NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	104		Excitement	9.4 [93]		MVP	Ryan Anderson (NOH): +47.0%
New Orleans Hornets	100		Comeback	12.3 [93]		LVP	Eric Gordon (NOH): -35.9%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vince Carter	0.43	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.43	0.14	0.30	0.01	13	76%	0.60	2	-0.17	3	100%	0.02
Dirk Nowitzki	0.21	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.12,0.1,0.13,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.15	0.08	0.02	17	68%	0.24	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.03
Mike James	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.12	0.03	0.10	0.00	4	62%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.02	0.08	-0.01	12	52%	0.14	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Bernard James	-0.00	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.01	0.01	2	100%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jae Crowder	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	5	40%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Darren Collison	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	8	52%	0.02	2	-0.05	5	100%	0.03
Brandan Wright	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	11	42%	0.01	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
O.J. Mayo	-0.25	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.25,-0.25	-0.05	-0.19	0.01	11	37%	-0.22	1	-0.03	5	40%	-0.06

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ryan Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.21,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.47	0.47	0.14	0.34	-0.00	11	77%	0.50	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.04
Jason Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.25,0.2,0.34,0.34,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.10	0.14	-0.03	15	63%	0.26	1	0.01	5	80%	-0.02
Lance Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Davis	0,0,0,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	12	38%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Robin Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	3	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Brian Roberts	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	7	36%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Austin Rivers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	5	20%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al-Farouq Aminu	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.04	-0.02	10	32%	-0.07	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Greivis Vasquez	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.12	-0.12	-0.04	-0.09	-0.01	7	36%	-0.09	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Eric Gordon	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.13,-0.25,-0.36	-0.36	-0.01	-0.34	0.01	19	49%	-0.02	4	-0.34	9	89%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.9	2.5	32.7	15.7	25.6	1.7	38.3	138.4
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +59.5%

NOH -15.6%

NOH -9.0%

DAL +2.3%

DAL +12.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	NOH	NBA	DAL	NOH	NBA
this game	14.8	16.4	15.4	111.8	108.7	104.1
season	14.5	16.3		104.3	103.9
opponent	15.6	15.6		108.1	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	14.1	18.8	10.8	16.4	14.8
NOH	17.2	15.5	15.9	17.1	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
O.J. Mayo	73	70	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.29	14	-10	24	14.9	14.3	0.59	16.2	16.8	-0.58
Shawn Marion	67	66	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.38	10	-6	16	13.7	17.6	-3.96	16.3	16.5	-0.22
Mike James	37	40	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.67	-2	6	-8	15.0	14.6	0.44	17.4	15.6	1.89
Vince Carter	55	55	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.46	0	4	-4	15.1	14.3	0.80	16.3	16.5	-0.27
Dirk Nowitzki	63	63	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.24	4	0	4	15.7	12.9	2.75	16.2	16.9	-0.70
Elton Brand	44	43	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.15	4	0	4	14.5	15.0	-0.54	17.5	15.4	2.04
Bernard James	31	31	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	-0.24	4	0	4	13.7	15.3	-1.58	15.7	16.7	-0.96
Darren Collison	62	59	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	-0.21	3	1	2	14.6	15.1	-0.45	15.9	17.2	-1.25
Jae Crowder	24	24	-0.14	0.64	-0.79	0.09	-8	12	-20	14.6	14.8	-0.24	17.0	16.1	0.89
Brandan Wright	9	9	-0.18	0.68	-0.87	0.08	-9	13	-22	19.2	14.3	4.94	13.6	16.7	-3.13

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brian Roberts	22	21	0.14	-0.64	0.78	-0.10	8	-12	20	17.2	16.1	1.11	17.8	13.9	3.87
Anthony Davis	46	47	0.13	-0.63	0.77	0.02	4	-8	12	15.6	17.2	-1.59	15.2	14.3	0.95
Lance Thomas	21	19	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.07	2	-6	8	15.5	16.6	-1.11	17.2	14.1	3.01
Austin Rivers	34	34	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.15	2	-6	8	16.7	16.2	0.56	15.1	14.6	0.47
Jason Smith	45	44	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.33	0	-4	4	16.2	16.6	-0.40	15.7	14.0	1.70
Ryan Anderson	61	61	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.52	6	-10	16	16.5	16.1	0.43	15.2	14.0	1.21
Eric Gordon	60	60	-0.39	-0.12	-0.27	-0.24	-5	1	-6	16.0	17.2	-1.19	14.7	14.8	-0.04
Al-Farouq Aminu	72	74	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.28	-6	2	-8	16.5	16.1	0.36	14.1	17.2	-3.01
Robin Lopez	31	34	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.05	-18	14	-32	18.0	15.6	2.39	12.2	16.2	-4.03
Greivis Vasquez	68	71	-0.67	0.17	-0.85	-0.29	-13	9	-22	16.3	16.6	-0.33	13.7	18.0	-4.30

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.36,0.37,0.31,0.31,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.63,0.58,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.56,0.52,0.37,0.28,0.34,0.34,0.47,0.33,0.42,0.26,0.46,0.46,0.69,0.79,0.65,0.72,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 82, BOS 81	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.41,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.44,0.45,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.64,0.63,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.59,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.34,0.34,0.37,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.47,0.81,0.72,0.69,0.42,0	90.8%
ATL 110, OKC 108	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.48,0.4,0.33,0.35,0.4,0.32,0.4,0.35,0.38,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.72,0.61,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.56,0.36,0.38,0.34,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.41,0.53,0.61,0.86,0.71,0.78,0.42,0	89.8%
SAC 96, LAC 93	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.5,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.49,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.67,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.63,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.62,0.45,0.38,0.48,0.44,0.32,0.38,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.41,0.4,0.47,0.62,0.64,0.9,0.58,0	89.2%