NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	95		Excitement	9.3 [105]		MVP	James Harden (HOU): +52.2%
Houston Rockets	96		Comeback	16.1 [61]		LVP	Tim Duncan (SAS): -47.3%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Parker	0.37	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.1,0.18,0.18,0.37,0.37	0.08	0.29	-0.01	13	66%	0.46	3	-0.09	9	100%	0.12
Stephen Jackson	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.01	-0.00	5	80%	0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.00	-0.00	7	71%	0.10	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Matt Bonner	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tiago Splitter	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	8	56%	0.07	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.02
Nando De Colo	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.03	0.00	2	75%	0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Manu Ginobili	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04	-0.06	0.01	-0.01	6	25%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kawhi Leonard	-0.05	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.05	0.08	-0.12	0.00	8	67%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Danny Green	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	11	36%	-0.01	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.02
Tim Duncan	-0.47	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.47	-0.12	-0.33	0.03	18	41%	-0.34	5	-0.14	5	60%	-0.03

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Harden	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.52	0.52	0.13	0.40	0.01	16	59%	0.55	1	-0.03	17	88%	0.05
Chandler Parsons	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.04	0.13	0.01	17	56%	0.25	2	-0.10	2	100%	0.02
Greg Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.05	0.00	3	75%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Carlos Delfino	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.04	0.04	-0.04	10	45%	0.05	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Donatas Motiejunas	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.06	0.01	0.05	8	62%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Beverley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.09	-0.11	0.01	6	79%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Thomas Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Lin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.12	-0.04	0.00	8	33%	-0.05	4	-0.11	2	100%	0.02
Omer Asik	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26	-0.26	-0.15	-0.11	-0.01	10	23%	-0.17	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.8	1.7	29.2	14.7	26.3	2.5	37.7	134.9
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +34.2%

HOU +3.0%

SAS -12.7%

HOU +30.5%

SAS -5.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	HOU	NBA	SAS	HOU	NBA
this game	15.3	15.0	15.4	97.9	103.2	104.1
season	15.2	14.2		106.4	107.9
opponent	15.4	15.1		105.0	99.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	16.2	14.2	16.5	14.4	15.3
HOU	17.3	14.6	13.5	15.0	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stephen Jackson	29	28	0.45	-0.95	1.40	0.27	6	-7	13	17.1	14.5	2.54	18.3	13.6	4.67
Matt Bonner	6	5	0.18	-0.68	0.86	-0.02	7	-8	15	8.5	15.7	-7.24	13.2	15.1	-1.93
Tiago Splitter	54	53	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.13	3	-4	7	16.1	14.3	1.81	15.0	15.0	-0.05
Nando De Colo	25	25	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.01	-7	6	-13	15.3	15.3	-0.01	15.0	15.0	0.03
Tony Parker	72	68	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.46	6	-7	13	15.3	15.3	0.01	15.0	15.0	-0.03
Boris Diaw	39	39	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.10	-8	7	-15	16.8	14.2	2.60	17.2	13.4	3.80
Tim Duncan	72	69	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.34	-3	2	-5	15.1	16.0	-0.90	14.4	16.9	-2.55
Kawhi Leonard	65	62	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.51	2	-3	5	14.3	17.2	-2.93	14.1	16.8	-2.73
Danny Green	70	65	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	-0.61	1	-2	3	14.6	17.0	-2.32	13.6	18.4	-4.87
Manu Ginobili	53	51	-0.79	0.29	-1.08	-0.44	-12	11	-23	15.5	15.1	0.40	15.6	14.3	1.30

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Patrick Beverley	42	47	0.87	-0.37	1.24	0.46	14	-13	27	15.8	14.4	1.48	16.0	14.6	1.38
Carlos Delfino	54	58	0.69	-0.19	0.87	0.45	8	-7	15	15.2	14.7	0.48	15.1	15.6	-0.46
James Harden	78	83	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.37	5	-4	9	14.6	17.4	-2.84	15.0	17.3	-2.33
Chandler Parsons	90	93	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.53	-4	5	-9	14.7	24.0	-9.28	15.1	18.7	-3.61
Omer Asik	69	73	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.32	1	0	1	14.5	16.5	-2.05	15.1	15.8	-0.72
Greg Smith	24	24	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.15	0	1	-1	16.5	14.5	2.05	15.8	15.1	0.72
Thomas Robinson	19	19	0.03	0.47	-0.43	-0.05	3	-2	5	18.3	14.2	4.07	16.3	15.1	1.21
Donatas Motiejunas	32	32	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	0.06	-9	10	-19	14.7	15.2	-0.46	16.0	14.9	1.11
Jeremy Lin	57	56	-0.31	0.81	-1.13	0.07	-13	14	-27	14.4	16.0	-1.55	14.9	15.9	-0.98

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.64,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.31,0.31,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.4,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.56,0.78,0.7,0.79,0.79,0.77,0.79,0.76,0.67,0.46,0.28,0.32,0.26,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 79, IND 80	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.39,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.31,0.39,0.41,0.5,0.55,0.6,0.69,0.64,0.71,0.65,0.71,0.62,0.56,0.63,0.64,0.7,0.66,0.71,0.79,0.81,0.83,0.8,0.78,0.75,0.55,0.33,0.42,1	90.4%
NOH 95, MIN 97	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.36,0.44,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.46,0.42,0.32,0.31,0.33,0.39,0.39,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.33,0.39,0.55,0.59,0.62,0.52,0.48,0.64,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.53,0.53,0.41,0.54,0.45,0.29,0.22,0.08,1	89.6%
SAS 90, UTA 93	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.41,0.39,0.3,0.32,0.37,0.42,0.55,0.58,0.71,0.68,0.59,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.62,0.67,0.63,0.69,0.6,0.69,0.75,0.55,0.55,0.42,1	89.4%