NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	86		Excitement	8.3 [212]		MVP	Anthony Davis (NOH): +78.9%
New Orleans Hornets	87		Comeback	18.8 [54]		LVP	Eric Gordon (NOH): -54.0%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul Pierce	0.27	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.15,0.22,0.41,0.41,0.27	0.11	0.17	0.01	17	67%	0.35	3	-0.08	8	100%	0.08
Kevin Garnett	0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.09	0.01	0.01	16	59%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Courtney Lee	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.03	-0.00	3	83%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Bass	0.04	0,0,0.02,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.02	0.00	8	65%	0.09	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Jeff Green	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.06	-0.02	0.02	8	65%	0.04	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Chris Wilcox	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Crawford	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	5	40%	0.00	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Avery Bradley	-0.17	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17	-0.13	-0.05	-0.00	10	23%	-0.12	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Jason Terry	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.12	-0.07	-0.00	5	0%	-0.15	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Davis	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.79	0.79	-0.05	0.85	0.00	7	56%	0.88	4	-0.09	2	50%	-0.02
Ryan Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.28	0.28	0.05	0.23	0.01	12	60%	0.35	3	-0.07	11	82%	-0.04
Brian Roberts	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.09	0.07	-0.00	7	75%	0.16	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Lou Amundson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	5	40%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lance Thomas	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terrel Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darius Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	4	25%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Al-Farouq Aminu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.00	-0.05	0.01	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Greivis Vasquez	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.05	0.01	10	57%	0.03	4	-0.11	3	67%	-0.00
Robin Lopez	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.05	-0.08	-0.01	5	40%	0.00	2	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Eric Gordon	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.14,-0.24,-0.22,-0.54	-0.54	-0.04	-0.47	0.02	15	47%	-0.39	3	-0.15	8	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	0.7	31.5	15.3	25.3	2.5	35.1	134.7
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH +55.1%

NOH +3.8%

NOH +24.6%

BOS -37.6%

NOH +4.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	NOH	NBA	BOS	NOH	NBA
this game	15.3	16.4	15.4	94.5	95.6	104.1
season	14.9	16.3		101.2	103.9
opponent	15.6	16.2		108.1	101.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	13.9	13.0	17.0	17.8	15.3
NOH	17.4	14.7	15.0	19.2	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brandon Bass	61	62	1.00	-1.50	2.50	0.41	20	-21	41	14.5	16.9	-2.42	16.2	16.8	-0.57
Jordan Crawford	39	39	0.08	-0.58	0.66	0.23	-5	4	-9	16.5	14.3	2.21	17.2	15.8	1.37
Paul Pierce	65	64	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.35	12	-13	25	15.0	15.9	-0.91	16.3	16.6	-0.31
Avery Bradley	66	67	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.31	7	-8	15	14.8	16.6	-1.88	15.9	17.6	-1.70
Chris Wilcox	11	10	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.04	-7	6	-13	18.4	14.8	3.51	16.3	16.4	-0.08
Kevin Garnett	55	55	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.46	-3	2	-5	15.4	15.1	0.22	16.8	15.7	1.03
Jason Terry	35	37	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.45	-6	5	-11	16.1	14.8	1.27	17.5	15.6	1.92
Courtney Lee	74	72	-1.01	0.51	-1.53	-0.69	-11	10	-21	15.0	16.5	-1.47	15.6	19.3	-3.65
Jeff Green	49	49	-1.13	0.63	-1.77	-0.78	-12	11	-23	15.4	15.2	0.20	16.5	16.2	0.34

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brian Roberts	31	31	0.77	-0.27	1.04	0.56	7	-6	13	17.4	15.8	1.59	16.6	14.6	2.08
Anthony Davis	53	53	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.64	4	-3	7	16.1	16.7	-0.62	15.3	15.2	0.16
Terrel Harris	33	32	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.47	2	-1	3	17.3	15.8	1.46	15.7	15.1	0.64
Ryan Anderson	56	56	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.44	-3	4	-7	17.4	14.7	2.74	16.0	14.1	1.89
Darius Miller	33	32	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.21	0	1	-1	16.7	16.2	0.46	15.2	15.3	-0.04
Eric Gordon	59	60	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.23	-1	2	-3	15.8	17.3	-1.50	15.1	15.6	-0.46
Lance Thomas	5	5	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.06	3	-2	5	17.4	16.3	1.09	20.2	15.0	5.21
Lou Amundson	19	19	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.00	1	0	1	16.1	16.4	-0.34	13.2	15.8	-2.61
Greivis Vasquez	61	63	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.05	-2	3	-5	15.9	17.3	-1.38	14.9	16.0	-1.10
Al-Farouq Aminu	57	57	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	-0.11	-3	4	-7	16.1	16.8	-0.67	15.1	15.5	-0.41
Robin Lopez	48	47	-0.28	0.78	-1.06	-0.19	-3	4	-7	15.4	17.4	-1.98	14.3	16.3	-1.98

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.41,0.33,0.34,0.35,0.37,0.34,0.32,0.38,0.36,0.29,0.35,0.42,0.3,0.25,0.22,0.34,0.25,0.27,0.22,0.19,0.16,0.25,0.24,0.36,0.26,0.29,0.38,0.37,0.44,0.48,0.5,0.57,0.71,0.62,0.73,0.83,0.91,0.78,0.47,0.55,0.16,0.08,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 84, ATL 87	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.41,0.38,0.4,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.42,0.33,0.36,0.25,0.23,0.37,0.3,0.27,0.3,0.32,0.35,0.38,0.41,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.52,0.48,0.58,0.58,0.83,0.6,0.73,0.39,0.45,0.22,0.42,1	89.5%
LAC 85, POR 91	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.39,0.41,0.43,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.34,0.29,0.31,0.33,0.37,0.29,0.26,0.29,0.23,0.27,0.37,0.32,0.25,0.28,0.27,0.24,0.16,0.2,0.28,0.44,0.48,0.51,0.42,0.43,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.53,0.45,0.45,0.15,0.26,1	89.1%
DET 83, POR 84	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.39,0.38,0.37,0.32,0.35,0.31,0.34,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.3,0.33,0.27,0.2,0.23,0.24,0.23,0.17,0.2,0.3,0.19,0.18,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.13,0.22,0.28,0.34,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.52,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.65,0.67,0.61,0.63,0.25,0.27,1	88.3%