NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Vancouver Grizzlies	95		Excitement	6.1 [574]		MVP	Damon Jones (VAN): +11.6%
Golden State Warriors	81		Comeback	3.9 [352]		LVP	Chris Porter (GSW): -21.7%

Vancouver Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damon Jones	0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.12,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.08	0.04	0.01	11	74%	0.14	2	-0.02	5	100%	0.03
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.04	0.07	-0.03	24	46%	0.08	1	-0.03	8	75%	0.05
Mahmoud Abdul-Rauf	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.00	12	58%	0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Grant Long	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	6	43%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Edwards	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stromile Swift	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	0.03	-0.01	2	62%	0.03	3	-0.05	4	75%	0.02
Tony Massenburg	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	11	36%	-0.01	1	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Bryant Reeves	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	7	19%	-0.11	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Mike Bibby	-0.12	0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.15,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.17	0.03	-0.03	19	34%	-0.00	5	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Corie Blount	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.07	0.01	-0.04	10	30%	-0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adam Keefe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Adonal Foyle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	10	39%	-0.03	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.04
Erick Dampier	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	12	46%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Chris Garner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	3	25%	-0.05	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Paul McPherson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	3	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antawn Jamison	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.08,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.09	-0.10	-0.00	30	46%	-0.09	3	-0.10	11	82%	0.01
Vonteego Cummings	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.23	-0.02	-0.05	11	12%	-0.10	4	-0.10	2	0%	-0.02
Chris Porter	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.2,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.23	-0.03	-0.04	21	29%	-0.15	3	-0.07	6	33%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	0.8	27.1	15.7	30.1	1.7	31.2	131.6
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

VAN +50.4%

VAN +23.9%

GSW -26.7%

VAN +3.9%

GSW -1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	VAN	GSW	NBA	VAN	GSW	NBA
this game	16.3	15.7	15.5	105.6	90.0	100.9
season	15.6	15.0		97.4	95.3
opponent	14.9	15.1		104.8	103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
VAN	16.6	17.4	14.7	16.5	16.3
GSW	14.7	17.7	18.0	13.0	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Vancouver Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Damon Jones	74	72	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.14	11	3	8	16.1	17.2	-1.18	15.4	17.0	-1.60
Mike Bibby	80	80	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.04	13	1	12	16.2	17.0	-0.81	15.4	18.5	-3.12
Grant Long	44	47	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.07	16	-2	18	16.1	16.5	-0.37	18.4	12.8	5.52
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	82	80	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.07	10	4	6	16.5	14.1	2.36	15.6	16.5	-0.87
Stromile Swift	40	39	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.05	9	5	4	15.4	16.9	-1.49	16.7	15.0	1.67
Bryant Reeves	54	54	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.24	-1	15	-16	15.9	16.8	-0.88	14.2	18.0	-3.80
Tony Massenburg	38	38	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.05	8	6	2	16.8	15.9	0.93	16.1	15.5	0.57
Mahmoud Abdul-Rauf	38	39	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.01	4	10	-6	17.5	15.4	2.07	15.2	16.1	-0.96
Kevin Edwards	0	1	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.02	0	14	-14	0.0	16.3	-16.28	4.0	15.9	-11.85

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antawn Jamison	78	78	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.08	1	-15	16	15.7	15.6	0.16	16.6	13.9	2.72
Chris Garner	36	36	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.01	-3	-11	8	15.3	16.0	-0.65	16.6	16.1	0.56
Erick Dampier	56	55	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.06	-3	-11	8	16.7	14.1	2.53	16.3	16.2	0.13
Adonal Foyle	51	52	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.06	-3	-11	8	17.4	13.6	3.81	16.2	16.3	-0.11
Adam Keefe	8	9	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.02	-10	-4	-6	16.4	15.7	0.72	12.3	16.7	-4.38
Chris Porter	70	69	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.07	-7	-7	0	14.8	18.8	-3.96	17.2	13.3	3.84
Paul McPherson	20	19	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.00	-15	1	-16	16.3	15.6	0.74	14.5	16.7	-2.22
Vonteego Cummings	81	81	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.17	-11	-3	-8	15.4	18.8	-3.40	15.9	19.7	-3.77
Corie Blount	50	51	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.03	-19	5	-24	14.7	17.0	-2.39	16.2	16.4	-0.14

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.59,0.55,0.59,0.62,0.66,0.73,0.72,0.74,0.76,0.73,0.71,0.67,0.75,0.71,0.78,0.72,0.69,0.61,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.44,0.33,0.25,0.15,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 117, SAC 103	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.71,0.68,0.76,0.69,0.71,0.71,0.73,0.68,0.75,0.74,0.72,0.61,0.56,0.5,0.42,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.44,0.34,0.23,0.25,0.15,0.11,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.3%
SAS 111, BKN 86	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.55,0.56,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.62,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.68,0.71,0.71,0.69,0.68,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.56,0.67,0.69,0.66,0.61,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.32,0.13,0.18,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.1%
MIL 110, NJN 96	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.62,0.66,0.69,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.79,0.74,0.68,0.72,0.69,0.65,0.69,0.68,0.66,0.74,0.67,0.61,0.57,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.4,0.32,0.19,0.1,0.12,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	93.9%