NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	105		Excitement	8.5 [172]		MVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): +46.0%
Memphis Grizzlies	96		Comeback	6.0 [367]		LVP	Lamar Odom (LAL): -15.1%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0.46	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.17,0.17,0.46	0.13	0.35	0.02	23	67%	0.62	5	-0.16	8	62%	-0.03
Pau Gasol	0.20	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.2,0.2	0.07	0.14	0.01	10	62%	0.20	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Andrew Bynum	0.07	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	8	72%	0.11	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Sasha Vujacic	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	1	150%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Mihm	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.04	0.00	2	75%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Walton	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	6	50%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	4	40%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Derek Fisher	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.02,-0.02,-0.11,-0.11	0.00	-0.11	0.01	7	58%	-0.00	2	-0.11	5	80%	0.01
Lamar Odom	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.02,-0.02,-0.15	-0.07	-0.08	0.00	12	40%	-0.10	2	-0.05	6	67%	-0.02

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Darko Milicic	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.04	0.08	-0.00	5	79%	0.15	2	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
O.J. Mayo	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.14,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,0.11	0.11	0.01	0.11	0.01	19	56%	0.31	4	-0.21	1	100%	0.01
Rudy Gay	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.24,0.24,0.2,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.07	0.07	0.09	-0.02	0.00	18	62%	0.14	2	-0.07	1	100%	0.01
Mike Conley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,0.1,0.1,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	7	59%	0.05	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.03
Kyle Lowry	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	7	40%	0.03	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Greg Buckner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hakim Warrick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.04	0.01	11	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.04
Quinton Ross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	2	50%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Marc Gasol	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.10	-0.02	-0.03	7	44%	0.03	5	-0.13	4	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.0	2.6	28.4	15.8	27.2	2.6	39.2	142.7
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +24.1%

MEM -5.8%

LAL +27.7%

LAL +13.5%

MEM -9.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	MEM	NBA	LAL	MEM	NBA
this game	15.6	16.4	15.5	116.7	106.7	106.4
season	14.9	16.1		110.6	101.7
opponent	15.3	15.4		107.6	102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	16.9	14.6	15.1	15.9	15.6
MEM	15.2	17.5	15.5	17.5	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lamar Odom	51	50	0.84	-0.34	1.18	0.31	18	-9	27	14.9	16.5	-1.68	15.6	17.4	-1.87
Pau Gasol	67	66	0.80	-0.30	1.10	0.39	14	-5	19	15.3	16.4	-1.08	15.0	20.2	-5.23
Derek Fisher	79	77	0.67	-0.17	0.85	0.35	11	-2	13	15.4	17.1	-1.71	16.0	18.8	-2.76
Kobe Bryant	73	73	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.28	9	0	9	15.7	15.2	0.44	15.6	19.9	-4.28
Trevor Ariza	53	54	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.26	0	9	-9	15.3	15.9	-0.61	17.0	15.5	1.52
Luke Walton	37	36	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.02	9	0	9	15.9	15.3	0.61	15.5	17.0	-1.52
Chris Mihm	13	12	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.02	-3	12	-15	13.5	15.9	-2.40	18.1	16.2	1.93
Sasha Vujacic	22	24	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	-0.08	-3	12	-15	15.7	15.6	0.12	18.2	15.7	2.51
Andrew Bynum	36	38	-0.19	0.69	-0.89	-0.19	0	9	-9	17.1	14.6	2.58	17.8	15.4	2.48
Vladimir Radmanovic	19	20	-0.43	0.93	-1.36	-0.14	-10	19	-29	17.4	15.1	2.32	21.6	14.9	6.74

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Hakim Warrick	42	42	0.23	-0.73	0.97	0.03	7	-16	23	18.0	15.0	2.93	16.0	15.2	0.86
Greg Buckner	22	21	0.18	-0.68	0.86	0.06	4	-13	17	17.1	16.2	0.96	16.4	15.3	1.03
Marc Gasol	66	66	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	0.05	-9	0	-9	15.0	20.2	-5.12	14.8	17.8	-3.06
Mike Conley	43	42	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.34	3	-12	15	17.9	15.0	2.91	16.1	15.1	1.04
Kyle Lowry	47	48	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.10	-12	3	-15	15.0	17.9	-2.91	15.1	16.1	-1.04
Quinton Ross	27	25	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.25	-6	-3	-3	17.3	16.0	1.32	15.5	15.6	-0.15
Darko Milicic	58	59	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.25	-6	-3	-3	17.4	14.6	2.77	16.9	13.0	3.90
Rudy Gay	75	76	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	-0.31	-9	0	-9	15.4	21.5	-6.07	15.2	17.8	-2.60
O.J. Mayo	70	71	-0.77	0.27	-1.05	-0.27	-17	8	-25	16.4	16.3	0.14	15.2	17.1	-1.86

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.73,0.63,0.6,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.52,0.62,0.68,0.69,0.65,0.53,0.86,0.79,0.45,0.17,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 96, CLE 95	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.63,0.58,0.61,0.7,0.73,0.69,0.6,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.66,0.57,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.79,0.68,0.42,0	91.7%
CHI 90, NYK 89	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.58,0.62,0.55,0.49,0.58,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.41,0.41,0.49,0.52,0.62,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.74,0.81,0.67,0.75,0.63,0.41,0.26,0	91.3%
SEA 84, DEN 80	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.49,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.56,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.48,0.39,0.45,0.48,0.59,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.54,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.68,0.76,0.67,0.81,0.79,0.68,0.15,0	91.2%