NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	94		Excitement	3.8 [1067]		MVP	Steve Francis (ORL): +14.6%
New York Knicks	97		Comeback	1.2 [1127]		LVP	Keyon Dooling (ORL): -17.1%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Francis	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.11,0.14,0.1,0.15	0.20	0.04	0.10	19	77%	0.24	4	-0.09	9	100%	0.04
Tony Battie	0.04	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	3	100%	0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Travis Diener	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pat Garrity	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	5	45%	0.01	1	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Dwight Howard	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	9	43%	0.02	2	-0.04	5	80%	0.00
Mario Kasun	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	1	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.01
DeShawn Stevenson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	0.04	10	45%	-0.02	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Hedo Turkoglu	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09	-0.02	-0.00	0.07	10	62%	-0.00	5	-0.09	6	100%	0.02
Keyon Dooling	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.1,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.22	-0.01	-0.06	12	23%	-0.07	6	-0.10	2	50%	-0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13	0.13	0.09	0.03	-0.01	14	60%	0.15	1	-0.02	7	86%	0.04
Eddy Curry	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.03	-0.01	15	61%	0.14	5	-0.07	14	79%	0.00
Channing Frye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.03	0.02	15	46%	0.03	0	0.00	9	44%	-0.05
Maurice Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	6	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jackie Butler	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Qyntel Woods	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.04	-0.00	0.03	9	61%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
David Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephon Marbury	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.07	0.02	-0.04	6	44%	0.03	3	-0.03	6	67%	0.01
Nate Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Malik Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	3	43%	-0.01	2	-0.02	8	75%	-0.01
Quentin Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.09	0.00	-0.05	6	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	2.4	31.5	16.6	29.4	2.3	41.8	147.7
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +8.7%

NYK +3.7%

NYK +15.8%

NYK +20.3%

NYK +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	NYK	NBA	ORL	NYK	NBA
this game	16.0	15.3	15.6	102.2	105.4	104.4
season	16.4	15.7		104.4	102.1
opponent	15.4	15.7		108.7	105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	19.0	16.1	15.2	14.0	16.0
NYK	13.2	15.9	16.9	15.4	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Travis Diener	27	28	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.40	12	-15	27	13.1	17.2	-4.13	15.5	15.2	0.21
Mario Kasun	15	15	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.12	2	-5	7	15.8	16.0	-0.23	15.7	15.2	0.42
Dwight Howard	77	80	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.58	11	-14	25	16.4	13.8	2.62	14.9	17.7	-2.80
Pat Garrity	37	37	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.33	1	-4	5	14.4	17.1	-2.69	16.3	14.6	1.69
Hedo Turkoglu	79	81	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.49	6	-9	15	15.5	18.8	-3.33	14.7	19.6	-4.91
DeShawn Stevenson	47	44	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.00	-11	8	-19	17.7	14.2	3.59	15.7	15.0	0.66
Steve Francis	74	74	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.38	1	-4	5	16.4	14.5	1.85	15.4	14.8	0.67
Tony Battie	53	50	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	0.14	-18	15	-33	17.0	14.6	2.34	15.6	15.0	0.67
Keyon Dooling	51	51	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.11	-19	16	-35	15.7	16.4	-0.72	15.1	15.6	-0.44

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stephon Marbury	78	78	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.25	6	-3	9	14.7	18.9	-4.26	16.0	15.8	0.24
Malik Rose	28	30	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.03	15	-12	27	15.7	15.1	0.57	13.4	17.2	-3.84
Qyntel Woods	72	71	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.26	4	-1	5	14.1	19.7	-5.67	16.5	14.4	2.02
Channing Frye	58	55	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.40	-2	5	-7	15.1	15.7	-0.57	14.9	17.6	-2.73
Jamal Crawford	56	56	0.29	0.20	0.09	0.47	-6	9	-15	15.9	14.4	1.48	14.5	18.3	-3.85
Quentin Richardson	44	44	0.29	0.21	0.07	-0.04	11	-8	19	14.9	15.7	-0.78	18.3	13.9	4.42
Eddy Curry	65	65	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.24	-1	4	-5	15.3	15.3	-0.03	16.7	14.2	2.50
David Lee	19	18	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.17	-3	6	-9	19.7	14.2	5.51	14.3	16.4	-2.06
Jackie Butler	3	4	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.05	3	0	3	7.3	15.6	-8.25	21.0	15.8	5.24
Nate Robinson	7	8	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.12	-3	6	-9	21.3	14.8	6.46	12.6	16.3	-3.68
Maurice Taylor	30	31	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.26	-9	12	-21	16.2	14.9	1.26	18.4	14.8	3.62

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.72,0.72,0.79,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.81,0.81,0.76,0.81,0.9,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.93,0.9,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.85,0.9,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 85, HOU 96	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.66,0.74,0.73,0.83,0.87,0.86,0.83,0.78,0.8,0.83,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,0.99,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%
CHI 93, UTA 104	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.58,0.62,0.64,0.7,0.72,0.74,0.71,0.73,0.78,0.84,0.86,0.85,0.82,0.86,0.84,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1	95.9%
BKN 95, NYK 111	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.55,0.53,0.52,0.56,0.59,0.57,0.6,0.57,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.7,0.78,0.83,0.83,0.77,0.73,0.76,0.74,0.85,0.88,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.89,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.96,0.93,0.98,0.95,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.9%