NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	102		Excitement	5.8 [612]		MVP	Nene (WAS): +26.9%
Milwaukee Bucks	90		Comeback	2.5 [240]		LVP	Brandon Jennings (MIL): -21.1%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nene	0.27	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.21,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.13	0.13	-0.01	13	75%	0.30	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Bradley Beal	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.2,0.2,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.17	0.04	0.02	17	74%	0.23	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Kevin Seraphin	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.01	-0.02	5	64%	0.09	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Emeka Okafor	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	-0.02	0.02	8	67%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
John Wall	-0.01	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.02	-0.02	6	78%	0.13	7	-0.14	6	67%	-0.01
A.J. Price	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Garrett Temple	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Martell Webster	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	0.02	7	57%	0.02	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Chris Singleton	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	6	29%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	9	52%	0.04	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Ekpe Udoh	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.03	-0.03	7	33%	0.03	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.01
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	5	55%	0.02	1	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01
John Henson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	5	40%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Monta Ellis	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	21	47%	0.04	2	-0.03	9	67%	-0.04
Luc Mbah a Moute	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	5	67%	0.03	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Beno Udrih	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	8	37%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joel Przybilla	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ersan Ilyasova	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.02	-0.06	0.02	17	50%	-0.04	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Brandon Jennings	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.18	-0.05	-0.02	17	19%	-0.20	1	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	2.5	24.4	15.3	23.5	1.8	27.2	119.1
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +75.0%

WAS +9.4%

MIL -8.0%

MIL -25.9%

MIL -0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	MIL	NBA	WAS	MIL	NBA
this game	15.8	14.9	15.4	108.5	95.7	104.1
season	15.1	14.7		98.8	101.6
opponent	15.3	15.7		103.9	101.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	13.7	15.4	16.6	17.7	15.8
MIL	14.0	15.2	16.1	14.2	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bradley Beal	68	69	0.79	-0.29	1.07	-0.01	27	-15	42	16.1	15.1	0.98	15.1	14.0	1.10
Trevor Ariza	65	65	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.02	19	-7	26	15.3	17.0	-1.70	14.6	15.5	-0.91
Nene	73	75	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.04	15	-3	18	15.6	16.3	-0.64	14.6	15.8	-1.24
A.J. Price	28	28	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.12	12	0	12	16.4	15.5	0.86	16.0	14.3	1.69
Kevin Seraphin	29	29	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.07	5	7	-2	15.1	16.1	-1.04	15.0	14.8	0.27
Emeka Okafor	49	49	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.20	-2	14	-16	14.8	16.9	-2.11	14.9	14.8	0.01
Chris Singleton	28	27	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.03	3	9	-6	17.5	15.0	2.49	16.0	14.4	1.56
John Wall	66	66	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.03	0	12	-12	15.5	16.4	-0.86	14.3	16.0	-1.69
Martell Webster	38	37	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.08	-4	16	-20	17.5	14.6	2.92	14.9	14.8	0.07
Garrett Temple	26	25	-0.29	0.79	-1.07	0.15	-15	27	-42	15.1	16.1	-0.98	14.0	15.1	-1.10

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Samuel Dalembert	33	35	0.11	-0.61	0.72	-0.13	8	-20	28	14.7	14.9	-0.24	16.0	15.7	0.34
Luc Mbah a Moute	30	30	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.05	2	-14	16	13.9	15.3	-1.35	15.5	15.9	-0.42
Ersan Ilyasova	68	69	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.08	-1	-11	10	14.4	16.1	-1.75	15.5	16.6	-1.16
Joel Przybilla	11	10	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	0.05	-8	-4	-4	13.6	15.0	-1.38	12.0	16.2	-4.24
Brandon Jennings	78	77	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.15	-3	-9	6	14.6	15.9	-1.31	15.7	16.2	-0.48
Ekpe Udoh	46	45	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.06	-8	-4	-4	15.3	14.4	0.93	15.8	15.8	-0.02
Mike Dunleavy	53	53	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.12	-8	-4	-4	15.3	14.3	0.95	16.5	14.8	1.70
John Henson	26	25	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.07	-11	-1	-10	16.1	14.4	1.75	16.6	15.5	1.16
Monta Ellis	84	86	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.14	-11	-1	-10	14.9	14.6	0.28	15.9	14.7	1.13
Beno Udrih	41	40	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	0.01	-20	8	-28	15.3	14.5	0.74	15.7	15.8	-0.06

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.67,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.64,0.57,0.53,0.64,0.62,0.67,0.61,0.56,0.52,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.39,0.27,0.29,0.23,0.25,0.27,0.39,0.29,0.26,0.31,0.23,0.29,0.36,0.38,0.22,0.18,0.28,0.19,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 99, LAC 93	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.42,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.35,0.3,0.32,0.28,0.18,0.25,0.36,0.26,0.22,0.3,0.24,0.12,0.08,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.03,0.15,0	93.6%
MIA 105, BOS 91	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.59,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.56,0.62,0.68,0.71,0.65,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.47,0.42,0.39,0.37,0.29,0.28,0.39,0.33,0.36,0.29,0.32,0.28,0.3,0.37,0.25,0.22,0.26,0.21,0.17,0.23,0.21,0.16,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.01,0,0	93.4%
LAC 81, MIA 71	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.67,0.66,0.61,0.56,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.3,0.21,0.26,0.3,0.3,0.33,0.38,0.25,0.28,0.3,0.22,0.25,0.26,0.34,0.29,0.33,0.19,0.17,0.12,0.06,0.03,0.02,0,0,0	93.1%