NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	89		Excitement	6.7 [447]		MVP	Amar'e Stoudemire (NYK): +12.0%
Boston Celtics	86		Comeback	1.8 [618]		LVP	Kevin Garnett (BOS): -17.7%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Amar'e Stoudemire	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.07	0.06	0.02	7	68%	0.14	1	-0.02	8	87%	0.02
Pablo Prigioni	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.04	0.03	-0.02	3	100%	0.09	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.00	0.05	0.00	2	71%	0.10	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.03
Jason Kidd	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.02	10	60%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Iman Shumpert	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.01	0.01	10	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Brewer	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carmelo Anthony	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0,-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	28	45%	0.10	2	-0.10	6	83%	0.02
Steve Novak	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James White	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	4	50%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
J.R. Smith	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.2,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.25,-0.25,-0.12,-0.12	-0.14	0.01	-0.02	16	26%	-0.05	2	-0.06	3	67%	-0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Courtney Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.02	0.00	3	67%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jared Sullinger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.02	0.00	4	58%	0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Rajon Rondo	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.15,-0.17,-0.15,-0.15,-0.11,-0.06,0,0,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.04	0.01	19	55%	0.16	4	-0.14	4	75%	0.02
Jason Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jeff Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.03,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	7	64%	0.06	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Bass	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	0.03	3	50%	-0.00	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Paul Pierce	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.02	-0.06	-0.00	15	52%	0.07	2	-0.10	12	75%	0.00
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	0.00	6	17%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Avery Bradley	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.04	-0.08	0.02	7	36%	-0.11	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.05	-0.11	0.01	9	36%	-0.15	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	3.4	35.8	18.6	27.5	2.7	37.0	151.4
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +32.8%

BOS -1.0%

NYK +6.2%

NYK +8.8%

NYK +3.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	BOS	NBA	NYK	BOS	NBA
this game	17.0	13.8	15.4	94.7	92.5	104.1
season	16.2	14.9		107.9	101.2
opponent	16.2	15.5		101.7	103.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	14.4	15.6	16.7	22.1	17.0
BOS	15.0	12.1	15.3	12.8	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
J.R. Smith	69	66	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.33	9	-6	15	17.4	15.9	1.49	13.5	14.5	-1.05
Tyson Chandler	75	75	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.46	0	3	-3	17.6	14.7	2.92	14.0	12.9	1.03
Carmelo Anthony	79	77	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.36	3	0	3	17.2	15.9	1.36	13.8	13.4	0.41
Pablo Prigioni	30	29	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.10	8	-5	13	17.8	16.7	1.11	14.7	13.4	1.33
Amar'e Stoudemire	41	42	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.00	11	-8	19	15.5	18.2	-2.74	12.8	14.6	-1.80
Steve Novak	29	25	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.02	10	-7	17	16.9	17.1	-0.21	14.1	13.7	0.42
Jason Kidd	64	64	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.32	-5	8	-13	16.7	17.8	-1.11	13.4	14.7	-1.33
Iman Shumpert	52	52	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.31	-6	9	-15	17.9	16.0	1.91	13.6	14.0	-0.45
Ronnie Brewer	1	2	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.02	0	3	-3	1.0	17.2	-16.18	18.5	13.7	4.83
Kurt Thomas	4	4	-0.14	0.64	-0.79	0.09	-8	11	-19	19.0	16.9	2.08	7.2	14.1	-6.82
James White	26	29	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.05	-7	10	-17	14.8	17.9	-3.05	15.9	12.8	3.03

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Avery Bradley	60	60	0.04	-0.54	0.59	-0.31	12	-15	27	13.4	14.4	-1.01	17.4	16.4	0.98
Brandon Bass	41	41	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.01	0	-3	3	14.3	13.3	0.97	14.8	18.7	-3.87
Jason Collins	3	3	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.05	-3	0	-3	11.7	13.8	-2.18	10.3	17.2	-6.90
Kevin Garnett	61	61	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.40	9	-12	21	14.3	12.8	1.51	18.0	15.2	2.77
Paul Pierce	73	76	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.44	8	-11	19	13.1	16.1	-3.03	17.2	16.1	1.11
Leandro Barbosa	19	17	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	0.05	-9	6	-15	14.9	13.5	1.41	14.9	17.5	-2.53
Jared Sullinger	31	31	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.06	-9	6	-15	13.0	14.2	-1.16	15.6	17.7	-2.13
Jeff Green	45	47	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.34	0	-3	3	13.4	14.1	-0.77	18.5	15.5	2.96
Rajon Rondo	78	79	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.43	2	-5	7	13.4	15.8	-2.42	17.2	16.1	1.12
Jason Terry	26	28	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.18	-8	5	-13	15.2	13.2	1.97	17.7	16.7	0.95
Courtney Lee	28	27	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	0.01	-17	14	-31	15.0	13.2	1.80	16.6	17.2	-0.53

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.6,0.56,0.51,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.37,0.44,0.36,0.26,0.3,0.21,0.13,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.13,0.25,0.22,0.23,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 92, SAS 86	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.65,0.63,0.55,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.38,0.31,0.37,0.32,0.22,0.1,0.04,0.05,0.1,0.14,0.19,0.17,0.25,0.14,0.15,0.02,0	93.2%
NJN 110, PHX 103	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.54,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.54,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.4,0.57,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.62,0.52,0.41,0.37,0.25,0.26,0.22,0.29,0.27,0.1,0.06,0.08,0.04,0.05,0.12,0.15,0.02,0	93.1%
MEM 98, NOH 91	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.59,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.6,0.65,0.62,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.65,0.61,0.59,0.56,0.61,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.32,0.34,0.37,0.36,0.22,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.12,0.13,0.19,0.15,0.04,0.01,0	92.8%