NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	86		Excitement	3.4 [1116]		MVP	Amar'e Stoudemire (PHX): +13.4%
Phoenix Suns	104		Comeback	1.2 [812]		LVP	Allen Iverson (DET): -16.2%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kwame Brown	0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	0.02	0.03	4	83%	0.06	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Richard Hamilton	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.00	0.02	13	63%	0.06	2	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Rasheed Wallace	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.01	10	55%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Will Bynum	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	6	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alex Acker	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	1	25%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Walter Herrmann	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Stuckey	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.07	0.03	-0.04	9	48%	0.05	4	-0.05	7	86%	0.03
Arron Afflalo	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Amir Johnson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	17%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jason Maxiell	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	0.00	7	27%	-0.04	0	0.00	1	0%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	-0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	0.01	11	40%	-0.04	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Allen Iverson	-0.16	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.21	-0.01	-0.06	17	26%	-0.07	5	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.18	0.00	0.05	17	69%	0.15	1	-0.02	8	87%	0.00
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.01	0.01	-0.07	8	62%	0.11	3	-0.02	5	40%	-0.02
Grant Hill	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.01	-0.02	8	69%	0.09	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.00	10	74%	0.12	4	-0.08	3	100%	0.01
Sean Singletary	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lou Amundson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	0.00	0.03	2	71%	0.01	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.01
Raja Bell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	6	42%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Goran Dragic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,0.02,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	12	44%	0.02	1	-0.02	3	0%	-0.04
Robin Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	6	50%	0.02	2	-0.03	6	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	2.6	32.4	15.7	28.2	2.6	28.3	137.0
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +56.0%

DET -5.0%

DET -3.2%

PHX +0.3%

PHX +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	PHX	NBA	DET	PHX	NBA
this game	15.9	16.5	15.5	96.6	116.9	106.4
season	16.9	14.1		104.9	112.1
opponent	15.5	15.7		109.9	106.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	15.8	16.9	16.4	14.4	15.9
PHX	15.5	15.8	16.4	18.3	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alex Acker	6	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-23	28	12.3	16.1	-3.79	17.5	16.4	1.08
Walter Herrmann	12	12	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.09	2	-20	22	12.5	16.4	-3.89	18.6	16.2	2.41
Will Bynum	15	15	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.13	3	-21	24	14.6	16.1	-1.52	17.3	16.3	0.93
Kwame Brown	37	37	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.09	-1	-17	16	16.2	15.6	0.60	17.5	15.8	1.65
Arron Afflalo	21	21	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.16	0	-18	18	17.3	15.4	1.92	16.7	16.4	0.29
Tayshaun Prince	64	66	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.22	1	-19	20	15.9	15.8	0.15	15.9	18.1	-2.15
Amir Johnson	28	27	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	0.24	-16	-2	-14	15.1	16.2	-1.16	15.9	16.8	-0.87
Jason Maxiell	19	20	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.09	-6	-12	6	15.8	15.9	-0.03	15.6	16.7	-1.09
Allen Iverson	69	69	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	0.11	-15	-3	-12	15.5	17.2	-1.79	16.2	17.3	-1.10
Rasheed Wallace	65	64	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.23	-19	1	-20	16.8	13.2	3.58	16.7	15.9	0.85
Richard Hamilton	67	67	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.19	-20	2	-22	16.2	14.9	1.33	16.0	18.0	-1.94
Rodney Stuckey	42	41	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	0.29	-24	6	-30	15.9	15.9	-0.02	17.0	16.1	0.94

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Boris Diaw	67	65	0.52	-0.02	0.54	-0.01	18	0	18	16.3	17.0	-0.61	15.4	17.0	-1.55
Grant Hill	67	67	0.50	-0.00	0.50	-0.35	29	-11	40	16.2	17.3	-1.09	15.7	16.3	-0.54
Amar'e Stoudemire	74	74	0.32	0.18	0.15	-0.14	16	2	14	16.1	18.3	-2.21	15.4	18.1	-2.65
Raja Bell	63	65	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.15	16	2	14	17.1	14.9	2.22	16.6	14.0	2.61
Goran Dragic	11	13	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.06	5	13	-8	17.5	16.3	1.20	15.2	16.0	-0.83
Steve Nash	71	70	0.17	0.33	-0.15	-0.06	8	10	-2	16.1	18.1	-2.03	15.6	16.9	-1.38
Shaquille O'Neal	22	23	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.05	6	12	-6	17.7	16.1	1.64	19.0	14.8	4.23
Sean Singletary	13	12	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.11	0	18	-18	18.3	16.2	2.12	16.6	15.8	0.83
Robin Lopez	28	28	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.20	-3	21	-24	15.6	16.9	-1.35	14.9	16.3	-1.47
Lou Amundson	29	28	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.24	-5	23	-28	16.8	16.4	0.39	15.9	15.9	0.04

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.72,0.75,0.77,0.76,0.84,0.81,0.86,0.89,0.87,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.86,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.91,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.95,0.9,0.9,0.93,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 113, IND 124	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.66,0.72,0.76,0.71,0.7,0.73,0.8,0.83,0.82,0.84,0.88,0.86,0.91,0.89,0.86,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.92,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.98,0.96,0.9,0.87,0.85,0.89,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%
MIL 74, ATL 95	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.76,0.79,0.75,0.72,0.8,0.79,0.88,0.89,0.9,0.89,0.84,0.84,0.84,0.9,0.94,0.88,0.87,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%
NJN 99, CHA 115	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.78,0.77,0.83,0.81,0.82,0.89,0.87,0.91,0.93,0.89,0.86,0.86,0.84,0.85,0.85,0.86,0.87,0.91,0.96,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.92,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.98,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1	96.2%