NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	100		Excitement	5.7 [646]		MVP	T.J. Ford (TOR): +17.8%
Atlanta Hawks	88		Comeback	2.0 [626]		LVP	Josh Smith (ATL): -27.4%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
T.J. Ford	0.18	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.15	0.04	0.01	15	72%	0.25	2	-0.07	6	67%	-0.02
Jose Calderon	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12	0.11	0.03	0.02	6	94%	0.13	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.00
Anthony Parker	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.08	0.02	-0.01	8	63%	0.11	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Jamario Moon	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.04	-0.01	8	50%	0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Joey Graham	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	2	67%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Chris Bosh	0.03	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	-0.01	-0.02	17	53%	0.08	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Juan Dixon	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	0	100%	0.00	0	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Jason Kapono	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kris Humphries	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	7	31%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Andrea Bargnani	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.02	0.00	4	0%	-0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Delfino	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	6	21%	-0.08	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Rasho Nesterovic	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	6	17%	-0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Josh Childress	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.09	0.02	-0.02	7	72%	0.12	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Marvin Williams	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.09	-0.02	0.02	15	61%	0.08	1	-0.04	8	87%	0.01
Joe Johnson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.09	-0.03	0.02	18	57%	0.05	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.02
Salim Stoudamire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mario West	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Acie Law	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.02	-0.00	5	20%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	7	37%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Shelden Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	6	37%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Al Horford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	10	45%	-0.03	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Josh Smith	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.22,-0.22,-0.24,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27	-0.27	-0.25	-0.05	-0.03	11	21%	-0.11	7	-0.16	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	1.8	29.1	16.3	25.2	1.8	39.2	136.9
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +42.5%

ATL -0.9%

TOR +0.7%

TOR +5.4%

TOR +2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	ATL	NBA	TOR	ATL	NBA
this game	15.2	15.6	15.4	106.4	94.6	105.7
season	15.6	15.4		108.5	104.2
opponent	15.7	15.7		107.2	105.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	13.7	13.2	16.4	18.4	15.2
ATL	14.6	15.0	17.1	15.9	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jamario Moon	68	67	0.66	-0.16	0.81	0.01	22	-10	32	14.9	16.2	-1.27	15.5	15.7	-0.12
Anthony Parker	70	71	0.56	-0.06	0.63	-0.05	21	-9	30	14.3	18.1	-3.83	15.6	15.3	0.33
Kris Humphries	36	35	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.16	9	3	6	16.1	14.7	1.33	17.5	14.4	3.07
Chris Bosh	76	76	0.38	0.12	0.25	-0.01	13	-1	14	14.7	17.6	-2.94	15.3	16.6	-1.32
Joey Graham	11	11	0.34	0.17	0.17	0.13	7	5	2	18.2	14.8	3.34	16.9	15.4	1.52
Jose Calderon	32	34	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.06	12	0	12	16.5	14.6	1.97	16.1	15.3	0.77
T.J. Ford	62	59	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.21	0	12	-12	14.6	16.5	-1.97	15.3	16.1	-0.77
Rasho Nesterovic	51	51	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.08	3	9	-6	14.4	16.2	-1.84	14.7	16.6	-1.96
Andrea Bargnani	22	20	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.17	-5	17	-22	18.0	14.4	3.55	16.3	15.4	0.99
Juan Dixon	3	4	0.00	0.50	-0.49	-0.11	4	8	-4	14.0	15.3	-1.27	10.7	15.8	-5.04
Jason Kapono	10	11	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	0.09	-9	21	-30	14.3	15.3	-1.05	13.5	15.9	-2.40
Carlos Delfino	29	26	-0.38	0.88	-1.25	0.12	-17	29	-46	17.6	14.2	3.45	15.8	15.5	0.28

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shelden Williams	47	47	0.14	-0.64	0.78	-0.12	9	-21	30	15.6	15.5	0.14	17.2	13.3	3.96
Acie Law	39	40	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.16	6	-18	24	16.5	14.9	1.58	16.6	14.2	2.33
Mario West	1	0	0.00	-0.50	0.51	0.00	0	-12	12	0.0	15.7	-15.74	0.0	15.2	-15.23
Salim Stoudamire	4	3	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	0.11	-4	-8	4	10.7	15.8	-5.04	14.0	15.3	-1.27
Josh Childress	52	54	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.12	-5	-7	2	16.4	14.5	1.89	16.1	14.0	2.06
Marvin Williams	67	69	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.23	-3	-9	6	14.4	18.6	-4.23	15.5	14.5	0.97
Anthony Johnson	51	51	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.00	-13	1	-14	15.0	16.2	-1.18	13.7	17.0	-3.34
Josh Smith	58	59	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.07	-15	3	-18	15.0	16.6	-1.61	14.1	17.1	-3.00
Joe Johnson	69	68	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	0.06	-21	9	-30	16.2	13.8	2.40	14.6	16.8	-2.18
Al Horford	77	79	-0.63	0.13	-0.75	-0.22	-14	2	-16	16.2	12.4	3.86	14.9	16.8	-1.86

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.4,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.3,0.2,0.27,0.4,0.31,0.36,0.3,0.26,0.25,0.28,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.3,0.18,0.17,0.12,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.07,0.03,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 114, PHX 97	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.3,0.22,0.16,0.18,0.3,0.37,0.33,0.32,0.39,0.31,0.27,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.22,0.18,0.17,0.12,0.06,0.02,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0	93.9%
SAS 106, SAC 88	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.52,0.46,0.36,0.31,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.31,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.48,0.35,0.23,0.14,0.23,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.22,0.33,0.14,0.23,0.1,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	92.9%
LAC 105, NOH 91	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.55,0.47,0.45,0.37,0.4,0.45,0.53,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.27,0.31,0.26,0.22,0.25,0.36,0.35,0.32,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.18,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0	92.9%