NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	103		Excitement	6.7 [458]		MVP	Evan Turner (PHI): +20.5%
Los Angeles Lakers	99		Comeback	1.4 [270]		LVP	Pau Gasol (LAL): -11.4%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Evan Turner	0.20	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.2	0.11	0.09	-0.01	14	63%	0.22	1	-0.02	7	57%	-0.02
Jrue Holiday	0.19	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.19	0.12	0.09	0.01	19	62%	0.21	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Spencer Hawes	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1	0.03	0.07	0.00	9	59%	0.14	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Dorell Wright	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	-0.00	-0.00	6	77%	0.08	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Lavoy Allen	0.04	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	8	62%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.01	15	40%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kwame Brown	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Nick Young	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.00	-0.01	3	12%	-0.05	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Jason Richardson	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1	-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	11	37%	-0.03	2	-0.06	2	0%	-0.02

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.18,0.11	0.11	0.07	0.02	-0.02	29	53%	0.18	3	-0.07	10	70%	-0.01
Jodie Meeks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	6	58%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	-0.02	0.02	8	59%	0.02	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Darius Morris	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.02	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Metta World Peace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	17	38%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.04	0.02	11	55%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Howard	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	7	29%	-0.08	1	-0.02	10	50%	-0.06
Pau Gasol	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.05	-0.01	12	34%	-0.08	1	-0.04	8	87%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	1.8	30.3	16.4	26.5	2.3	31.6	132.2
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +70.1%

LAL -8.0%

LAL -5.2%

LAL -9.5%

PHI +2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	LAL	NBA	PHI	LAL	NBA
this game	15.0	13.7	15.4	101.0	100.0	104.1
season	15.5	14.9		100.5	106.0
opponent	15.3	15.7		105.7	104.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	13.4	16.7	14.6	15.2	15.0
LAL	14.3	12.6	14.2	13.6	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Thaddeus Young	80	76	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.28	6	-2	8	14.3	17.3	-2.99	13.3	14.8	-1.45
Evan Turner	88	86	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.35	3	1	2	15.1	13.9	1.29	13.2	16.5	-3.31
Jrue Holiday	85	82	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.34	2	2	0	14.1	19.4	-5.33	13.5	14.5	-0.97
Jason Richardson	62	59	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.35	1	3	-2	14.5	15.7	-1.28	12.8	14.9	-2.07
Spencer Hawes	59	56	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.25	0	4	-4	15.0	14.9	0.15	13.5	13.8	-0.30
Lavoy Allen	36	35	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.05	6	-2	8	16.1	14.3	1.76	13.9	13.5	0.34
Dorell Wright	44	43	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.05	4	0	4	16.2	14.1	2.09	15.1	12.6	2.52
Nick Young	27	27	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.06	2	2	0	16.4	14.5	1.95	15.1	13.1	1.99
Kwame Brown	29	31	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.18	-4	8	-12	15.2	14.9	0.33	14.5	13.3	1.19

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jordan Hill	38	37	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.18	7	-11	18	13.7	13.6	0.07	14.1	15.4	-1.31
Jodie Meeks	33	33	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.07	-1	-3	2	13.3	13.8	-0.55	17.2	13.9	3.27
Metta World Peace	66	68	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.45	9	-13	22	13.5	13.9	-0.36	15.8	13.3	2.47
Steve Nash	75	77	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.34	0	-4	4	13.3	14.9	-1.65	14.2	17.5	-3.32
Dwight Howard	80	84	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.38	-1	-3	2	13.2	15.7	-2.56	15.5	12.7	2.80
Darius Morris	41	43	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.05	-18	14	-32	15.2	12.6	2.65	15.2	14.8	0.37
Kobe Bryant	89	91	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.37	-4	0	-4	13.6	14.3	-0.70	14.4	19.9	-5.54
Pau Gasol	73	77	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.18	-12	8	-20	14.1	12.5	1.58	14.6	16.2	-1.68

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.34,0.32,0.37,0.39,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.39,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.42,0.38,0.28,0.25,0.3,0.29,0.32,0.35,0.24,0.23,0.26,0.25,0.19,0.15,0.18,0.08,0.15,0.1,0.18,0.13,0.19,0.04,0.03,0.09,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 123, PHI 118	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.37,0.37,0.3,0.36,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.51,0.36,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.59,0.5,0.48,0.31,0.17,0.19,0.24,0.35,0.29,0.24,0.3,0.22,0.21,0.08,0.19,0.17,0.13,0.19,0.1,0.15,0.09,0.07,0.01,0,0.01,0	94.0%
MEM 103, CLE 92	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.36,0.41,0.43,0.37,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.41,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.39,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.36,0.3,0.21,0.32,0.29,0.16,0.21,0.16,0.18,0.1,0.22,0.18,0.13,0.23,0.14,0.15,0.13,0.05,0.04,0.02,0,0	93.4%
OKC 87, POR 83	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.4,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.36,0.39,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.37,0.47,0.59,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.24,0.12,0.23,0.21,0.15,0.19,0.12,0.17,0.23,0.14,0.11,0.22,0.1,0.02,0.07,0.08,0	93.2%