NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	106		Excitement	5.9 [642]		MVP	Kawhi Leonard (SAS): +20.9%
Sacramento Kings	88		Comeback	1.5 [962]		LVP	Rajon Rondo (SAC): -27.0%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kawhi Leonard	0.21	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.22	0.03	0.04	13	86%	0.21	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Tony Parker	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.02	-0.02	10	65%	0.12	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
David West	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.05	0.02	5	80%	0.11	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	4	75%	0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Patty Mills	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.1,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.03	-0.01	11	41%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Rasual Butler	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.02	5	60%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ray McCallum	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Boban Marjanovic	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.04	-0.00	0.04	12	62%	0.04	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Tim Duncan	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	8	55%	0.04	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.01
Kyle Anderson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Green	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	6	42%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Manu Ginobili	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	0.00	-0.00	7	35%	0.01	3	-0.09	3	67%	-0.01

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Omri Casspi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.07	0.07	-0.01	14	57%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marco Belinelli	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.02	0.01	13	65%	0.11	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Willie Cauley-Stein	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben McLemore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.00	6	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
James Anderson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Acy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	150%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kosta Koufos	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	2	33%	-0.02	1	-0.04	2	0%	-0.03
DeMarcus Cousins	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.07,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.15	-0.03	-0.08	20	38%	-0.04	4	-0.06	15	73%	0.01
Rudy Gay	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	15	33%	-0.05	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27	-0.27	-0.21	-0.10	-0.03	10	40%	-0.05	9	-0.22	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.6	2.5	28.4	15.5	27.5	2.5	25.5	123.4
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +48.9%

SAC -4.0%

SAC -0.7%

SAS +1.8%

SAS +4.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	SAC	NBA	SAS	SAC	NBA
this game	14.4	14.7	14.9	107.1	88.9	105.1
season	15.7	13.9		109.0	104.8
opponent	14.6	14.7		107.1	97.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	15.1	14.4	15.4	13.0	14.4
SAC	14.9	14.4	15.2	14.2	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kawhi Leonard	65	67	0.68	-0.18	0.87	-0.23	31	-13	44	13.9	15.4	-1.53	15.3	13.5	1.75
Danny Green	57	56	0.47	0.03	0.43	-0.15	21	-3	24	14.2	14.7	-0.58	15.0	14.3	0.64
Tim Duncan	48	47	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.05	11	7	4	15.0	13.9	1.12	14.8	14.6	0.23
Tony Parker	44	43	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.05	9	9	0	15.0	13.9	1.03	15.0	14.4	0.64
LaMarcus Aldridge	53	52	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.15	14	4	10	14.6	14.1	0.51	14.7	14.7	0.01
Patty Mills	49	50	0.19	0.31	-0.13	-0.14	11	7	4	13.3	15.5	-2.21	14.8	14.6	0.23
Rasual Butler	30	29	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.06	3	15	-12	14.2	14.5	-0.24	13.7	15.1	-1.46
Boris Diaw	42	43	0.11	0.39	-0.27	-0.03	5	13	-8	13.1	15.4	-2.27	15.2	14.3	0.88
Manu Ginobili	36	38	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.08	-1	19	-20	14.0	14.7	-0.68	14.5	14.8	-0.26
David West	40	38	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.06	-2	20	-22	15.0	14.0	1.08	14.6	14.7	-0.09
Ray McCallum	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	20	-22	19.3	14.1	5.25	11.2	14.9	-3.75
Boban Marjanovic	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	20	-22	19.3	14.1	5.25	11.2	14.9	-3.75
Kyle Anderson	19	20	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	0.14	-8	26	-34	15.9	14.0	1.84	13.6	15.0	-1.36

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Anderson	14	15	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.03	2	-20	22	13.5	14.9	-1.38	16.9	14.0	2.98
Kosta Koufos	51	52	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.10	-3	-15	12	15.6	13.7	1.94	14.5	14.3	0.16
Quincy Acy	6	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-20	22	11.2	14.9	-3.75	19.3	14.1	5.25
Omri Casspi	49	48	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.18	4	-22	26	13.9	15.5	-1.64	15.1	13.7	1.36
DeMarcus Cousins	66	68	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.12	-13	-5	-8	14.7	14.6	0.08	14.2	14.9	-0.68
Ben McLemore	27	26	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	0.03	-10	-8	-2	14.7	14.7	0.02	14.2	14.5	-0.34
Willie Cauley-Stein	47	46	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.16	-5	-13	8	13.6	15.7	-2.16	15.3	13.6	1.64
Marco Belinelli	67	67	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	0.10	-18	0	-18	15.0	14.0	1.06	13.3	16.7	-3.33
Rajon Rondo	99	99	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	0.03	-18	0	-18	14.7	0.0	14.69	14.4	0.0	14.40
Rudy Gay	69	68	-0.72	0.22	-0.94	0.19	-31	13	-44	15.5	12.7	2.80	13.6	16.1	-2.46

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.52,0.46,0.36,0.31,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.31,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.48,0.35,0.23,0.14,0.23,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.22,0.33,0.14,0.23,0.1,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 92, MIN 76	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.44,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.28,0.3,0.33,0.35,0.29,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.32,0.26,0.3,0.22,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.03,0,0,0,0,0	93.3%
TOR 100, ATL 88	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.4,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.3,0.2,0.27,0.4,0.31,0.36,0.3,0.26,0.25,0.28,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.3,0.18,0.17,0.12,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.07,0.03,0,0	92.9%
SAC 110, LAC 103	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.59,0.54,0.6,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.58,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.53,0.39,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.31,0.36,0.39,0.32,0.38,0.21,0.26,0.3,0.36,0.38,0.34,0.21,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.1,0.08,0	92.9%