NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	93		Excitement	7.9 [252]		MVP	Kyrie Irving (CLE): +46.6%
Portland Trail Blazers	88		Comeback	1.2 [345]		LVP	Nicolas Batum (POR): -24.2%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyrie Irving	0.47	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.21,0.47	0.10	0.35	-0.01	24	60%	0.52	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.06
Tyler Zeller	0.05	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.01	7	58%	0.07	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.02
CJ Miles	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.02	0.04	-0.02	11	36%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Walton	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	9	39%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Omri Casspi	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	2	43%	-0.01	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Alonzo Gee	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.05	-0.00	5	56%	-0.02	1	-0.01	6	83%	0.01
Dion Waiters	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.04	-0.01	9	23%	-0.11	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Tristan Thompson	-0.17	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.09,-0.12,-0.18,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.17,-0.17	-0.05	-0.11	0.01	15	47%	-0.06	3	-0.11	10	50%	-0.24

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damian Lillard	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	-0.01	0.19	-0.03	9	50%	0.25	2	-0.04	8	75%	-0.01
JJ Hickson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.09	0.09	0.03	0.05	-0.01	8	59%	0.12	2	-0.03	6	50%	-0.11
Wesley Matthews	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,-0.01	-0.01	0.05	-0.05	0.01	13	63%	0.13	3	-0.14	1	100%	0.00
Nolan Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	4	37%	0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Pavlovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joel Freeland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	3	37%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jared Jeffries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.02	-0.02	5	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Will Barton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	4	10%	-0.10	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14	-0.14	-0.02	-0.12	0.00	14	50%	0.05	2	-0.20	2	50%	-0.01
Nicolas Batum	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.07,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.13,-0.24,-0.24	-0.24	-0.09	-0.15	0.01	17	59%	-0.03	9	-0.21	5	80%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.6	2.0	27.3	15.4	25.5	1.7	37.2	133.6
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +7.3%

CLE +5.7%

POR -6.4%

CLE +44.0%

POR -0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	POR	NBA	CLE	POR	NBA
this game	16.3	15.0	15.4	102.2	94.6	104.1
season	15.5	15.8		102.5	104.3
opponent	15.3	15.2		107.6	107.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	15.6	15.6	17.2	16.9	16.3
POR	16.4	14.4	14.1	15.1	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyler Zeller	77	79	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.26	12	-7	19	15.8	19.1	-3.27	15.2	13.7	1.53
Alonzo Gee	60	62	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.38	8	-3	11	15.9	17.1	-1.25	14.8	15.4	-0.61
Kyrie Irving	75	75	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.41	-1	6	-7	16.2	16.9	-0.76	14.5	17.3	-2.88
Tristan Thompson	72	73	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.40	-2	7	-9	16.2	16.7	-0.48	14.3	17.5	-3.23
CJ Miles	63	64	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.30	-2	7	-9	16.0	17.1	-1.15	14.4	16.3	-1.89
Omri Casspi	11	11	0.23	0.27	-0.05	-0.10	11	-6	17	16.2	16.3	-0.14	18.5	14.5	4.01
Luke Walton	33	34	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.05	0	5	-5	17.7	15.5	2.18	16.0	14.5	1.51
Dion Waiters	40	41	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.02	0	5	-5	17.4	15.4	2.04	16.1	14.1	2.03
Shaun Livingston	24	26	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.05	-1	6	-7	16.9	16.1	0.77	15.3	14.9	0.36

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joel Freeland	23	23	0.15	-0.65	0.79	-0.06	7	-12	19	14.6	15.1	-0.53	18.6	15.5	3.02
Jared Jeffries	31	30	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	0.01	-2	-3	1	14.4	15.3	-0.89	16.7	16.1	0.59
Sasha Pavlovic	11	11	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.01	-4	-1	-3	17.5	14.7	2.77	15.7	16.4	-0.66
Nolan Smith	24	22	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.07	-3	-2	-1	15.2	14.9	0.32	17.2	16.0	1.15
Will Barton	28	27	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.06	-5	0	-5	16.6	14.3	2.28	17.6	15.8	1.83
Nicolas Batum	74	73	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.20	-1	-4	3	14.6	16.7	-2.17	16.2	16.9	-0.79
Damian Lillard	71	70	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.30	-1	-4	3	14.8	15.8	-1.06	16.1	17.0	-0.90
Wesley Matthews	71	70	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.41	-1	-4	3	14.6	16.2	-1.59	16.0	17.3	-1.33
JJ Hickson	60	60	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.27	-8	3	-11	14.9	15.2	-0.27	15.7	17.5	-1.83
LaMarcus Aldridge	73	70	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.37	-9	4	-13	15.5	13.4	2.05	15.7	18.3	-2.63

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.55,0.5,0.46,0.38,0.34,0.37,0.31,0.29,0.3,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.19,0.17,0.2,0.16,0.21,0.16,0.13,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.3,0.29,0.23,0.22,0.13,0.14,0.13,0.15,0.16,0.18,0.28,0.23,0.36,0.46,0.4,0.25,0.21,0.55,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 93, MIN 92	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.41,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.28,0.31,0.27,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.13,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.16,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.21,0.26,0.2,0.18,0.13,0.09,0.06,0.13,0.1,0.18,0.2,0.23,0.31,0.47,0.39,0.38,0.28,0.23,0.73,0	91.4%
MEM 89, DET 84	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.42,0.35,0.3,0.27,0.26,0.3,0.32,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.32,0.31,0.27,0.22,0.29,0.2,0.11,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.17,0.19,0.16,0.17,0.16,0.17,0.23,0.12,0.22,0.26,0.34,0.28,0.42,0.47,0.4,0.53,0.53,0.29,0.32,0.27,0	90.9%
MIA 91, MIL 87	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.36,0.32,0.25,0.26,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.25,0.28,0.29,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.2,0.14,0.17,0.26,0.3,0.26,0.19,0.22,0.27,0.24,0.32,0.29,0.25,0.18,0.16,0.15,0.1,0.15,0.18,0.2,0.27,0.22,0.4,0.34,0.53,0.36,0.32,0.37,0	90.8%