NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	86		Excitement	9.4 [96]		MVP	Wesley Matthews (POR): +11.9%
Memphis Grizzlies	84		Comeback	2.4 [181]		LVP	Mike Conley (MEM): -33.8%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wesley Matthews	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.02	0.02	14	75%	0.18	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Will Barton	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Price	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
JJ Hickson	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,-0.03	0.06	-0.09	0.00	13	56%	-0.03	0	0.00	8	62%	-0.01
Sasha Pavlovic	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Babbitt	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,0.04,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	0.00	6	42%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Damian Lillard	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.01	-0.01	14	39%	0.00	5	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge	-0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14	-0.04	-0.11	-0.01	15	41%	-0.10	1	-0.04	7	71%	-0.00
Joel Freeland	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.08	-0.06	-0.00	4	0%	-0.08	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Nicolas Batum	-0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.06,0,-0.04,-0.16	-0.03	-0.11	0.01	11	50%	-0.09	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Hamed Haddadi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	1	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wayne Ellington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.00	5	64%	0.06	1	-0.05	4	100%	0.03
Marreese Speights	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.06,-0.1,0.01	0.01	0.05	-0.04	0.01	15	58%	0.05	2	-0.04	8	100%	0.08
Darrell Arthur	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	0.00	10	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jerryd Bayless	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marc Gasol	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	0.00	11	50%	0.05	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Rudy Gay	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.32	-0.32	-0.03	-0.30	-0.01	21	43%	-0.24	1	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Tony Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.22,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.34,-0.34,-0.34,-0.34	-0.34	-0.15	-0.18	-0.00	9	22%	-0.18	4	-0.16	0	0%	0.00
Mike Conley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.15,-0.34	-0.34	-0.06	-0.28	-0.00	8	33%	-0.31	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	2.8	25.0	15.6	24.7	2.0	39.1	135.3
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +53.2%

MEM -13.8%

MEM -4.4%

POR +12.7%

POR +2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	MEM	NBA	POR	MEM	NBA
this game	16.5	16.1	15.4	97.7	94.4	104.1
season	15.8	16.5		104.3	102.9
opponent	15.5	15.3		99.1	107.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	15.3	15.5	15.3	20.7	16.5
MEM	14.7	15.8	16.0	18.3	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nicolas Batum	73	75	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.46	7	-5	12	16.3	17.3	-1.03	15.8	17.5	-1.70
LaMarcus Aldridge	70	72	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.43	6	-4	10	15.5	20.3	-4.85	15.9	16.9	-1.08
Wesley Matthews	72	73	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.39	7	-5	12	15.7	19.9	-4.23	16.1	16.1	0.01
JJ Hickson	68	68	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.34	3	-1	4	15.9	18.3	-2.42	16.4	14.9	1.58
Damian Lillard	69	71	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.29	-1	3	-4	16.5	16.3	0.27	16.2	15.7	0.50
Ronnie Price	19	18	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.15	3	-1	4	16.3	16.5	-0.27	15.7	16.2	-0.50
Sasha Pavlovic	16	16	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.03	1	1	0	19.1	15.9	3.24	16.8	15.9	0.91
Luke Babbitt	21	20	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	-0.01	0	2	-2	18.9	15.7	3.19	15.6	16.2	-0.54
Joel Freeland	13	14	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.08	-8	10	-18	22.2	15.5	6.66	16.6	16.0	0.60
Will Barton	19	18	-0.19	0.69	-0.87	0.05	-8	10	-18	16.9	16.4	0.53	16.0	16.1	-0.08

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Hamed Haddadi	9	9	0.05	-0.55	0.59	0.02	1	-3	4	16.3	16.0	0.30	23.0	15.7	7.27
Wayne Ellington	37	37	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.23	9	-11	20	16.3	15.9	0.39	18.1	15.3	2.81
Jerryd Bayless	29	28	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.08	0	-2	2	15.6	16.3	-0.66	17.2	16.1	1.13
Darrell Arthur	40	39	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.09	-4	2	-6	15.9	16.2	-0.26	16.4	16.5	-0.07
Rudy Gay	72	70	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.53	4	-6	10	15.9	16.8	-0.93	16.0	18.4	-2.40
Mike Conley	60	60	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.36	-2	0	-2	16.3	15.6	0.66	16.1	17.2	-1.13
Marreese Speights	50	50	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.33	-3	1	-4	16.5	15.6	0.90	16.6	16.3	0.33
Tony Allen	76	77	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.18	-10	8	-18	16.1	15.8	0.26	16.2	18.4	-2.16
Marc Gasol	72	70	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.42	-5	3	-8	15.9	16.9	-1.08	15.5	20.3	-4.85

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.52,0.45,0.51,0.44,0.49,0.61,0.63,0.56,0.64,0.64,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.43,0.51,0.52,0.61,0.71,0.68,0.62,0.69,0.63,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.48,0.62,0.58,0.53,0.4,0.39,0.55,0.36,0.22,0.16,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 98, ATL 97	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.46,0.45,0.38,0.46,0.45,0.53,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.49,0.61,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.69,0.74,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.62,0.71,0.63,0.47,0.35,0.28,0.39,0.28,0.31,0.26,0	91.6%
TOR 89, WAS 86	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.46,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.61,0.59,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.59,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.64,0.7,0.64,0.62,0.59,0.52,0.6,0.52,0.44,0.46,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.53,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.15,0.32,0.08,0	91.5%
SEA 95, IND 86	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.41,0.44,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.61,0.72,0.67,0.77,0.68,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.68,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.68,0.59,0.35,0.39,0.53,0.29,0.15,0.17,0	91.2%