NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	105		Excitement	5.4 [708]		MVP	Chauncey Billups (LAC): +15.9%
New Orleans Hornets	91		Comeback	2.0 [795]		LVP	Greivis Vasquez (NOH): -6.5%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chauncey Billups	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.11	0.05	0.00	6	92%	0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Blake Griffin	0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.06	0.04	-0.00	12	59%	0.13	1	-0.02	8	87%	0.03
Eric Bledsoe	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.05	-0.00	1	100%	0.12	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
Jamal Crawford	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.01	0.06	-0.01	12	54%	0.12	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Willie Green	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.02	0.00	4	75%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.01	3	87%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Caron Butler	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.00	0.02	10	57%	0.06	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
Ryan Hollins	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	60%	0.04	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Matt Barnes	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.03	0.02	9	44%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Paul	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.02	0.01	13	48%	0.06	3	-0.08	7	86%	0.03

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Davis	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.09	0.06	0.01	13	66%	0.17	1	-0.03	3	33%	-0.04
Roger Mason Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.01	0.00	2	86%	0.08	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Darius Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	1	150%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Gordon	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.04	0.04	18	56%	0.09	2	-0.04	7	86%	-0.00
Brian Roberts	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.02	0.00	8	59%	0.02	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Lou Amundson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	0	75%	0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Robin Lopez	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0	0.00	-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	13	46%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Al-Farouq Aminu	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	5	42%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Terrel Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	9	40%	-0.00	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Greivis Vasquez	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.09	-0.01	-0.04	2	0%	-0.01	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.7	2.8	28.4	15.5	28.4	2.4	32.3	137.4
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +25.8%

LAC +14.8%

LAC +1.0%

LAC +8.2%

LAC +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	NOH	NBA	LAC	NOH	NBA
this game	17.5	16.4	15.4	123.5	107.1	104.1
season	15.6	16.3		109.0	103.9
opponent	15.6	15.7		108.1	102.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	15.1	15.5	18.3	22.0	17.5
NOH	14.9	17.2	16.9	16.8	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chauncey Billups	26	26	0.38	0.12	0.27	-0.06	15	-1	16	16.0	18.2	-2.11	15.8	16.6	-0.87
DeAndre Jordan	50	49	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.00	12	2	10	16.8	18.5	-1.76	16.8	15.7	1.09
Matt Barnes	37	36	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.11	6	8	-2	18.8	16.5	2.22	16.2	16.5	-0.36
Eric Bledsoe	27	24	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.28	0	14	-14	19.9	16.4	3.49	18.1	15.7	2.38
Blake Griffin	63	65	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.10	13	1	12	17.3	18.0	-0.73	15.8	18.3	-2.58
Jamal Crawford	42	41	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.02	8	6	2	17.2	17.8	-0.67	16.4	16.4	0.03
Lamar Odom	22	20	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.19	1	13	-12	18.0	17.3	0.73	18.3	15.8	2.58
Caron Butler	48	49	0.22	0.28	-0.07	-0.02	8	6	2	16.5	18.8	-2.22	16.5	16.2	0.36
Chris Paul	60	63	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.08	10	4	6	17.1	18.5	-1.38	15.6	18.6	-2.99
Ryan Hollins	35	36	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.09	2	12	-10	18.5	16.8	1.76	15.7	16.8	-1.09
Willie Green	15	16	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.02	-5	19	-24	18.3	17.3	1.00	17.8	16.0	1.77

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darius Miller	40	39	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.16	6	-20	26	15.8	16.8	-0.99	18.4	16.7	1.72
Lou Amundson	12	13	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.10	3	-17	20	13.8	16.8	-2.96	17.2	17.6	-0.32
Eric Gordon	62	61	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.05	-3	-11	8	16.4	16.3	0.04	17.6	17.2	0.41
Ryan Anderson	37	38	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.05	-2	-12	10	16.3	16.4	-0.09	17.4	17.6	-0.20
Terrel Harris	2	2	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.01	-6	-8	2	1.5	16.7	-15.23	12.5	17.6	-5.13
Roger Mason Jr.	20	19	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.15	-1	-13	12	17.5	16.0	1.53	16.9	17.7	-0.79
Greivis Vasquez	47	47	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.03	-8	-6	-2	16.5	16.2	0.30	19.0	15.7	3.29
Al-Farouq Aminu	35	36	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.09	-14	0	-14	16.3	16.4	-0.15	16.0	18.6	-2.66
Robin Lopez	52	51	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.10	-8	-6	-2	16.5	16.2	0.27	17.6	17.3	0.35
Anthony Davis	69	68	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	0.07	-21	7	-28	16.8	14.7	2.08	17.5	17.5	0.04
Brian Roberts	49	51	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.08	-16	2	-18	16.9	15.7	1.13	16.8	18.6	-1.75

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.55,0.47,0.45,0.37,0.4,0.45,0.53,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.27,0.31,0.26,0.22,0.25,0.36,0.35,0.32,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.18,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 96, CLE 83	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.37,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.56,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.41,0.33,0.27,0.31,0.25,0.32,0.33,0.42,0.44,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.26,0.3,0.21,0.17,0.15,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0	93.3%
TOR 100, ATL 88	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.4,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.3,0.2,0.27,0.4,0.31,0.36,0.3,0.26,0.25,0.28,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.3,0.18,0.17,0.12,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.07,0.03,0,0	92.9%
HOU 88, LAC 71	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.44,0.5,0.38,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.21,0.26,0.29,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.43,0.33,0.13,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	92.7%