NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	106		Excitement	6.5 [551]		MVP	Stephen Curry (GSW): +43.3%
Golden State Warriors	116		Comeback	1.5 [1222]		LVP	Terrence Jones (NOP): -11.8%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dante Cunningham	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.04	0.02	5	80%	0.11	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Davis	0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.14,0.11,0.12,0.16,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.13	-0.02	0.06	18	67%	0.14	3	-0.09	13	77%	0.03
Buddy Hield	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.02	0.02	-0.02	10	45%	0.08	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Langston Galloway	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.02	0.04	-0.00	8	47%	0.05	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.02
Omer Asik	0.02	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.02	6	53%	0.02	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.02
Alexis Ajinca	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	83%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
E'Twaun Moore	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.06,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.03	-0.01	11	62%	0.12	3	-0.13	2	100%	0.01
Solomon Hill	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	0.01	-0.01	4	20%	-0.02	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Tim Frazier	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.02	0.03	11	54%	-0.00	4	-0.08	2	100%	0.02
Terrence Jones	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.07	-0.05	0.00	5	40%	-0.03	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephen Curry	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.17,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.21,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.22,0.22,0.27,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.38,0.43,0.43,0.43	0.43	0.34	0.11	0.02	26	85%	0.50	4	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Klay Thompson	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.10	0.04	0.05	20	60%	0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
David West	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.05	0.00	5	67%	0.10	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Kevin Durant	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.01	0.06	-0.00	17	55%	0.13	4	-0.07	6	83%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.03	0.00	4	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevon Looney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ian Clark	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Draymond Green	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	-0.00	-0.03	7	29%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	4	20%	-0.07	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.6	28.8	15.4	27.4	2.0	30.2	130.7
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +36.4%

NOP -9.9%

NOP -1.0%

GSW +33.9%

NOP -9.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	GSW	NBA	NOP	GSW	NBA
this game	14.6	13.9	14.8	106.0	113.7	107.7
season	14.1	13.5		104.1	114.9
opponent	15.1	15.0		103.3	106.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	15.0	13.2	15.0	15.4	14.6
GSW	12.2	13.4	13.8	16.6	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Omer Asik	30	30	0.43	-0.93	1.37	-0.07	17	-27	44	16.0	14.0	1.92	13.4	14.1	-0.76
Alexis Ajinca	13	13	0.02	-0.52	0.54	0.02	0	-10	10	13.7	14.8	-1.07	14.2	13.9	0.38
Solomon Hill	69	69	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.13	4	-14	18	14.4	15.0	-0.60	13.4	14.8	-1.40
Tim Frazier	68	69	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.09	-2	-8	6	14.4	15.1	-0.70	13.3	15.1	-1.76
Anthony Davis	73	75	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.16	-6	-4	-2	14.8	14.1	0.65	13.4	15.2	-1.80
Buddy Hield	60	62	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.10	-10	0	-10	13.7	15.9	-2.22	13.5	14.6	-1.15
Langston Galloway	42	44	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.15	-9	-1	-8	14.7	14.6	0.08	14.6	13.4	1.17
Terrence Jones	30	31	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.07	-12	2	-14	14.9	14.5	0.45	14.2	13.8	0.47
E'Twaun Moore	63	64	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.20	-8	-2	-6	14.7	14.4	0.34	15.0	12.1	2.86
Dante Cunningham	52	53	-0.81	0.31	-1.11	-0.10	-24	14	-38	15.0	14.2	0.83	14.6	13.1	1.50

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andre Iguodala	67	65	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.02	19	-9	28	14.3	13.1	1.16	13.8	16.2	-2.39
Stephen Curry	78	76	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.22	7	3	4	13.6	15.0	-1.49	14.2	16.0	-1.87
Shaun Livingston	34	34	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.08	9	1	8	14.9	13.4	1.47	15.7	14.1	1.65
Ian Clark	27	27	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.12	7	3	4	13.4	14.1	-0.72	14.3	14.8	-0.49
David West	30	29	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.06	9	1	8	15.3	13.3	1.98	14.8	14.6	0.20
Draymond Green	75	73	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.19	4	6	-2	13.6	14.7	-1.14	14.4	15.3	-0.88
Klay Thompson	80	78	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.15	3	7	-4	14.2	12.9	1.27	14.7	14.3	0.45
Kevin Durant	76	76	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.13	3	7	-4	13.6	14.9	-1.37	15.2	12.7	2.46
Kevon Looney	20	18	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.04	3	7	-4	13.3	14.0	-0.69	12.9	15.0	-2.04
Zaza Pachulia	23	24	-0.33	0.83	-1.16	0.08	-14	24	-38	13.0	14.2	-1.22	16.8	13.9	2.86

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.56,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.56,0.66,0.76,0.84,0.93,0.89,0.86,0.88,0.84,0.87,0.78,0.61,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.68,0.74,0.66,0.71,0.71,0.73,0.64,0.76,0.86,0.93,0.93,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 99, UTA 105	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.6,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.7,0.73,0.74,0.77,0.8,0.9,0.89,0.86,0.87,0.81,0.76,0.71,0.55,0.54,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.78,0.78,0.82,0.73,0.68,0.69,0.88,0.93,0.95,0.99,0.99,0.99,1	92.7%
WAS 92, ORL 97	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.74,0.71,0.81,0.79,0.86,0.82,0.86,0.77,0.64,0.52,0.55,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.6,0.71,0.78,0.74,0.75,0.62,0.68,0.7,0.81,0.86,0.81,0.93,0.94,0.98,1	92.4%
NOP 97, SAS 110	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.39,0.36,0.38,0.45,0.45,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.69,0.7,0.73,0.79,0.86,0.85,0.73,0.67,0.74,0.59,0.56,0.48,0.56,0.6,0.66,0.74,0.62,0.7,0.68,0.79,0.76,0.91,0.98,1,1,1,1	91.5%