inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 108 Excitement4.9 [850] MVPDwyane Wade (MIA): +19.7%
Toronto Raptors 91 Comeback1.0 [1117] LVPKyle Lowry (TOR): -15.3%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Dwyane Wade0.200,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.20.120.07-0.011567%0.242-0.04667%-0.02
Ray Allen0.150,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.150.080.091091%0.182-0.042100%0.01
Chris Bosh0.130,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.110.02-0.001075%0.151-0.02450%0.00
Chris Andersen0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.080.030.003100%0.1100.001100%0.01
LeBron James0.050,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.010.011263%0.143-0.091173%-0.01
Norris Cole0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.020.00-0.00360%0.0300.00450%-0.01
Udonis Haslem0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.020.010.001100%0.0300.0000%0.00
Rashard Lewis0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.0320%0.0000.0000%0.00
James Jones0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Mike Miller0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0200%0.0010.0000%0.00
Joel Anthony0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Shane Battier-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.03-0.010.04475%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Mario Chalmers-0.100,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.12-0.00-0.0259%-0.072-0.041100%0.00

Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Rudy Gay0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.160.090.06-0.012063%0.233-0.073100%0.02
Jonas Valanciunas0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.080.010.05890%0.094-0.054100%0.00
Terrence Ross0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.04-0.000.011055%0.0300.002100%0.00
Landry Fields0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.02-0.000.002100%0.041-0.0300%0.00
Amir Johnson0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.010.010.001850%0.062-0.0600%0.00
Sebastian Telfair0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.05-0.00-0.0030%-0.0400.0000%0.00
John Lucas III0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.05-0.02-0.0230%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Alan Anderson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.09-0.00-0.0460%-0.0500.0000%0.00
DeMar DeRozan0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.150.04-0.041732%0.024-0.10367%-0.01
Kyle Lowry0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.15-0.15-0.01-0.0170%-0.112-0.0400%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.22.628.015.823.42.533.4129.0
league avg24.82.329.514.026.82.333.1134.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +58.8%
TOR -0.1%
TOR -27.2%
MIA +10.5%
MIA +8.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIATORNBAMIATORNBA
this game15.316.115.4117.4100.0104.1
season15.716.1110.2104.4
opponent15.315.9105.8102.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA16.416.014.414.615.3
TOR15.615.316.317.516.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Dwyane Wade67660.65-0.150.81-0.2330-134315.016.2-1.1916.515.11.41
Shane Battier47460.490.010.47-0.2726-93514.716.0-1.3816.016.3-0.33
Norris Cole37350.300.200.100.18413-915.115.5-0.3416.416.00.37
Chris Andersen31290.290.210.090.00107315.015.5-0.5614.916.7-1.83
Ray Allen48470.280.220.05-0.221701715.515.20.2515.516.8-1.35
Chris Bosh54560.210.29-0.09-0.211431115.415.20.1716.715.31.44
Mario Chalmers48490.150.35-0.200.12116-1515.714.90.8615.716.6-0.93
Udonis Haslem35350.080.42-0.340.05116-1515.615.20.4216.915.71.21
LeBron James65650.050.45-0.39-0.24107315.415.20.1615.517.7-2.12
Rashard Lewis770.000.50-0.500.21-724-3116.415.21.1818.016.02.01
James Jones770.000.50-0.500.21-724-3116.415.21.1818.016.02.01
Mike Miller770.000.50-0.500.21-724-3116.415.21.1818.016.02.01
Joel Anthony760.000.50-0.500.21-724-3116.415.21.1817.016.10.92

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
John Lucas III2123-0.10-0.400.29-0.286-232915.416.4-0.9915.015.4-0.45
Sebastian Telfair1514-0.16-0.340.170.07-8-9116.916.00.9515.115.4-0.23
Landry Fields2021-0.18-0.320.14-0.15-1-161518.015.62.4415.115.4-0.31
Kyle Lowry5555-0.23-0.270.030.21-15-2-1316.216.00.1915.515.10.47
Jonas Valanciunas5555-0.24-0.260.02-0.01-8-9117.514.03.5015.115.6-0.52
DeMar DeRozan7171-0.27-0.23-0.040.20-16-1-1516.016.7-0.7815.315.30.00
Terrence Ross5152-0.27-0.23-0.040.02-10-7-315.417.1-1.7115.315.4-0.11
Alan Anderson2725-0.32-0.18-0.13-0.11-7-10315.316.5-1.1515.915.10.80
Amir Johnson7172-0.34-0.16-0.17-0.04-10-7-315.418.6-3.2115.614.31.33
Rudy Gay6972-0.38-0.12-0.270.09-16-1-1516.315.80.4915.116.1-1.04


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.32,0.34,0.3,0.34,0.32,0.31,0.27,0.22,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.2,0.18,0.19,0.26,0.15,0.19,0.24,0.2,0.15,0.12,0.15,0.17,0.29,0.38,0.48,0.3,0.21,0.07,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
LAL 96, MIA 880.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.42,0.33,0.23,0.24,0.21,0.19,0.21,0.19,0.16,0.22,0.16,0.14,0.17,0.22,0.24,0.23,0.17,0.22,0.27,0.29,0.25,0.26,0.34,0.38,0.29,0.19,0.11,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,094.2%
IND 109, NYK 950.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.48,0.41,0.37,0.33,0.38,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.33,0.31,0.27,0.21,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.27,0.37,0.34,0.23,0.2,0.15,0.21,0.18,0.12,0.25,0.2,0.37,0.25,0.46,0.38,0.25,0.21,0.12,0.17,0.05,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,093.4%
BKN 111, ORL 1040.5,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.3,0.27,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.25,0.3,0.26,0.34,0.25,0.3,0.24,0.21,0.13,0.09,0.13,0.23,0.32,0.34,0.3,0.21,0.09,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,093.3%