NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	87		Excitement	6.8 [435]		MVP	Kevin Durant (OKC): +24.0%
Portland Trail Blazers	83		Comeback	1.8 [806]		LVP	Russell Westbrook (OKC): -29.6%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Durant	0.24	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.18,0.21,0.19,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.25,0.24	0.14	0.10	0.00	21	66%	0.31	3	-0.07	8	87%	0.02
Nick Collison	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	5	80%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Liggins	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.00	0.00	6	92%	0.14	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Jackson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	5	60%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Perry Jones	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Hasheem Thabeet	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kendrick Perkins	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	3	37%	-0.04	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.04
Kevin Martin	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.02	-0.02	8	21%	-0.07	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.00
Russell Westbrook	-0.30	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.3	-0.13	-0.18	-0.01	21	35%	-0.08	3	-0.22	9	78%	0.01

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jared Jeffries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.14,0.15,0.16,0.13,0.01	0.01	0.12	-0.09	0.02	26	60%	0.06	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
Will Barton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joel Freeland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Pavlovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JJ Hickson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	7	37%	-0.02	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.01
Ronnie Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	4	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.08	-0.08	0.01	-0.09	0.00	17	52%	-0.01	3	-0.07	6	100%	0.03
Luke Babbitt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.03	0.00	3	0%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Matthews	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.06	-0.05	0.01	8	39%	-0.05	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Damian Lillard	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.22	-0.22	-0.14	-0.10	-0.02	14	30%	-0.11	3	-0.10	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.4	32.6	14.7	25.4	1.7	34.3	137.3
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +69.9%

OKC +2.2%

POR -1.5%

POR -23.0%

OKC +2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	POR	NBA	OKC	POR	NBA
this game	16.5	14.9	15.4	95.6	89.2	104.1
season	14.8	15.8		109.3	104.3
opponent	15.3	15.5		107.6	100.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	15.5	15.3	16.9	18.2	16.5
POR	15.8	15.3	15.8	12.6	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Russell Westbrook	66	68	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.26	10	-6	16	16.0	17.6	-1.53	14.8	15.1	-0.34
Kevin Durant	71	73	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.33	7	-3	10	17.5	12.9	4.55	15.4	12.9	2.45
DeAndre Liggins	77	80	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.30	8	-4	12	15.8	19.9	-4.11	14.5	17.4	-2.92
Kendrick Perkins	64	66	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.35	5	-1	6	16.2	17.0	-0.73	14.8	15.1	-0.39
Nick Collison	42	41	0.28	0.22	0.05	-0.02	10	-6	16	15.8	17.0	-1.28	15.6	14.3	1.28
Kevin Martin	65	66	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.47	-10	14	-24	16.4	16.5	-0.07	13.8	17.4	-3.57
Perry Jones	13	13	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.01	0	4	-4	16.2	16.5	-0.26	17.5	14.4	3.10
Reggie Jackson	26	26	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.09	-4	8	-12	18.2	15.8	2.44	15.0	14.8	0.13
Hasheem Thabeet	31	32	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.13	-6	10	-16	16.7	16.3	0.34	15.2	14.7	0.48

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joel Freeland	16	15	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.04	3	-7	10	16.6	14.5	2.12	17.4	16.3	1.14
Will Barton	17	16	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.05	2	-6	8	15.3	14.8	0.52	16.6	16.4	0.14
Ronnie Price	12	12	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.03	-2	-2	0	18.8	14.3	4.55	16.4	16.5	-0.04
Jared Jeffries	14	12	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.04	-2	-2	0	13.7	15.1	-1.36	15.8	16.5	-0.71
Luke Babbitt	14	13	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.02	-4	0	-4	13.7	15.1	-1.36	16.5	16.4	0.10
Sasha Pavlovic	28	27	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.31	3	-7	10	12.7	15.8	-3.03	17.5	16.0	1.47
JJ Hickson	49	49	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	0.04	-10	6	-16	16.1	13.5	2.52	16.3	16.6	-0.31
Wesley Matthews	76	75	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.36	-1	-3	2	14.7	15.6	-0.88	16.3	17.2	-0.89
Damian Lillard	81	79	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.35	-2	-2	0	14.3	18.8	-4.55	16.5	16.4	0.04
LaMarcus Aldridge	74	74	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.41	0	-4	4	14.8	15.3	-0.49	16.1	18.2	-2.12
Nicolas Batum	84	83	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.34	-7	3	-10	15.1	12.9	2.19	16.6	15.1	1.45

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.4,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.36,0.39,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.37,0.47,0.59,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.24,0.12,0.23,0.21,0.15,0.19,0.12,0.17,0.23,0.14,0.11,0.22,0.1,0.02,0.07,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 103, CLE 92	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.36,0.41,0.43,0.37,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.41,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.39,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.36,0.3,0.21,0.32,0.29,0.16,0.21,0.16,0.18,0.1,0.22,0.18,0.13,0.23,0.14,0.15,0.13,0.05,0.04,0.02,0,0	94.7%
PHI 103, LAL 99	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.34,0.32,0.37,0.39,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.39,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.42,0.38,0.28,0.25,0.3,0.29,0.32,0.35,0.24,0.23,0.26,0.25,0.19,0.15,0.18,0.08,0.15,0.1,0.18,0.13,0.19,0.04,0.03,0.09,0	93.2%
IND 93, CHI 86	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.37,0.41,0.38,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.39,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.49,0.44,0.5,0.57,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.35,0.32,0.28,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.14,0.15,0.1,0.12,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.08,0	93.2%