inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Toronto Raptors 110 Excitement5.2 [767] MVPTy Lawson (DEN): +14.8%
Denver Nuggets 113 Comeback1.4 [1211] LVPJose Calderon (TOR): -7.4%


Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
DeMar DeRozan0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.050.10-0.030.011367%0.071-0.021100%0.00
Terrence Ross0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.04,0.040.040.010.01867%0.062-0.022100%0.01
Ed Davis0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.010.00-0.01560%0.041-0.0200%0.00
Amir Johnson0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.020.05-0.000.03779%0.052-0.0400%0.00
Jonas Valanciunas0.020,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.03-0.000.01558%0.0200.00250%-0.01
Andrea Bargnani0.010,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.010.04-0.010.022055%0.052-0.04250%-0.01
Kyle Lowry0.000,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,-0.02,00.030.040.061656%0.063-0.0611100%0.12
John Lucas III-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.030.00-0.01333%-0.001-0.0200%0.00
Mickael Pietrus-0.040,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.04-0.000.00530%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Jose Calderon-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.06-0.000.00444%-0.023-0.051100%0.00

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Ty Lawson0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.17,0.15,0.150.15-0.040.15-0.041550%0.204-0.06250%-0.01
Corey Brewer0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.080.01-0.021563%0.131-0.0100%0.00
JaVale McGee0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.090.010.01565%0.0800.001656%-0.04
Jordan Hamilton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.00-0.01850%0.0300.0000%0.00
Andre Miller0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.000.01-0.01480%0.053-0.032100%0.00
Kenneth Faried0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.020.020.020.000.011155%0.042-0.031173%-0.02
Danilo Gallinari0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0-0.00-0.020.00-0.011054%0.073-0.07475%0.00
Kosta Koufos0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.090.03-0.021233%-0.021-0.02633%-0.04
Andre Iguodala0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04-0.04-0.090.00-0.04533%0.003-0.042100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.32.427.914.828.22.336.6136.5
league avg24.82.329.514.026.82.333.1134.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +36.9%
TOR -8.3%
DEN +23.1%
DEN +2.5%
TOR -4.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsTORDENNBATORDENNBA
this game14.514.315.4108.9114.1104.1
season16.114.4104.4108.4
opponent15.415.3104.0105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
TOR16.417.812.811.714.5
DEN13.612.714.416.014.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Amir Johnson3334-0.02-0.480.47-0.258-111913.515.1-1.6213.914.4-0.56
John Lucas III1110-0.07-0.420.35-0.02-2-1-115.214.50.7215.514.11.39
Andrea Bargnani8281-0.24-0.260.02-0.457-101714.514.9-0.5014.911.43.43
Kyle Lowry7067-0.25-0.250.01-0.333-6914.614.50.1315.112.52.64
Mickael Pietrus5251-0.25-0.250.00-0.10-52-715.513.61.8913.614.9-1.33
DeMar DeRozan8283-0.27-0.23-0.05-0.456-91514.116.4-2.2514.313.70.60
Ed Davis3836-0.29-0.21-0.09-0.21-30-313.415.2-1.8415.113.81.31
Jose Calderon3738-0.30-0.20-0.10-0.09-74-1114.814.40.3811.915.7-3.83
Terrence Ross5249-0.39-0.11-0.28-0.27-41-513.715.4-1.6414.913.61.28
Jonas Valanciunas4846-0.41-0.09-0.320.12-1815-3316.612.73.8513.115.3-2.22

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Andre Miller56560.69-0.190.880.3113-102313.415.3-1.9414.314.8-0.46
Kosta Koufos54570.420.080.33-0.0516-132914.414.10.3015.413.51.89
Corey Brewer44460.330.170.170.166-3913.614.8-1.1914.314.8-0.52
Danilo Gallinari69690.320.180.150.41-36-914.314.20.1214.514.6-0.07
Andre Iguodala69700.310.190.120.34-14-513.815.3-1.4614.614.40.23
Jordan Hamilton32330.270.230.040.009-61514.214.3-0.0015.214.20.99
Kenneth Faried65660.080.42-0.350.46-1316-2915.511.83.7014.215.2-1.00
Ty Lawson56580.050.45-0.400.43-1316-2915.312.92.4614.015.3-1.24
JaVale McGee50500.030.47-0.430.0112-113.315.2-1.8414.714.40.23


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.53,0.52,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.56,0.63,0.68,0.71,0.75,0.67,0.76,0.82,0.83,0.9,0.88,0.88,0.87,0.91,0.89,0.84,0.91,0.85,0.88,0.89,0.92,0.95,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.95,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.99,1,0.99,0.96,0.93,0.86,0.96,1
GameSimilarity Score
DET 86, PHX 1040.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.72,0.75,0.77,0.76,0.84,0.81,0.86,0.89,0.87,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.86,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.91,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.95,0.9,0.9,0.93,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.8%
ORL 91, LAC 1160.5,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.52,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.71,0.73,0.8,0.8,0.83,0.85,0.86,0.89,0.9,0.91,0.88,0.84,0.85,0.81,0.81,0.82,0.83,0.88,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.91,0.91,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.6%
MIL 74, ATL 950.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.76,0.79,0.75,0.72,0.8,0.79,0.88,0.89,0.9,0.89,0.84,0.84,0.84,0.9,0.94,0.88,0.87,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.6%