NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	81		Excitement	5.9 [631]		MVP	Sean Rooks (LAC): +9.6%
Miami Heat	71		Comeback	2.3 [209]		LVP	Darius Miles (LAC): -16.2%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sean Rooks	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.04	0.03	-0.02	8	61%	0.10	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Quentin Richardson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.01	0.04	-0.01	19	51%	0.04	0	0.00	11	55%	-0.05
Harold Jamison	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	12	54%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Keyon Dooling	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.00	3	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corey Maggette	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	6	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff McInnis	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	18	39%	-0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Michael Olowokandi	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.14	0.00	-0.05	14	29%	-0.04	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Eric Piatkowski	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	4	0%	-0.10	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Darius Miles	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.05	-0.04	7	14%	-0.06	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alonzo Mourning	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.04	-0.01	10	63%	0.10	1	-0.03	7	71%	-0.02
Rod Strickland	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	0.03	16	54%	0.01	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.02
Vladimir Stepania	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
LaPhonso Ellis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	5	25%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Eddie House	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	8	25%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jim Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.06	-0.04	11	37%	-0.06	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Brian Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.07	-0.05	0.00	4	25%	-0.06	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Kendall Gill	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.02	-0.00	9	30%	-0.08	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Eddie Jones	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.15	-0.03	-0.04	13	31%	-0.12	1	-0.03	9	89%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.8	2.5	28.0	14.8	27.0	1.8	26.1	126.0
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +36.6%

MIA -16.7%

LAC +19.4%

LAC +11.4%

MIA -0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	MIA	NBA	LAC	MIA	NBA
this game	17.1	16.6	15.6	95.3	82.6	102.3
season	15.9	16.5		103.6	96.6
opponent	15.8	15.4		98.2	104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	16.7	14.8	18.1	18.9	17.1
MIA	15.3	18.8	16.1	16.3	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darius Miles	52	53	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.11	18	-8	26	16.9	17.3	-0.33	16.8	16.4	0.41
Quentin Richardson	68	68	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.19	14	-4	18	16.6	19.0	-2.41	16.4	17.6	-1.26
Jeff McInnis	77	77	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.23	8	2	6	17.2	16.0	1.18	16.4	18.2	-1.79
Sean Rooks	41	41	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.10	9	1	8	17.1	17.0	0.15	15.8	17.4	-1.60
Michael Olowokandi	48	50	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.13	4	6	-2	17.2	16.9	0.32	16.7	16.6	0.10
Keyon Dooling	10	10	0.12	0.38	-0.25	-0.02	5	5	0	13.8	17.5	-3.71	19.5	16.2	3.26
Eric Piatkowski	49	51	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.13	-1	11	-12	16.4	18.0	-1.56	17.1	15.9	1.23
Corey Maggette	32	32	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.05	0	10	-10	19.4	15.7	3.75	17.4	16.1	1.31
Harold Jamison	48	48	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.12	-7	17	-24	17.3	16.8	0.56	16.1	17.3	-1.16

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vladimir Stepania	9	9	0.11	-0.61	0.72	-0.07	6	-16	22	13.1	17.0	-3.91	16.6	17.1	-0.58
Kendall Gill	39	39	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.04	-3	-7	4	17.4	16.0	1.36	16.8	17.3	-0.56
Eddie House	21	19	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.05	-4	-6	2	19.3	15.8	3.53	17.1	17.1	0.04
LaPhonso Ellis	44	42	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.12	-7	-3	-4	16.5	16.8	-0.33	17.9	16.3	1.65
Rod Strickland	65	66	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.15	-6	-4	-2	15.8	19.3	-3.53	17.1	17.1	-0.04
Eddie Jones	72	73	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.23	-6	-4	-2	15.6	22.0	-6.43	17.2	16.6	0.57
Alonzo Mourning	70	68	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.08	-12	2	-14	17.0	14.9	2.06	15.9	21.6	-5.72
Brian Grant	53	54	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.18	-9	-1	-8	17.8	14.8	3.02	18.0	15.4	2.65
Jim Jackson	57	55	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.20	-9	-1	-8	16.6	16.7	-0.16	17.1	17.0	0.06

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.67,0.66,0.61,0.56,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.3,0.21,0.26,0.3,0.3,0.33,0.38,0.25,0.28,0.3,0.22,0.25,0.26,0.34,0.29,0.33,0.19,0.17,0.12,0.06,0.03,0.02,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 105, BOS 91	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.59,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.56,0.62,0.68,0.71,0.65,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.47,0.42,0.39,0.37,0.29,0.28,0.39,0.33,0.36,0.29,0.32,0.28,0.3,0.37,0.25,0.22,0.26,0.21,0.17,0.23,0.21,0.16,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.01,0,0	94.4%
SAS 72, CHH 70	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.46,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.62,0.65,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.56,0.54,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.33,0.29,0.25,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.38,0.48,0.45,0.37,0.33,0.25,0.3,0.22,0.21,0.28,0.27,0.14,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0	93.1%
WAS 102, MIL 90	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.67,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.64,0.57,0.53,0.64,0.62,0.67,0.61,0.56,0.52,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.39,0.27,0.29,0.23,0.25,0.27,0.39,0.29,0.26,0.31,0.23,0.29,0.36,0.38,0.22,0.18,0.28,0.19,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0	93.1%