NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	96		Excitement	10.3 [56]		MVP	Kawhi Leonard (SAS): +40.2%
Cleveland Cavaliers	95		Comeback	6.5 [259]		LVP	Kyrie Irving (CLE): -60.5%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kawhi Leonard	0.40	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.4	-0.02	0.43	0.00	10	59%	0.71	4	-0.31	2	100%	0.01
Gary Neal	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.29,0.14	0.06	0.08	0.00	12	62%	0.19	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
DeJuan Blair	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.10	0.03	0.00	7	80%	0.13	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Tony Parker	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.03	0.08	-0.04	0.01	14	67%	0.13	3	-0.09	8	100%	0.06
Manu Ginobili	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	62%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tiago Splitter	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	6	43%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.03
Matt Bonner	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	-0.04	0.00	2	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nando De Colo	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	3	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Duncan	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.06	-0.02	15	41%	-0.07	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Danny Green	-0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	8	21%	-0.12	1	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dion Waiters	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.1,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.3	0.30	0.07	0.23	-0.01	15	59%	0.36	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.03
Tyler Zeller	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.07	0.05	0.00	10	73%	0.17	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
CJ Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.06	0.00	11	45%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Walton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.03	0.00	2	67%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	-0.00	8	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alonzo Gee	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.00	5	58%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Marreese Speights	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.01	12	35%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Wayne Ellington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.04	-0.00	6	38%	-0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Tristan Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	13	38%	-0.02	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Kyrie Irving	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.6	-0.60	-0.19	-0.42	-0.01	15	19%	-0.39	2	-0.22	2	100%	0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.9	2.6	26.5	15.7	29.4	1.6	30.6	127.3
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +74.4%

CLE -8.0%

CLE -14.3%

CLE -5.9%

SAS +3.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	CLE	NBA	SAS	CLE	NBA
this game	14.9	15.3	15.4	100.0	100.0	104.1
season	15.2	15.5		106.4	102.5
opponent	15.2	15.1		107.7	99.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	15.3	16.0	12.0	16.8	14.9
CLE	16.0	16.0	14.2	15.2	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tim Duncan	53	53	0.92	-0.42	1.34	0.48	15	-14	29	14.1	15.8	-1.74	14.5	16.2	-1.67
Gary Neal	48	49	0.74	-0.24	0.99	0.57	6	-5	11	15.6	14.2	1.42	15.2	15.3	-0.08
Tony Parker	67	67	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.57	4	-3	7	14.9	14.9	0.02	15.2	15.6	-0.41
Kawhi Leonard	67	65	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.57	-2	3	-5	14.5	15.8	-1.36	14.9	16.1	-1.14
Matt Bonner	18	17	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.58	-7	8	-15	16.8	14.4	2.34	15.9	15.2	0.73
Danny Green	57	57	0.03	0.47	-0.45	-0.03	2	-1	3	14.7	15.1	-0.43	15.6	14.8	0.78
DeJuan Blair	35	35	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.02	0	1	-1	15.5	14.5	1.01	16.4	14.6	1.81
Boris Diaw	35	37	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	-0.11	0	1	-1	14.8	14.9	-0.16	15.6	15.1	0.51
Manu Ginobili	20	19	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.01	-4	5	-9	15.0	14.8	0.22	15.7	15.2	0.50
Tiago Splitter	56	53	-0.26	0.76	-1.02	-0.20	-2	3	-5	14.4	15.5	-1.11	14.8	15.9	-1.07
Nando De Colo	24	23	-0.27	0.77	-1.04	-0.07	-7	8	-15	15.5	14.7	0.78	15.7	15.1	0.60

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
CJ Miles	38	40	0.33	-0.83	1.16	0.10	8	-9	17	16.2	14.7	1.50	16.7	13.6	3.09
Luke Walton	34	34	0.17	-0.67	0.85	0.09	3	-4	7	15.5	15.2	0.29	16.4	14.0	2.33
Tristan Thompson	57	59	0.16	-0.66	0.83	0.19	-1	0	-1	15.3	15.2	0.12	13.7	16.8	-3.06
Kyrie Irving	62	65	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	0	-1	15.6	14.6	0.99	14.3	16.0	-1.66
Marreese Speights	30	31	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	0.08	-3	2	-5	15.2	15.3	-0.12	15.7	14.5	1.28
Tyler Zeller	68	68	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.55	2	-3	5	15.4	15.0	0.35	14.7	15.2	-0.43
Shaun Livingston	41	40	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.51	-1	0	-1	14.3	16.0	-1.66	15.3	14.5	0.81
Wayne Ellington	36	34	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.47	-4	3	-7	14.9	15.5	-0.59	15.2	14.7	0.56
Dion Waiters	63	63	-0.73	0.23	-0.95	-0.55	-6	5	-11	15.4	15.1	0.33	14.6	15.4	-0.74
Alonzo Gee	46	46	-0.83	0.33	-1.15	-0.77	-2	1	-3	14.8	15.8	-1.01	13.7	15.9	-2.18

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.63,0.58,0.61,0.7,0.73,0.69,0.6,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.66,0.57,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.79,0.68,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 105, MEM 96	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.73,0.63,0.6,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.52,0.62,0.68,0.69,0.65,0.53,0.86,0.79,0.45,0.17,0	91.7%
DEN 102, SAS 96	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.5,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.67,0.76,0.73,0.66,0.54,0.59,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.68,0.58,0.57,0.62,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.6,0.53,0.64,0.55,0.58,0	91.5%
PHI 84, MIN 82	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.69,0.71,0.7,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.66,0.67,0.7,0.67,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.62,0.52,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.66,0.74,0.63,0.68,0.26,0	91.5%