NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	93		Excitement	4.9 [852]		MVP	David Lee (GSW): +9.7%
New Orleans Hornets	72		Comeback	1.6 [775]		LVP	Brian Roberts (NOH): -11.5%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David Lee	0.10	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.01	0.01	9	83%	0.17	3	-0.07	6	100%	0.03
Jarrett Jack	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.01	-0.02	9	47%	0.06	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Harrison Barnes	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	4	58%	0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Carl Landry	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kent Bazemore	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Festus Ezeli	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Draymond Green	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Curry	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.07	-0.00	0.07	19	71%	0.16	7	-0.16	4	100%	0.02
Andrew Bogut	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.03	6	67%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Klay Thompson	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.08,-0.1,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	0.00	-0.00	15	43%	0.03	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ryan Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	-0.01	-0.02	19	48%	0.04	0	0.00	6	100%	0.03
Anthony Davis	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	-0.02	-0.01	12	62%	0.10	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Lance Thomas	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lou Amundson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terrel Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	-0.04	7	29%	-0.03	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darius Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	5	40%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Al-Farouq Aminu	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	4	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Roger Mason Jr.	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.01	0.01	7	21%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greivis Vasquez	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	-0.05	0.03	11	61%	0.03	4	-0.11	1	100%	0.00
Robin Lopez	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.01	-0.00	10	20%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Roberts	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.12	-0.02	-0.02	5	17%	-0.05	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	2.5	25.5	15.4	24.4	1.8	26.3	119.3
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +60.9%

NOH -1.2%

NOH -5.8%

NOH -3.0%

NOH -1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	NOH	NBA	GSW	NOH	NBA
this game	14.6	17.8	15.4	103.3	81.8	104.1
season	14.6	16.3		104.6	103.9
opponent	15.6	15.3		108.1	103.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	14.2	12.9	15.4	16.0	14.6
NOH	17.9	17.1	17.4	19.2	17.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David Lee	54	54	0.54	-0.04	0.58	-0.19	25	-4	29	14.9	14.0	0.93	18.6	16.6	1.95
Andrew Bogut	55	57	0.50	-0.00	0.50	-0.20	24	-3	27	14.6	14.5	0.11	18.4	16.9	1.50
Stephen Curry	73	72	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.12	19	2	17	14.6	14.2	0.39	17.7	18.6	-0.88
Jarrett Jack	57	57	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.10	16	5	11	15.0	13.7	1.31	17.6	18.4	-0.79
Klay Thompson	59	59	0.34	0.16	0.19	-0.12	16	5	11	15.3	13.2	2.08	18.8	15.9	2.90
Harrison Barnes	42	40	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.02	11	10	1	13.6	15.4	-1.76	17.8	17.8	0.02
Festus Ezeli	25	21	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.09	0	21	-21	15.1	14.3	0.78	17.2	18.0	-0.79
Kent Bazemore	12	10	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.03	4	17	-13	12.7	14.8	-2.08	16.6	18.0	-1.40
Draymond Green	26	24	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.02	-1	22	-23	13.3	15.1	-1.81	17.1	18.1	-0.98
Carl Landry	32	32	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.12	-6	27	-33	14.7	14.4	0.30	16.9	18.4	-1.47
Richard Jefferson	15	14	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	-0.02	-3	24	-27	13.0	14.9	-1.87	15.9	18.2	-2.36

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brian Roberts	30	31	0.04	-0.54	0.57	0.01	1	-22	23	16.1	18.7	-2.59	14.1	14.8	-0.65
Lou Amundson	24	25	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.11	4	-25	29	16.9	18.2	-1.27	14.7	14.5	0.17
Lance Thomas	2	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-19	17	12.5	18.0	-5.47	10.3	14.7	-4.37
Ryan Anderson	50	51	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	0.06	-5	-16	11	18.3	17.2	1.16	15.8	12.9	2.97
Terrel Harris	50	52	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	0.13	-9	-12	3	17.9	17.7	0.23	15.4	13.4	2.01
Al-Farouq Aminu	25	25	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.01	-8	-13	5	18.5	17.6	0.89	12.6	15.3	-2.76
Darius Miller	63	65	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.11	-13	-8	-5	17.6	18.5	-0.89	15.3	12.6	2.76
Roger Mason Jr.	38	38	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.01	-12	-9	-3	17.7	17.9	-0.23	13.4	15.4	-2.01
Robin Lopez	42	41	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	0.02	-14	-7	-7	17.7	18.0	-0.29	13.9	15.1	-1.24
Anthony Davis	58	60	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	0.20	-25	4	-29	18.1	17.4	0.72	14.1	15.5	-1.42
Greivis Vasquez	58	59	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	0.11	-22	1	-23	18.7	16.1	2.59	14.8	14.1	0.65

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.33,0.27,0.25,0.29,0.23,0.25,0.24,0.14,0.13,0.17,0.19,0.18,0.19,0.14,0.19,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.01,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 87, VAN 76	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.56,0.56,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.37,0.32,0.37,0.22,0.17,0.19,0.18,0.17,0.19,0.15,0.19,0.21,0.15,0.14,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.14,0.04,0.03,0.02,0,0.01,0,0	95.2%
NJN 87, MEM 76	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.46,0.42,0.27,0.25,0.18,0.22,0.28,0.27,0.24,0.19,0.18,0.19,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.6%
UTA 100, HOU 89	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.49,0.41,0.42,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.63,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.36,0.41,0.27,0.19,0.24,0.2,0.17,0.14,0.09,0.1,0.16,0.14,0.23,0.1,0.15,0.07,0.06,0.11,0.19,0.08,0.15,0.13,0.02,0,0,0,0	94.5%