NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	98		Excitement	8.7 [154]		MVP	Charlie Villanueva (DET): +20.7%
Detroit Pistons	97		Comeback	1.4 [701]		LVP	Will Bynum (DET): -35.4%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Blake	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	0.00	5	60%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jodie Meeks	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	-0.00	-0.02	3	83%	0.04	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Antawn Jamison	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.01	0.00	8	50%	0.04	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Kobe Bryant	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,0,0	-0.07	0.06	-0.01	20	42%	0.13	3	-0.13	3	67%	0.01
Pau Gasol	-0.00	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.09,0.09,0	0.05	-0.07	-0.02	18	57%	0.03	2	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Metta World Peace	-0.02	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	0.01	8	44%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Earl Clark	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,-0.05	0.08	-0.13	0.00	11	61%	-0.05	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.19
Steve Nash	-0.15	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.15	-0.08	-0.02	0.04	10	48%	-0.04	4	-0.11	3	33%	-0.09

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Charlie Villanueva	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,0.04,0.04,0.16,0.11,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.04	0.17	0.00	9	56%	0.21	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Monroe	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	0.00	14	67%	0.13	4	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Jonas Jerebko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	3	83%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kim English	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Maxiell	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	7	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Rodney Stuckey	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	6	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Knight	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.12	-0.05	-0.01	13	33%	-0.09	3	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Kyle Singler	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.05	-0.12	0.01	12	42%	-0.14	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Andre Drummond	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,-0.21	-0.21	-0.04	-0.19	-0.01	10	37%	-0.21	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.05
Will Bynum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.19,-0.1,-0.35	-0.35	-0.03	-0.33	-0.00	18	49%	-0.22	3	-0.13	1	0%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.7	0.6	32.3	17.8	22.4	1.7	35.1	134.7
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +69.4%

DET -20.2%

DET -5.0%

LAL +1.6%

LAL +4.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	DET	NBA	LAL	DET	NBA
this game	14.7	14.0	15.4	98.0	96.0	104.1
season	14.9	15.7		106.0	102.3
opponent	15.5	15.3		106.6	105.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	15.3	12.5	16.5	14.5	14.7
DET	14.7	13.6	12.9	14.9	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Pau Gasol	84	86	0.69	-0.18	0.87	0.39	10	-9	19	14.3	16.6	-2.28	14.0	14.1	-0.07
Kobe Bryant	77	79	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.47	1	0	1	14.7	14.6	0.11	13.7	15.2	-1.50
Steve Nash	70	70	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.39	2	-1	3	14.2	15.6	-1.36	14.4	13.0	1.41
Metta World Peace	76	77	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.49	-4	5	-9	14.5	15.1	-0.57	14.1	13.8	0.23
Earl Clark	88	87	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.52	-8	9	-17	15.1	11.1	4.05	13.7	16.0	-2.31
Jodie Meeks	21	20	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.05	5	-4	9	14.5	14.7	-0.16	15.6	13.6	1.98
Antawn Jamison	52	53	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.00	5	-4	9	14.6	14.7	-0.07	14.5	13.5	0.97
Steve Blake	32	33	-0.14	0.64	-0.79	0.03	-6	7	-13	15.6	14.2	1.34	12.9	14.5	-1.64

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andre Drummond	50	48	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.41	11	-12	23	13.5	14.5	-0.97	14.9	14.5	0.39
Jonas Jerebko	23	21	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	0.05	-6	5	-11	14.3	13.9	0.38	13.4	15.0	-1.61
Greg Monroe	73	68	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.02	-4	3	-7	13.1	16.4	-3.35	15.1	13.6	1.55
Will Bynum	60	62	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.55	13	-14	27	13.8	14.4	-0.60	14.5	14.9	-0.35
Kyle Singler	85	85	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.54	12	-13	25	13.5	16.7	-3.26	15.0	12.7	2.33
Rodney Stuckey	47	47	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.11	-3	2	-5	14.0	14.0	-0.02	16.2	13.3	2.95
Kim English	18	17	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	0.04	-9	8	-17	15.2	13.8	1.41	11.1	15.4	-4.26
Charlie Villanueva	28	32	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.45	3	-4	7	16.4	13.1	3.35	13.6	15.1	-1.55
Jason Maxiell	51	52	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.06	-12	11	-23	14.5	13.5	0.97	14.5	14.9	-0.39
Brandon Knight	70	68	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.29	-10	9	-19	14.5	13.0	1.46	14.5	14.9	-0.38

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.52,0.52,0.43,0.43,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.37,0.51,0.53,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.32,0.29,0.27,0.28,0.27,0.31,0.2,0.26,0.21,0.13,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.15,0.13,0.25,0.26,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.21,0.35,0.33,0.45,0.16,0.43,0.26,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 107, PHI 104	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.33,0.26,0.3,0.35,0.4,0.34,0.29,0.35,0.33,0.34,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.23,0.17,0.24,0.19,0.16,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.19,0.21,0.15,0.06,0.12,0.17,0.23,0.14,0.24,0.27,0.38,0.29,0.33,0.16,0	92.3%
LAL 84, TOR 83	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.39,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.44,0.5,0.49,0.42,0.38,0.31,0.32,0.32,0.23,0.2,0.21,0.19,0.11,0.1,0.14,0.12,0.11,0.13,0.16,0.13,0.2,0.14,0.1,0.2,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.28,0.16,0.26,0.24,0.22,0.24,0.15,0.34,0.08,0	91.4%
OKC 108, LAC 104	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.36,0.45,0.39,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.4,0.32,0.34,0.29,0.24,0.21,0.14,0.16,0.11,0.14,0.08,0.11,0.14,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.15,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.12,0.21,0.35,0.33,0.32,0.08,0.07,0.27,0	90.9%