inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Indiana Pacers 91 Excitement3.4 [1148] MVPDavid West (IND): +16.6%
Miami Heat 105 Comeback1.4 [1054] LVPPaul George (IND): -8.0%


Indiana Pacers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
David West0.170,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.170.170.020.021077%0.191-0.021191%0.04
George Hill0.030,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.000.00558%0.0300.00250%-0.01
D.J. Augustin0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.080.010.07878%0.032-0.022100%0.01
Ian Mahinmi0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.010.00-0.02333%0.0200.0000%0.00
Orlando Johnson0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.03-0.000.01480%0.052-0.042100%0.01
Jeff Ayres0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Ben Hansbrough0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Sam Young-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.010.0000%0.001-0.0300%0.00
Tyler Hansbrough-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.020.000.01333%-0.0300.00667%0.00
Lance Stephenson-0.040,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.050.00-0.00540%-0.012-0.04580%0.01
Roy Hibbert-0.050,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.02-0.020.011453%0.003-0.052100%0.01
Paul George-0.080,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.13-0.01-0.051138%0.025-0.104100%0.01

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Mario Chalmers0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.160.250.010.109104%0.202-0.057100%0.03
Chris Bosh0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.170.010.051575%0.1300.00250%-0.01
Ray Allen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.030.03-0.03758%0.101-0.00580%0.01
Dwyane Wade0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.030.03-0.011661%0.134-0.07683%-0.00
Chris Andersen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.02360%0.0000.00450%0.00
Rashard Lewis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.00-0.0310%0.0000.0020%0.00
James Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Mike Miller00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Shane Battier0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.000.00-0.001100%0.001-0.0000%0.00
Norris Cole0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.050.00-0.0530%-0.0000.0000%0.00
LeBron James0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.060.01-0.041052%0.054-0.06560%-0.01
Udonis Haslem0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0110%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Joel Anthony0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.41.832.815.832.12.532.9145.3
league avg24.82.329.514.026.82.333.1134.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +38.7%
IND -9.5%
IND -2.9%
MIA +17.1%
MIA +6.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsINDMIANBAINDMIANBA
this game16.716.215.4103.4120.7104.1
season16.115.7102.4110.2
opponent15.915.5102.499.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
IND15.517.517.316.516.7
MIA16.516.815.516.216.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ian Mahinmi25240.03-0.530.55-0.2710-243415.817.0-1.2216.016.3-0.39
Orlando Johnson27260.01-0.510.52-0.2810-243416.017.0-1.0217.315.81.58
Jeff Ayres660.00-0.500.50-0.217-21288.017.3-9.3015.316.3-0.98
Ben Hansbrough660.00-0.500.50-0.217-21288.017.3-9.3015.316.3-0.98
Sam Young1615-0.10-0.400.29-0.162-161811.517.8-6.3214.916.5-1.58
Tyler Hansbrough2525-0.11-0.390.29-0.193-172015.517.1-1.6117.715.72.02
D.J. Augustin4242-0.16-0.340.18-0.191-151617.316.11.2717.215.41.83
George Hill4039-0.34-0.16-0.180.31-228-3017.316.21.1115.417.0-1.60
David West6362-0.39-0.11-0.290.10-173-2017.115.51.6115.717.7-2.02
Lance Stephenson5960-0.41-0.09-0.320.18-206-2617.515.02.4916.016.8-0.78
Paul George7473-0.49-0.01-0.490.09-206-2617.412.94.5316.315.90.46
Roy Hibbert5757-0.530.03-0.550.38-3117-4818.014.33.6716.515.80.62

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Mario Chalmers61600.61-0.110.72-0.2730-164615.418.2-2.7317.515.02.50
LeBron James65660.500.000.49-0.1823-93216.116.6-0.5317.115.31.86
Dwyane Wade66660.460.040.43-0.3026-123815.817.6-1.8217.414.52.83
Chris Bosh62590.460.040.42-0.3026-123815.218.9-3.7618.313.35.06
Udonis Haslem34350.420.080.34-0.1419-52414.317.5-3.2417.016.50.55
Ray Allen36370.150.35-0.200.24-317-2017.915.02.9115.817.3-1.58
Chris Andersen26270.040.46-0.420.01113-1217.515.71.8017.016.50.48
Shane Battier20220.020.48-0.470.22-721-2818.215.72.5417.616.31.29
Rashard Lewis560.000.50-0.500.21-721-2816.816.20.598.017.3-9.30
James Jones660.000.50-0.500.21-721-2815.316.3-0.988.017.3-9.30
Mike Miller560.000.50-0.500.21-721-2816.816.20.598.017.3-9.30
Joel Anthony2222-0.050.55-0.590.19-822-3018.415.52.8415.417.1-1.68
Norris Cole2728-0.110.61-0.720.36-1630-4617.815.52.2315.017.5-2.50


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.65,0.71,0.66,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.67,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.7,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.82,0.87,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.95,0.95,0.93,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
BKN 97, BOS 1100.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.45,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.69,0.69,0.62,0.63,0.56,0.55,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.68,0.59,0.64,0.59,0.67,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.83,0.88,0.96,0.96,0.91,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.94,0.96,0.97,1,0.99,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,196.2%
BOS 99, LAL 1130.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.59,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.71,0.69,0.73,0.74,0.71,0.69,0.66,0.7,0.68,0.75,0.74,0.77,0.85,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.2%
MIA 99, ORL 1200.5,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.53,0.5,0.45,0.47,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.7,0.78,0.79,0.77,0.75,0.83,0.9,0.94,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.1%