NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	110		Excitement	6.3 [438]		MVP	Deron Williams (NJN): +42.3%
Phoenix Suns	103		Comeback	1.9 [263]		LVP	Mehmet Okur (NJN): -11.5%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Deron Williams	0.42	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.24,0.3,0.37,0.42,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.42	0.25	0.16	-0.01	18	80%	0.46	2	-0.04	8	87%	0.04
Kris Humphries	0.18	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.18	0.11	0.08	0.00	8	75%	0.18	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Anthony Morrow	0.16	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16	0.10	0.05	-0.01	11	73%	0.18	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
MarShon Brooks	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.07	0.05	-0.00	15	61%	0.17	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.00
Johan Petro	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Farmar	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.02	7	62%	0.04	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
DeShawn Stevenson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawne Williams	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	2	17%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Shelden Williams	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	4	25%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mehmet Okur	-0.12	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12	-0.09	-0.02	0.00	13	42%	-0.00	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marcin Gortat	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.14	0.05	0.01	14	69%	0.18	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Jared Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.12	0.03	0.01	10	75%	0.14	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.02
Channing Frye	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.00	-0.01	10	68%	0.09	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Hakim Warrick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.01	4	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robin Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	100%	0.04	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Shannon Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.02	14	46%	0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Sebastian Telfair	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.04	-0.03	8	37%	-0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Price	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.09,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.04	-0.06	0.03	11	72%	0.06	4	-0.11	3	100%	0.03
Michael Redd	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	5	20%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Markieff Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	0.00	3	37%	-0.02	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.8	1.7	26.2	15.4	24.5	2.7	38.0	133.2
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +41.3%

NJN +3.9%

NJN +7.3%

PHX -0.9%

PHX -1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	PHX	NBA	NJN	PHX	NBA
this game	16.9	14.7	15.6	120.9	113.2	102.8
season	16.2	15.0		101.3	104.7
opponent	15.7	15.2		104.9	107.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	18.2	15.0	16.2	18.3	16.9
PHX	13.7	17.8	13.9	13.5	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
MarShon Brooks	66	68	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.32	5	2	3	17.6	15.2	2.41	14.5	15.2	-0.63
Mehmet Okur	73	75	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.19	7	0	7	17.2	15.7	1.52	15.3	12.0	3.28
Shelden Williams	33	33	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.12	9	-2	11	15.5	17.8	-2.29	17.0	13.4	3.60
DeShawn Stevenson	24	23	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.04	11	-4	15	16.3	17.2	-0.83	14.3	14.9	-0.59
Jordan Farmar	35	35	0.34	0.16	0.19	-0.01	12	-5	17	16.2	17.4	-1.26	15.6	14.1	1.50
Anthony Morrow	74	73	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.32	-5	12	-17	16.8	17.5	-0.65	14.1	17.2	-3.07
Kris Humphries	53	54	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.29	-4	11	-15	19.0	14.1	4.92	13.7	16.2	-2.50
Deron Williams	79	78	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.24	-3	10	-13	16.6	19.0	-2.37	14.4	16.2	-1.78
Johan Petro	5	5	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.02	2	5	-3	16.4	17.0	-0.58	12.0	14.9	-2.86
Shawne Williams	13	11	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	-0.07	1	6	-5	13.2	17.6	-4.33	14.9	14.7	0.23

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shannon Brown	67	67	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.20	6	-13	19	14.7	14.8	-0.18	16.9	17.2	-0.36
Channing Frye	59	57	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.27	4	-11	15	14.3	15.4	-1.04	17.1	16.7	0.38
Jared Dudley	73	72	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.25	2	-9	11	14.1	17.1	-2.93	16.9	17.2	-0.34
Ronnie Price	62	61	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.29	3	-10	13	13.3	17.6	-4.28	17.4	16.0	1.46
Marcin Gortat	63	62	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.33	3	-10	13	14.4	15.4	-1.05	17.0	16.8	0.27
Robin Lopez	28	29	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	0.01	-9	2	-11	15.4	14.4	1.05	16.8	17.0	-0.27
Sebastian Telfair	29	30	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	0.03	-11	4	-15	17.6	13.3	4.28	16.0	17.4	-1.46
Hakim Warrick	18	19	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.04	-9	2	-11	17.1	14.1	2.93	17.2	16.9	0.34
Markieff Morris	32	34	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.03	-11	4	-15	15.4	14.3	1.04	16.7	17.1	-0.38
Michael Redd	24	24	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.10	-13	6	-19	14.8	14.7	0.18	17.2	16.9	0.36

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.54,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.54,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.4,0.57,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.62,0.52,0.41,0.37,0.25,0.26,0.22,0.29,0.27,0.1,0.06,0.08,0.04,0.05,0.12,0.15,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 123, PHX 110	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.44,0.51,0.55,0.44,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.5,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.47,0.52,0.59,0.4,0.36,0.26,0.22,0.21,0.17,0.15,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.1,0.02,0.01,0,0	93.3%
SAS 114, PHX 104	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.4,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.64,0.61,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.67,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.52,0.37,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.26,0.25,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.1,0.05,0.11,0.1,0.08,0	93.2%
NYK 89, BOS 86	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.6,0.56,0.51,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.37,0.44,0.36,0.26,0.3,0.21,0.13,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.13,0.25,0.22,0.23,0.02,0	93.1%