NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	84		Excitement	5.8 [643]		MVP	Austin Daye (DET): +15.5%
Detroit Pistons	85		Comeback	1.4 [670]		LVP	Louis Williams (ATL): -24.7%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Korver	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.04	9	53%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Josh Smith	-0.02	0,0,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	17	51%	0.04	3	-0.05	5	60%	-0.02
Anthony Tolliver	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Jenkins	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ivan Johnson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	42%	-0.01	2	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
Zaza Pachulia	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06	0.01	-0.04	0.02	5	60%	-0.03	2	-0.02	5	60%	-0.01
Al Horford	-0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.09,-0.07	0.05	-0.10	0.03	13	62%	-0.04	2	-0.03	3	0%	-0.05
Jeff Teague	-0.23	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.12,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.23	-0.15	-0.07	0.00	9	28%	-0.06	5	-0.17	0	0%	0.00
Louis Williams	-0.25	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.17,0.05,-0.02,-0.25	0.04	-0.27	0.02	15	57%	-0.11	2	-0.13	0	0%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Austin Daye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.15	0.00	-0.01	11	87%	0.18	2	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01
Rodney Stuckey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.04	0.07	-0.04	11	43%	0.11	2	-0.04	1	0%	-0.01
Andre Drummond	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	5	60%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Maxiell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.05	-0.02	6	59%	0.01	1	-0.02	5	40%	-0.09
Kyle Singler	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Villanueva	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	4	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Monroe	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	14	47%	-0.02	2	-0.04	10	80%	0.01
Will Bynum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.12	-0.02	-0.02	8	28%	-0.06	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Brandon Knight	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14	-0.14	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	11	36%	-0.08	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.23	-0.23	-0.12	-0.13	-0.01	12	23%	-0.09	1	-0.14	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.4	2.4	28.3	16.0	27.0	2.8	36.2	134.1
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +30.3%

ATL -2.5%

DET +13.2%

DET +3.9%

DET +5.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	DET	NBA	ATL	DET	NBA
this game	15.8	15.5	15.4	92.3	91.4	104.1
season	15.1	15.7		102.6	102.3
opponent	15.5	15.5		106.6	102.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	16.6	16.1	17.4	13.5	15.8
DET	17.7	13.3	15.4	16.0	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Tolliver	19	20	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.00	-3	2	-5	13.7	16.3	-2.61	14.5	15.8	-1.22
Kyle Korver	61	63	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.47	8	-9	17	16.1	15.3	0.80	16.4	13.6	2.86
Ivan Johnson	26	26	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.05	-10	9	-19	15.3	16.0	-0.75	13.0	16.5	-3.53
Zaza Pachulia	40	41	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.27	1	-2	3	15.0	16.5	-1.48	14.9	16.0	-1.12
Louis Williams	76	76	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.61	12	-13	25	16.0	14.9	1.04	15.7	14.6	1.12
Al Horford	73	75	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.47	5	-6	11	16.0	15.0	1.00	16.0	13.4	2.62
Jeff Teague	79	80	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.50	6	-7	13	15.6	17.2	-1.67	16.0	12.4	3.63
Josh Smith	57	58	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.21	-6	5	-11	16.6	14.4	2.27	15.8	15.1	0.67
John Jenkins	24	26	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.14	-18	17	-35	16.3	15.6	0.66	13.3	16.3	-3.00

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rodney Stuckey	50	50	0.82	-0.32	1.14	0.26	19	-18	37	13.6	17.7	-4.08	15.4	16.2	-0.80
Jason Maxiell	54	52	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.57	6	-5	11	16.0	14.8	1.22	16.9	14.4	2.53
Andre Drummond	42	41	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.35	8	-7	15	14.1	16.7	-2.57	14.9	16.5	-1.64
Brandon Knight	69	66	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.55	-8	9	-17	16.2	13.6	2.53	15.8	15.8	0.06
Tayshaun Prince	53	52	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.36	-4	5	-9	16.7	13.9	2.73	15.8	15.8	-0.03
Austin Daye	47	46	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.00	6	-5	11	13.9	17.2	-3.34	15.2	16.5	-1.31
Greg Monroe	63	60	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.31	-5	6	-11	16.0	14.4	1.58	16.5	14.5	1.95
Kyle Singler	26	26	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.09	-4	5	-9	18.3	14.4	3.84	17.9	15.0	2.97
Charlie Villanueva	27	27	-0.20	0.70	-0.91	0.00	-7	8	-15	15.5	15.5	-0.03	14.5	16.4	-1.88
Will Bynum	34	35	-0.31	0.81	-1.11	-0.13	-6	7	-13	15.3	15.6	-0.33	14.9	16.4	-1.44

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.68,0.78,0.75,0.75,0.8,0.84,0.81,0.8,0.82,0.88,0.89,0.88,0.91,0.94,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.87,0.85,0.91,0.9,0.9,0.92,0.92,0.95,0.93,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.96,0.93,0.64,0.76,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 110, DEN 113	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.53,0.52,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.56,0.63,0.68,0.71,0.75,0.67,0.76,0.82,0.83,0.9,0.88,0.88,0.87,0.91,0.89,0.84,0.91,0.85,0.88,0.89,0.92,0.95,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.95,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.99,1,0.99,0.96,0.93,0.86,0.96,1	94.0%
LAC 104, BOS 106	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.5,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.84,0.83,0.87,0.94,0.91,0.86,0.87,0.91,0.92,0.87,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.88,0.94,0.91,0.87,0.75,0.78,0.84,0.96,1	93.8%
ORL 94, NYK 97	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.72,0.72,0.79,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.81,0.81,0.76,0.81,0.9,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.93,0.9,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.85,0.9,1,1	93.8%