NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	74		Excitement	3.2 [1129]		MVP	Mike Bibby (ATL): +9.7%
Atlanta Hawks	95		Comeback	1.2 [1175]		LVP	Carlos Delfino (MIL): -8.9%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luc Mbah a Moute	0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	0.00	0.02	9	59%	0.05	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.00
Brandon Jennings	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.06	18	37%	0.03	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Ersan Ilyasova	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	11	48%	0.01	0	0.00	5	100%	0.01
Royal Ivey	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dan Gadzuric	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Primoz Brezec	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Luke Ridnour	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	5	43%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	7	43%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jerry Stackhouse	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Salmons	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.11	-0.00	-0.05	18	31%	-0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Delfino	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.11	-0.00	-0.02	8	19%	-0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Bibby	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.01	-0.02	12	62%	0.11	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Josh Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.01	0.00	7	79%	0.11	2	-0.02	5	80%	0.01
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.09	0.00	0.03	16	61%	0.09	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Al Horford	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.01	8	73%	0.11	3	-0.06	6	67%	0.00
Marvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	7	44%	0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	6	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Jason Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Teague	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mario West	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.10	0.00	-0.03	14	29%	-0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.2	3.7	32.2	17.7	26.2	2.8	31.1	143.9
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +41.0%

ATL +5.9%

ATL +13.1%

MIL -10.4%

ATL +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	ATL	NBA	MIL	ATL	NBA
this game	17.7	17.8	15.3	91.4	117.3	106.0
season	15.5	16.0		103.3	109.4
opponent	15.8	15.5		106.0	101.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	19.6	16.5	18.8	16.3	17.7
ATL	19.3	15.5	16.4	20.7	17.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Primoz Brezec	19	19	0.05	-0.55	0.59	0.02	1	-22	23	15.3	18.5	-3.22	20.7	17.0	3.73
Royal Ivey	6	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-22	23	10.7	18.3	-7.63	24.8	17.4	7.43
Dan Gadzuric	4	3	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	0.06	-5	-16	11	16.0	17.8	-1.82	15.0	17.9	-2.94
Jerry Stackhouse	24	22	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.06	-6	-15	9	15.1	18.8	-3.76	20.4	16.9	3.54
Luc Mbah a Moute	37	37	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.08	-2	-19	17	18.2	17.3	0.85	17.9	17.8	0.12
Luke Ridnour	38	37	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.01	-9	-12	3	17.2	18.2	-0.93	17.5	18.1	-0.68
Carlos Delfino	37	37	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	0.08	-12	-9	-3	18.4	17.2	1.20	17.7	17.9	-0.18
Ersan Ilyasova	53	54	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	0.12	-17	-4	-13	17.7	17.9	-0.20	17.3	18.8	-1.48
Brandon Jennings	70	71	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.12	-17	-4	-13	18.4	13.6	4.74	17.4	20.9	-3.51
Kurt Thomas	44	45	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	0.08	-17	-4	-13	18.6	16.7	1.84	17.3	18.5	-1.21
John Salmons	73	75	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.16	-22	1	-23	18.5	10.4	8.16	17.3	24.7	-7.39

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jamal Crawford	60	61	0.49	0.01	0.47	-0.19	23	-2	25	17.5	18.7	-1.13	17.1	19.7	-2.62
Al Horford	67	66	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.25	25	-4	29	17.6	18.8	-1.16	18.2	15.8	2.37
Marvin Williams	53	52	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.03	13	8	5	16.6	20.2	-3.59	18.5	16.3	2.21
Mike Bibby	70	70	0.38	0.12	0.27	-0.14	18	3	15	17.6	19.0	-1.36	18.4	13.6	4.74
Joe Johnson	68	67	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.09	16	5	11	17.9	17.5	0.44	18.5	14.1	4.42
Josh Smith	39	40	0.32	0.18	0.13	-0.36	23	-2	25	17.5	18.1	-0.56	18.9	16.6	2.31
Zaza Pachulia	22	22	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.11	0	21	-21	17.4	18.0	-0.64	18.0	17.6	0.44
Jason Collins	5	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	22	-23	24.8	17.4	7.43	10.7	18.3	-7.63
Jeff Teague	5	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	22	-23	24.8	17.4	7.43	10.7	18.3	-7.63
Mario West	6	5	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	24	-27	20.7	17.6	3.07	10.6	18.2	-7.60
Maurice Evans	10	10	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.17	-8	29	-37	21.8	17.3	4.53	11.7	18.6	-6.88

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.76,0.79,0.75,0.72,0.8,0.79,0.88,0.89,0.9,0.89,0.84,0.84,0.84,0.9,0.94,0.88,0.87,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 86, PHX 104	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.72,0.75,0.77,0.76,0.84,0.81,0.86,0.89,0.87,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.86,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.91,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.95,0.9,0.9,0.93,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%
WAS 91, CHH 97	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.72,0.71,0.72,0.79,0.78,0.77,0.83,0.85,0.82,0.78,0.84,0.86,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.85,0.86,0.89,0.91,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1	96.3%
MEM 68, SAS 94	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.66,0.72,0.74,0.72,0.68,0.69,0.7,0.76,0.83,0.83,0.89,0.89,0.89,0.86,0.86,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.9,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%