NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	108		Excitement	7.1 [375]		MVP	Serge Ibaka (OKC): +32.3%
Los Angeles Clippers	104		Comeback	1.3 [625]		LVP	Chris Paul (LAC): -9.7%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Serge Ibaka	0.32	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.32	0.13	0.20	0.00	9	80%	0.35	1	-0.03	2	50%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	0.31	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.22,0.31	0.06	0.24	-0.01	20	58%	0.40	3	-0.10	10	70%	0.02
Thabo Sefolosha	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.00	-0.02	7	64%	0.06	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Martin	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.04	0.06	-0.02	12	37%	0.04	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Kevin Durant	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	25	54%	0.10	4	-0.07	15	80%	0.04
Hasheem Thabeet	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Reggie Jackson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	67%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Nick Collison	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kendrick Perkins	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.16,0.04,0.04,0.22,0.27	0.27	0.08	0.19	0.01	13	71%	0.37	3	-0.11	2	100%	0.03
Blake Griffin	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.04	0.18	0.02	14	59%	0.25	2	-0.05	6	67%	-0.06
Caron Butler	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.01	8	56%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.01	3	87%	0.05	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Matt Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	8	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Grant Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronny Turiaf	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Hollins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	4	75%	0.01	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Eric Bledsoe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	2	50%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Chauncey Billups	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.10	-0.00	-0.02	3	14%	-0.04	3	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,-0.06,-0.1	-0.10	0.01	-0.07	0.04	21	51%	-0.03	3	-0.07	9	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.9	3.3	30.5	17.4	31.6	2.8	42.8	157.3
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +39.0%

LAC -4.6%

OKC +4.2%

OKC +9.8%

OKC +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	LAC	NBA	OKC	LAC	NBA
this game	15.1	14.9	15.4	111.3	109.5	104.1
season	14.8	15.6		109.3	109.0
opponent	15.7	15.5		102.8	100.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	14.5	15.1	14.9	15.7	15.1
LAC	14.9	14.9	15.1	15.0	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Serge Ibaka	59	58	0.67	-0.17	0.83	0.34	11	-7	18	14.9	15.2	-0.26	16.0	13.3	2.75
Russell Westbrook	81	80	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.27	13	-9	22	14.5	18.1	-3.61	15.4	12.4	3.03
Kendrick Perkins	52	50	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.22	12	-8	20	14.6	15.6	-1.06	16.6	13.1	3.53
Kevin Durant	91	90	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.41	1	3	-2	15.1	15.0	0.05	14.9	16.2	-1.32
Thabo Sefolosha	79	76	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.39	0	4	-4	15.0	15.4	-0.48	14.7	16.0	-1.32
Kevin Martin	48	49	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.06	0	4	-4	15.6	14.6	1.01	14.1	15.8	-1.75
Hasheem Thabeet	18	18	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.00	2	2	0	14.6	15.2	-0.61	14.7	15.0	-0.28
Reggie Jackson	16	15	-0.15	0.65	-0.79	0.12	-9	13	-22	18.1	14.5	3.61	12.4	15.4	-3.03
Nick Collison	41	39	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	0.10	-10	14	-24	15.6	14.6	0.97	13.1	16.3	-3.22

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Bledsoe	18	18	0.24	-0.74	0.99	-0.02	9	-13	22	11.9	15.6	-3.70	19.2	14.1	5.12
Ronny Turiaf	14	14	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.01	-2	-2	0	14.4	15.0	-0.69	15.1	15.0	0.02
Ryan Hollins	12	11	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	0.02	-3	-1	-2	15.1	14.9	0.16	14.2	15.2	-0.98
Lamar Odom	45	47	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.41	11	-15	26	13.8	16.0	-2.22	15.1	15.0	0.11
Matt Barnes	52	55	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.40	10	-14	24	14.1	16.0	-1.84	15.2	14.9	0.30
Jamal Crawford	61	63	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.44	10	-14	24	14.2	16.3	-2.05	14.9	15.3	-0.37
Grant Hill	17	18	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.03	-5	1	-6	15.1	14.9	0.21	14.9	15.1	-0.20
DeAndre Jordan	32	31	-0.20	-0.29	0.09	0.03	-8	4	-12	16.0	14.4	1.63	14.9	15.1	-0.17
Chauncey Billups	34	34	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.06	-14	10	-24	16.3	14.2	2.05	15.3	14.9	0.37
Caron Butler	45	45	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.14	-9	5	-14	16.1	13.9	2.13	14.4	15.6	-1.26
Blake Griffin	63	66	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.31	-6	2	-8	15.5	13.9	1.62	15.2	14.8	0.36
Chris Paul	82	83	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.28	-13	9	-22	15.4	12.3	3.06	14.5	18.4	-3.86

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.36,0.45,0.39,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.4,0.32,0.34,0.29,0.24,0.21,0.14,0.16,0.11,0.14,0.08,0.11,0.14,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.15,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.12,0.21,0.35,0.33,0.32,0.08,0.07,0.27,0
Game		Similarity Score
BKN 105, PHI 101	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.43,0.34,0.35,0.29,0.34,0.35,0.4,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.31,0.31,0.19,0.14,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.1,0.11,0.04,0.06,0.14,0.13,0.25,0.07,0.09,0.27,0	94.0%
GSW 81, LAL 76	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.53,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.32,0.36,0.28,0.24,0.28,0.25,0.2,0.14,0.09,0.1,0.13,0.08,0.16,0.11,0.13,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.13,0.12,0.21,0.24,0.28,0.31,0.16,0.05,0.04,0	93.7%
PHI 93, MIA 90	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.3,0.26,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.35,0.23,0.26,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.1,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.21,0.14,0.08,0.17,0.34,0.27,0.2,0.22,0.1,0.08,0	93.5%