NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	123		Excitement	6.5 [546]		MVP	James Harden (HOU): +41.8%
Philadelphia 76ers	118		Comeback	1.6 [909]		LVP	Ersan Ilyasova (PHI): -11.9%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Harden	0.42	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.11,0.07,0.12,0.23,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.23,0.23,0.19,0.19,0.23,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.31,0.34,0.28,0.32,0.35,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.42	0.29	0.14	0.01	28	73%	0.54	5	-0.12	14	93%	0.03
Nene	0.12	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.11	0.02	0.01	13	78%	0.20	3	-0.08	1	100%	0.00
Clint Capela	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	11	68%	0.12	4	-0.09	3	100%	0.01
Patrick Beverley	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.02	5	58%	0.08	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
Ryan Anderson	-0.02	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	11	46%	0.04	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Trevor Ariza	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.02	0.01	6	44%	0.04	2	-0.07	4	100%	0.02
Corey Brewer	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Dekker	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.02	5	75%	0.05	4	-0.09	2	100%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joel Embiid	0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.15,0.13,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14	0.14	0.13	0.06	0.05	20	70%	0.27	5	-0.12	6	100%	0.02
Gerald Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.12	0.02	0.04	5	108%	0.11	1	-0.02	2	50%	0.00
TJ McConnell	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.00	0.00	5	76%	0.13	3	-0.09	7	71%	-0.00
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.08	-0.03	0.01	5	109%	0.15	3	-0.10	1	100%	0.00
Nerlens Noel	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.01	3	62%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Robert Covington	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	5	59%	0.08	3	-0.07	7	86%	0.03
Sergio Rodriguez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	0.01	7	53%	0.01	2	-0.05	1	0%	-0.02
Nik Stauskas	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	12	37%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dario Saric	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.06,-0.11,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.07	0.01	9	50%	-0.03	2	-0.07	6	67%	-0.02
Ersan Ilyasova	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.02	-0.00	7	29%	-0.07	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.6	3.0	32.0	15.8	31.2	3.5	41.3	153.4
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +32.6%

HOU +9.5%

HOU +11.4%

PHI -7.5%

HOU +3.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	PHI	NBA	HOU	PHI	NBA
this game	13.3	12.8	14.8	110.8	107.3	107.7
season	13.7	14.5		113.2	101.9
opponent	14.4	14.9		107.6	108.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	13.8	13.1	12.7	13.5	13.3
PHI	12.4	12.6	13.1	13.1	12.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ryan Anderson	97	96	0.84	-0.34	1.17	0.28	19	-14	33	13.0	15.0	-2.00	13.0	11.5	1.50
James Harden	93	91	0.66	-0.16	0.83	0.28	13	-8	21	12.8	15.5	-2.68	12.7	13.3	-0.55
Nene	66	64	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.08	9	-4	13	12.8	13.8	-1.00	11.9	14.0	-2.08
Trevor Ariza	97	96	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.36	-1	6	-7	12.9	15.9	-2.98	12.7	13.6	-0.96
Patrick Beverley	78	77	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.07	5	0	5	13.1	13.6	-0.46	13.2	11.9	1.24
Clint Capela	45	46	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.27	-4	9	-13	13.8	12.8	1.00	14.0	11.9	2.08
Sam Dekker	54	55	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.31	-6	11	-17	14.3	12.3	2.03	12.8	12.8	-0.05
Corey Brewer	25	25	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	0.11	-10	15	-25	15.5	12.6	2.88	11.8	13.1	-1.31

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dario Saric	46	47	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.23	6	-11	17	12.8	12.8	-0.01	14.1	12.6	1.56
TJ McConnell	66	71	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.18	4	-9	13	11.8	14.3	-2.52	12.8	14.1	-1.29
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	28	28	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.20	4	-9	13	11.9	13.1	-1.28	15.4	12.5	2.81
Gerald Henderson	57	59	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.30	6	-11	17	11.8	13.8	-2.01	12.2	14.4	-2.20
Joel Embiid	67	70	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.16	0	-5	5	12.6	13.2	-0.62	12.7	14.2	-1.53
Nerlens Noel	43	41	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.19	-5	0	-5	13.2	12.6	0.62	14.2	12.7	1.53
Robert Covington	82	81	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.23	-4	-1	-3	13.1	12.0	1.09	13.6	12.3	1.26
Ersan Ilyasova	51	51	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.05	-15	10	-25	13.6	12.1	1.45	13.0	13.4	-0.43
Sergio Rodriguez	44	40	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.18	-9	4	-13	14.3	11.8	2.52	14.1	12.8	1.29
Nik Stauskas	66	67	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.15	-12	7	-19	13.1	12.4	0.74	12.4	14.5	-2.10

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.37,0.37,0.3,0.36,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.51,0.36,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.59,0.5,0.48,0.31,0.17,0.19,0.24,0.35,0.29,0.24,0.3,0.22,0.21,0.08,0.19,0.17,0.13,0.19,0.1,0.15,0.09,0.07,0.01,0,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 103, LAL 99	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.34,0.32,0.37,0.39,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.39,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.42,0.38,0.28,0.25,0.3,0.29,0.32,0.35,0.24,0.23,0.26,0.25,0.19,0.15,0.18,0.08,0.15,0.1,0.18,0.13,0.19,0.04,0.03,0.09,0	94.0%
HOU 108, LAC 103	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.42,0.42,0.5,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.42,0.37,0.25,0.22,0.19,0.23,0.26,0.28,0.2,0.14,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.17,0.12,0.14,0.07,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.02,0.02,0	94.0%
MEM 103, CLE 92	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.36,0.41,0.43,0.37,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.41,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.39,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.36,0.3,0.21,0.32,0.29,0.16,0.21,0.16,0.18,0.1,0.22,0.18,0.13,0.23,0.14,0.15,0.13,0.05,0.04,0.02,0,0	93.6%