NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Brooklyn Nets	97		Excitement	4.0 [1052]		MVP	Aron Baynes (BOS): +10.1%
Boston Celtics	110		Comeback	1.4 [557]		LVP	Rondae Hollis-Jefferson (BKN): -12.7%

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jarrett Allen	0.07	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.08	0.00	0.01	5	83%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Dante Cunningham	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.03	0.00	7	57%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Allen Crabbe	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.10	0.00	0.07	13	59%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Nik Stauskas	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.01	12	58%	0.07	4	-0.05	7	57%	-0.01
Timofey Mozgov	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.06	0.00	0.06	4	78%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
James Webb III	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Acy	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.03	0.00	0.05	6	67%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Milton Doyle	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	-0.00	-0.04	11	24%	-0.05	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Caris LeVert	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	-0.00	-0.03	13	39%	0.01	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
D'Angelo Russell	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	12	46%	0.01	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.12	-0.02	-0.01	5	0%	-0.08	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Aron Baynes	0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.03	-0.01	23	54%	0.13	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Guerschon Yabusele	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.12	0.01	0.04	10	70%	0.09	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Semi Ojeleye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.01	-0.04	8	44%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonathan Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	0.01	0.03	13	69%	0.05	3	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Greg Monroe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	9	45%	-0.00	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Abdel Nader	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.11	0.01	-0.06	15	28%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Shane Larkin	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.03	-0.01	0.07	12	50%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jabari Bird	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.09	-0.01	-0.03	6	44%	-0.01	4	-0.05	4	75%	0.00
Kadeem Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.00	0.01	6	43%	-0.02	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.3	2.3	24.4	14.6	26.7	2.3	25.4	118.0
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +6.8%

BOS +3.8%

BOS +28.7%

BOS +9.4%

BOS +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BKN	BOS	NBA	BKN	BOS	NBA
this game	13.8	14.4	14.7	95.1	107.8	107.5
season	14.7	15.1		105.8	106.4
opponent	14.7	14.1		103.5	109.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BKN	11.7	16.2	13.7	14.1	13.8
BOS	14.9	15.1	13.4	14.2	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Timofey Mozgov	19	20	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.18	6	-19	25	13.5	13.9	-0.45	14.3	14.4	-0.05
James Webb III	25	26	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.06	0	-13	13	14.1	13.8	0.31	14.2	14.5	-0.32
Milton Doyle	54	52	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.19	4	-17	21	13.9	13.8	0.06	14.3	14.5	-0.17
Caris LeVert	64	62	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.01	-6	-7	1	13.5	14.5	-1.00	15.2	13.1	2.13
Quincy Acy	54	53	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.06	-4	-9	5	13.2	14.6	-1.44	13.6	15.3	-1.72
Jarrett Allen	40	40	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.10	-11	-2	-9	14.1	13.6	0.50	15.5	13.7	1.82
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson	35	37	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.01	-8	-5	-3	14.1	13.7	0.46	15.4	13.8	1.63
Dante Cunningham	45	43	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.02	-10	-3	-7	13.9	13.8	0.04	13.4	15.1	-1.68
D'Angelo Russell	47	48	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.03	-14	1	-15	14.1	13.6	0.53	15.0	13.9	1.15
Allen Crabbe	53	55	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.12	-10	-3	-7	13.9	13.7	0.21	14.6	14.1	0.53
Nik Stauskas	74	74	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.09	-12	-1	-11	14.1	13.2	0.87	13.3	17.2	-3.94

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Abdel Nader	83	82	0.56	-0.06	0.61	-0.03	20	-7	27	13.9	16.6	-2.75	13.6	14.9	-1.38
Shane Larkin	55	53	0.50	-0.00	0.50	-0.14	22	-9	31	14.5	14.3	0.17	14.1	13.6	0.56
Aron Baynes	44	44	0.47	0.03	0.43	-0.18	22	-9	31	15.0	13.9	1.07	13.7	13.9	-0.24
Semi Ojeleye	58	58	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.12	10	3	7	13.7	15.3	-1.59	14.5	13.0	1.56
Guerschon Yabusele	61	60	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.01	9	4	5	14.4	14.3	0.08	13.7	14.0	-0.27
Jabari Bird	63	62	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.10	4	9	-5	14.5	14.2	0.39	13.7	14.0	-0.26
Jonathan Gibson	52	54	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.22	-3	16	-19	14.2	14.6	-0.37	13.6	14.2	-0.61
Greg Monroe	42	45	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.20	-7	20	-27	14.3	14.4	-0.10	14.2	13.6	0.60
Kadeem Allen	52	52	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.30	-12	25	-37	15.4	13.4	2.02	13.6	14.1	-0.46

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.45,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.69,0.69,0.62,0.63,0.56,0.55,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.68,0.59,0.64,0.59,0.67,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.83,0.88,0.96,0.96,0.91,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.94,0.96,0.97,1,0.99,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 86, CHI 104	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.6,0.56,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.67,0.77,0.71,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.73,0.79,0.82,0.87,0.89,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%
IND 91, MIA 105	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.65,0.71,0.66,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.67,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.7,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.82,0.87,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.95,0.95,0.93,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%
NOH 84, DEN 102	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.6,0.69,0.71,0.72,0.77,0.61,0.54,0.67,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.84,0.92,0.89,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%