NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	100		Excitement	8.0 [247]		MVP	Carmelo Anthony (NYK): +29.7%
Minnesota Timberwolves	94		Comeback	14.8 [142]		LVP	Jose Juan Barea (MIN): -18.1%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carmelo Anthony	0.30	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.19,0.28,0.4,0.3	0.14	0.16	0.00	26	59%	0.32	1	-0.02	9	89%	0.06
Tyson Chandler	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.1,0.1	0.01	0.10	0.00	3	50%	0.10	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.05
J.R. Smith	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,-0.07,-0.07,0.09	0.05	0.04	-0.00	14	52%	0.09	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Amar'e Stoudemire	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.03	-0.01	7	73%	0.16	2	-0.07	1	100%	0.00
Steve Novak	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.01	0.00	9	58%	0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Kurt Thomas	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.02	5	58%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Pablo Prigioni	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Iman Shumpert	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.03	0.01	11	46%	0.00	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derrick Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.03	-0.02	17	50%	0.08	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.02
Ricky Rubio	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.04	-0.00	14	49%	0.09	1	-0.03	9	56%	-0.06
Nikola Pekovic	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.02	0.01	10	64%	0.10	3	-0.06	5	80%	0.01
Dante Cunningham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	-0.00	7	47%	0.01	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Luke Ridnour	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.12,0.16,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.01	0.01	0.08	-0.07	0.00	15	62%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Chris Johnson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mickael Gelabale	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Stiemsma	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Alexey Shved	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	10	35%	-0.05	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Jose Juan Barea	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.08	-0.10	-0.00	6	38%	-0.10	3	-0.08	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	2.5	29.5	15.5	24.9	1.5	32.5	130.2
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +51.5%

NYK +2.5%

NYK +16.7%

MIN -21.4%

NYK +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	MIN	NBA	NYK	MIN	NBA
this game	16.6	16.1	15.4	112.4	108.0	104.1
season	16.2	15.6		107.9	101.3
opponent	14.9	15.5		103.4	103.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	16.5	16.8	18.9	14.5	16.6
MIN	17.0	16.7	16.2	14.9	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
J.R. Smith	65	63	0.73	-0.23	0.97	0.32	14	-8	22	16.1	17.8	-1.73	16.1	16.3	-0.25
Raymond Felton	69	66	0.72	-0.22	0.93	0.39	11	-5	16	17.0	15.1	1.84	16.8	14.1	2.65
Jason Kidd	58	57	0.70	-0.20	0.91	0.38	11	-5	16	16.1	17.5	-1.50	15.8	16.8	-0.94
Tyson Chandler	61	59	0.65	-0.15	0.81	0.45	7	-1	8	17.2	15.2	2.03	16.5	15.4	1.17
Carmelo Anthony	73	71	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.40	1	5	-4	16.8	15.7	1.08	16.5	14.6	1.94
Kurt Thomas	10	12	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.04	0	6	-6	15.2	16.7	-1.55	15.7	16.2	-0.56
Iman Shumpert	23	24	-0.17	0.67	-0.83	-0.02	-5	11	-16	16.2	16.7	-0.48	15.8	16.3	-0.44
Steve Novak	27	25	-0.17	0.67	-0.85	-0.06	-4	10	-14	16.7	16.5	0.19	15.6	16.4	-0.71
Pablo Prigioni	20	21	-0.22	0.72	-0.93	-0.07	-5	11	-16	15.1	17.0	-1.84	14.1	16.8	-2.65
Amar'e Stoudemire	39	37	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	-0.22	0	6	-6	17.2	16.1	1.17	16.2	16.1	0.07

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derrick Williams	61	63	0.24	-0.74	0.98	0.12	4	-10	14	16.2	16.1	0.05	16.4	16.9	-0.49
Chris Johnson	6	5	0.21	-0.71	0.92	0.06	5	-11	16	15.8	16.2	-0.34	20.8	16.3	4.48
Greg Stiemsma	23	24	0.18	-0.68	0.85	0.03	5	-11	16	14.7	16.7	-1.98	16.6	16.6	0.01
Alexey Shved	48	50	0.04	-0.54	0.57	0.12	-3	-3	0	16.1	16.2	-0.15	16.3	16.9	-0.62
Mickael Gelabale	24	24	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.02	-4	-2	-2	16.2	16.1	0.02	16.4	16.6	-0.21
Ricky Rubio	70	70	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.39	-4	-2	-2	16.4	15.3	1.06	17.1	14.6	2.54
Luke Ridnour	67	68	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.40	-7	1	-8	15.7	17.6	-1.95	16.4	17.3	-0.93
Dante Cunningham	31	33	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.43	-6	0	-6	16.9	15.7	1.12	17.9	15.8	2.17
Jose Juan Barea	41	43	-0.62	0.12	-0.75	-0.36	-9	3	-12	16.1	16.2	-0.14	15.1	17.9	-2.82
Nikola Pekovic	64	65	-0.68	0.18	-0.85	-0.35	-11	5	-16	16.7	14.7	1.98	16.6	16.6	-0.01

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.44,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.42,0.55,0.48,0.38,0.52,0.52,0.41,0.52,0.67,0.74,0.78,0.75,0.8,0.88,0.94,0.8,0.87,0.8,0.54,0.69,0.16,0
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 103, SEA 98	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.64,0.74,0.82,0.75,0.84,0.85,0.82,0.81,0.78,0.62,0.64,0.55,0.16,0	91.6%
NYK 104, SAS 100	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.57,0.55,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.37,0.34,0.39,0.36,0.42,0.41,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.42,0.52,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.8,0.88,0.94,0.88,0.78,0.75,0.64,0.68,0.04,0	91.0%
IND 82, BOS 79	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.35,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.39,0.41,0.46,0.42,0.54,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.33,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.81,0.83,0.84,0.78,0.9,0.78,0.71,0.27,0	90.7%