NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	111		Excitement	5.1 [803]		MVP	Shawn Marion (PHX): +22.4%
Houston Rockets	94		Comeback	2.9 [208]		LVP	Rafer Alston (HOU): -16.4%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shawn Marion	0.22	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.17,0.2,0.22,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.17	0.08	0.02	19	71%	0.27	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.01
Steve Nash	0.14	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.16	0.03	0.05	13	74%	0.14	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.01
Eddie House	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.03	0.02	-0.03	11	55%	0.08	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Jones	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	7	56%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Boris Diaw	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.02	0.02	12	62%	0.09	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.00
Pat Burke	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.04	4	50%	0.01	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raja Bell	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	0.02	12	47%	-0.03	1	-0.00	6	100%	0.03
Leandro Barbosa	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.10	-0.03	0.02	6	25%	-0.07	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Juwan Howard	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.07	0.04	-0.01	15	56%	0.14	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Yao Ming	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.13	0.04	0.05	19	60%	0.12	0	0.00	7	100%	0.09
Keith Bogans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.02	7	62%	0.05	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maciej Lampe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charles Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	75%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Ryan Bowen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Luther Head	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	9	50%	0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.03	18	36%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Wesley	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.11	-0.05	-0.02	7	27%	-0.08	3	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Rafer Alston	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.15	-0.03	-0.02	9	28%	-0.04	5	-0.13	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.0	2.4	31.5	16.7	23.4	2.5	27.2	126.6
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +50.0%

HOU -9.7%

HOU -2.4%

PHX +9.8%

PHX +2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	HOU	NBA	PHX	HOU	NBA
this game	13.5	16.7	15.6	115.6	98.9	104.4
season	13.8	16.1		110.2	99.9
opponent	16.1	16.1		101.4	105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	12.3	13.3	16.0	12.8	13.5
HOU	16.0	18.0	17.4	15.5	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shawn Marion	83	83	0.58	-0.08	0.67	-0.12	24	-7	31	13.4	14.5	-1.10	17.1	13.3	3.81
Raja Bell	92	90	0.48	0.02	0.45	-0.02	17	0	17	13.3	17.7	-4.42	16.6	18.6	-2.04
Boris Diaw	64	66	0.42	0.08	0.35	-0.16	20	-3	23	13.4	13.8	-0.41	17.1	15.6	1.55
Eddie House	46	45	0.42	0.08	0.35	-0.08	17	0	17	13.2	13.8	-0.60	15.4	17.8	-2.44
Steve Nash	69	69	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.11	18	-1	19	13.6	13.2	0.40	17.5	14.5	2.98
Leandro Barbosa	56	55	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.10	6	11	-5	13.3	13.8	-0.54	16.4	17.0	-0.62
Pat Burke	21	19	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.16	0	17	-17	15.5	12.9	2.58	14.9	17.1	-2.14
James Jones	49	48	-0.26	0.76	-1.02	0.24	-17	34	-51	13.8	13.2	0.62	16.4	16.9	-0.54

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ryan Bowen	16	17	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.06	3	-20	23	18.6	16.3	2.28	15.6	13.1	2.60
Maciej Lampe	5	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-19	21	21.2	16.4	4.79	15.5	13.4	2.12
Charles Hayes	5	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-19	21	21.2	16.4	4.79	15.5	13.4	2.12
Yao Ming	75	75	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.09	-8	-9	1	16.2	18.3	-2.14	13.3	14.4	-1.11
Dikembe Mutombo	9	10	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.00	-7	-10	3	19.4	16.4	3.07	13.5	13.5	-0.01
Luther Head	45	46	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.02	-8	-9	1	17.4	16.0	1.44	13.1	13.9	-0.73
David Wesley	55	56	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.05	-7	-10	3	16.9	16.4	0.50	13.8	13.1	0.70
Keith Bogans	47	48	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	0.12	-13	-4	-9	15.7	17.6	-1.99	13.3	13.7	-0.48
Rafer Alston	70	69	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.00	-12	-5	-7	15.8	19.2	-3.39	13.3	14.0	-0.73
Juwan Howard	73	72	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.10	-14	-3	-11	16.2	18.2	-2.04	13.5	13.5	0.01
Tracy McGrady	75	75	-0.58	0.08	-0.65	0.10	-23	6	-29	17.1	15.1	1.98	13.3	14.2	-0.93

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.57,0.72,0.71,0.66,0.65,0.64,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.74,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.61,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.55,0.58,0.41,0.35,0.34,0.23,0.25,0.13,0.13,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 117, SAC 103	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.71,0.68,0.76,0.69,0.71,0.71,0.73,0.68,0.75,0.74,0.72,0.61,0.56,0.5,0.42,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.44,0.34,0.23,0.25,0.15,0.11,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.1%
NYK 110, PHI 103	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.45,0.51,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.65,0.6,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.71,0.7,0.66,0.61,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.31,0.27,0.13,0.13,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.6%
UTA 102, SEA 88	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.58,0.65,0.63,0.71,0.64,0.61,0.56,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.27,0.23,0.21,0.15,0.07,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.6%