,0.93,0.89,0.86,0.88,0.84,0.87,0.78,0.61,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.68,0.74,0.66,0.71,0.71,0.73,0.64,0.76,0.86,0.93,0.93,1,1,1	92.4%
NYK 86, LAC 99	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.74,0.77,0.88,0.78,0.78,0.63,0.69,0.58,0.48,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.57,0.7,0.72,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.72,0.89,0.91,0.91,0.95,0.99,0.99,1,1	92.3%