NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	98		Excitement	5.7 [724]		MVP	Lorenzen Wright (MEM): +17.1%
New Orleans Hornets	91		Comeback	1.9 [328]		LVP	Bostjan Nachbar (NOH): -16.2%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lorenzen Wright	0.17	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.10	0.08	0.01	10	73%	0.17	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Earl Watson	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1	0.04	0.03	-0.03	7	69%	0.13	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.00
Shane Battier	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.03	0.06	-0.00	6	75%	0.16	2	-0.07	4	75%	-0.00
Stromile Swift	0.09	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.09	0.05	0.06	0.02	8	76%	0.13	2	-0.04	9	100%	0.04
Jake Tsakalidis	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bonzi Wells	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Ryan Humphrey	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Brian Cardinal	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	3	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jason Williams	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	14	47%	0.05	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Mike Miller	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	8	72%	0.09	5	-0.15	2	100%	0.02
Dahntay Jones	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	0.01	4	36%	-0.05	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.02

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dan Dickau	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.05	-0.00	18	53%	0.11	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Chris Andersen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.01	0.01	9	65%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Casey Jacobsen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	0.00	5	79%	0.08	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Rodney Rogers	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	0.00	0.02	7	81%	0.09	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Jackson Vroman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
J.R. Smith	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	-0.01	9	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Junior Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lee Nailon	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.06	-0.03	13	50%	-0.02	4	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
P.J. Brown	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.05	-0.06	0.01	12	42%	-0.06	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Bostjan Nachbar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.11	-0.05	0.00	6	0%	-0.13	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.5	28.5	15.0	26.1	1.7	36.0	136.0
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +45.2%

MEM +20.4%

NOH -10.7%

NOH -8.1%

MEM +3.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	NOH	NBA	MEM	NOH	NBA
this game	16.2	16.8	15.5	111.4	104.6	104.0
season	16.4	16.5		103.7	97.7
opponent	15.7	15.5		105.2	101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	14.5	19.1	15.7	16.0	16.2
NOH	17.5	20.9	16.3	13.3	16.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lorenzen Wright	75	74	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.31	13	-6	19	16.2	15.9	0.28	17.4	13.2	4.24
Earl Watson	49	48	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.24	11	-4	15	16.5	15.8	0.70	16.6	16.9	-0.25
Shane Battier	72	72	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.29	9	-2	11	16.0	17.0	-1.03	16.5	18.0	-1.50
Stromile Swift	67	68	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.21	6	1	5	15.4	18.4	-2.98	15.8	20.1	-4.28
Dahntay Jones	23	21	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.13	8	-1	9	15.4	16.4	-0.98	14.3	17.5	-3.20
Jason Williams	50	50	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.17	-1	8	-9	15.2	17.4	-2.27	15.5	18.4	-2.87
Mike Miller	38	39	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.01	0	7	-7	16.3	16.0	0.28	19.2	14.8	4.43
Ryan Humphrey	10	10	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.02	-1	8	-9	19.8	15.7	4.11	17.5	16.7	0.84
Bonzi Wells	19	18	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.00	-2	9	-11	16.2	16.2	-0.00	16.9	16.7	0.23
Brian Cardinal	30	29	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.05	-4	11	-15	17.5	15.5	2.03	19.0	15.7	3.31
Jake Tsakalidis	7	6	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.04	-4	11	-15	19.9	15.8	4.02	13.8	17.0	-3.14

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
J.R. Smith	46	48	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.17	6	-13	19	15.3	18.4	-3.04	17.0	15.1	1.94
Chris Andersen	38	38	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.13	3	-10	13	15.8	17.5	-1.77	16.9	15.6	1.39
Lee Nailon	71	72	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.24	5	-12	17	15.7	21.2	-5.50	16.0	16.9	-0.87
Jackson Vroman	8	7	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.04	-5	-2	-3	20.1	16.4	3.71	19.3	15.9	3.40
Junior Harrington	5	5	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.01	-5	-2	-3	22.6	16.4	6.20	18.6	16.0	2.59
Rodney Rogers	64	64	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.29	3	-10	13	16.8	16.6	0.26	16.7	14.8	1.82
Dan Dickau	82	83	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.31	-2	-5	3	16.4	22.6	-6.20	16.0	18.6	-2.59
Bostjan Nachbar	13	14	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.08	-12	5	-17	22.5	15.8	6.70	16.3	16.1	0.15
Casey Jacobsen	41	40	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.12	-13	6	-19	18.4	15.3	3.04	15.1	17.0	-1.94
P.J. Brown	67	69	-0.62	0.12	-0.75	-0.18	-15	8	-23	16.8	16.5	0.27	15.1	20.1	-4.97

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.59,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.6,0.65,0.62,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.65,0.61,0.59,0.56,0.61,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.32,0.34,0.37,0.36,0.22,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.12,0.13,0.19,0.15,0.04,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 92, SAS 86	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.65,0.63,0.55,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.38,0.31,0.37,0.32,0.22,0.1,0.04,0.05,0.1,0.14,0.19,0.17,0.25,0.14,0.15,0.02,0	94.3%
MEM 106, ORL 96	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.56,0.55,0.61,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.61,0.61,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.45,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.32,0.22,0.16,0.21,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.02,0	94.0%
NOK 102, DEN 95	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.62,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.69,0.63,0.63,0.59,0.59,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.5,0.45,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.38,0.39,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.3,0.19,0.15,0.13,0.19,0.22,0.12,0.13,0.19,0.07,0.01,0.03,0	93.4%