NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	117		Excitement	5.0 [823]		MVP	Dorell Wright (PHI): +17.6%
Sacramento Kings	103		Comeback	3.4 [233]		LVP	Jason Thompson (SAC): -11.3%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dorell Wright	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.15	0.03	0.00	13	73%	0.20	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Lavoy Allen	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.13	0.03	0.01	13	71%	0.16	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Damien Wilkins	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.07	0.03	0.01	13	55%	0.10	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Jrue Holiday	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	-0.07	0.06	-0.08	20	46%	0.14	4	-0.08	6	33%	-0.02
Spencer Hawes	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.02	-0.00	13	54%	0.08	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Evan Turner	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.03	-0.01	7	44%	0.03	1	-0.01	2	50%	0.00
Arnett Moultrie	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Royal Ivey	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.01	0.04	14	47%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Isaiah Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.16	0.06	0.08	15	81%	0.19	3	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Marcus Thornton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.17	0.02	0.08	12	81%	0.13	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Patrick Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	-0.01	-0.03	11	55%	0.06	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Tyreke Evans	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.07	-0.01	0.02	15	59%	0.07	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Travis Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cole Aldrich	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.01	0	100%	-0.01	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
John Salmons	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	9	28%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Toney Douglas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.09	0.00	-0.05	3	0%	-0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
DeMarcus Cousins	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.03	0.01	9	40%	-0.06	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Jason Thompson	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.05	-0.01	10	36%	-0.07	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.1	2.5	32.5	15.4	24.3	1.7	25.2	123.7
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +28.3%

PHI +7.5%

PHI +15.7%

PHI +3.7%

SAC -5.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	SAC	NBA	PHI	SAC	NBA
this game	15.7	14.4	15.4	121.9	108.4	104.1
season	15.5	15.0		100.5	104.7
opponent	15.2	15.7		109.4	104.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	13.2	14.0	15.7	20.6	15.7
SAC	16.2	13.7	15.0	12.7	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Damien Wilkins	79	78	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.15	13	1	12	15.9	15.0	0.86	14.4	14.5	-0.03
Dorell Wright	59	57	0.52	-0.02	0.54	-0.09	21	-7	28	16.1	15.1	1.06	14.0	15.1	-1.06
Spencer Hawes	63	62	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.01	17	-3	20	15.0	17.1	-2.15	15.4	12.7	2.72
Lavoy Allen	43	40	0.30	0.20	0.11	-0.05	12	2	10	18.0	13.9	4.11	14.2	14.6	-0.33
Jrue Holiday	78	77	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.10	6	8	-2	15.9	15.0	0.87	14.3	14.9	-0.62
Evan Turner	62	62	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.19	1	13	-12	14.9	17.2	-2.27	14.3	14.7	-0.44
Thaddeus Young	64	66	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.09	2	12	-10	15.5	16.2	-0.72	14.7	13.9	0.79
Arnett Moultrie	13	14	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.10	-3	17	-20	15.8	15.7	0.07	13.4	14.6	-1.27
Royal Ivey	19	19	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	-0.04	1	13	-12	13.8	16.2	-2.33	14.0	14.6	-0.55

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Travis Outlaw	10	9	0.06	-0.56	0.62	0.00	2	-16	18	14.2	14.5	-0.27	15.4	15.7	-0.29
DeMarcus Cousins	54	53	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.09	4	-18	22	14.0	15.0	-0.94	17.4	13.7	3.68
Toney Douglas	39	41	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.03	-5	-9	4	13.3	15.2	-1.97	18.2	13.9	4.34
Cole Aldrich	10	11	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.19	-13	-1	-12	15.1	14.4	0.74	12.9	16.1	-3.16
John Salmons	63	64	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.25	1	-15	16	13.9	15.6	-1.69	16.3	14.4	1.91
Marcus Thornton	50	52	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.01	-10	-4	-6	13.9	15.1	-1.19	16.6	14.7	1.94
Jason Thompson	55	54	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.14	-7	-7	0	15.5	13.0	2.49	14.3	17.5	-3.14
Isaiah Thomas	61	60	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.21	-6	-8	2	14.7	13.9	0.78	13.8	18.8	-4.96
Patrick Patterson	64	66	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.05	-15	1	-16	14.4	14.6	-0.25	16.5	13.9	2.68
Tyreke Evans	69	70	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	0.07	-21	7	-28	15.3	12.2	3.04	14.1	20.0	-5.94

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.71,0.68,0.76,0.69,0.71,0.71,0.73,0.68,0.75,0.74,0.72,0.61,0.56,0.5,0.42,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.44,0.34,0.23,0.25,0.15,0.11,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
VAN 95, GSW 81	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.59,0.55,0.59,0.62,0.66,0.73,0.72,0.74,0.76,0.73,0.71,0.67,0.75,0.71,0.78,0.72,0.69,0.61,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.44,0.33,0.25,0.15,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.3%
PHX 111, HOU 94	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.57,0.72,0.71,0.66,0.65,0.64,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.74,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.61,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.55,0.58,0.41,0.35,0.34,0.23,0.25,0.13,0.13,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.1%
MEM 98, BOS 96	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.68,0.72,0.78,0.79,0.77,0.69,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.56,0.52,0.49,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.39,0.32,0.35,0.24,0.24,0.14,0.18,0.19,0.16,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.05,0.09,0	93.5%