NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	95		Excitement	6.6 [477]		MVP	Ryan Anderson (NOH): +33.5%
New Orleans Hornets	86		Comeback	2.8 [487]		LVP	Eric Gordon (NOH): -25.7%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Korver	0.20	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.10	0.12	0.01	8	78%	0.24	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Al Horford	0.19	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.1,0.17,0.19,0.19	0.07	0.12	-0.00	17	59%	0.21	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Josh Smith	0.14	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.07	0.08	0.02	20	57%	0.15	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.07	0.05	-0.00	8	67%	0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
John Jenkins	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.06	0.06	-0.00	4	87%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Tolliver	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.03	0.06	0.00	5	60%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Louis Williams	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	-0.03	-0.05	13	32%	-0.06	1	-0.00	2	0%	-0.00
Jeff Teague	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	-0.00	8	22%	-0.09	1	-0.04	2	0%	-0.06

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ryan Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.25,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.34	0.34	0.19	0.14	-0.01	15	77%	0.34	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Roger Mason Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.10	0.06	0.00	3	150%	0.18	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Robin Lopez	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	0.00	9	56%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Al-Farouq Aminu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lance Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Roberts	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Davis	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	9	41%	-0.02	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.07
Greivis Vasquez	0,0,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	15	50%	0.01	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.04
Jason Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Austin Rivers	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	5	30%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Eric Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.04,-0.01,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.23,-0.23,-0.26,-0.26	-0.26	-0.17	-0.13	-0.04	17	29%	-0.11	4	-0.14	4	25%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.5	2.3	22.6	15.5	23.5	2.5	27.2	115.0
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +40.9%

ATL +1.8%

NOH -14.4%

ATL +19.7%

ATL +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	NOH	NBA	ATL	NOH	NBA
this game	17.8	15.9	15.4	111.8	100.0	104.1
season	15.1	16.3		102.6	103.9
opponent	15.6	15.5		108.1	102.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	15.9	16.1	18.6	21.0	17.8
NOH	15.4	14.5	18.4	15.8	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Smith	67	67	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.22	7	2	5	17.3	19.3	-2.00	15.9	16.0	-0.07
Louis Williams	67	67	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.22	7	2	5	17.3	19.3	-2.00	15.9	16.0	-0.07
Kyle Korver	55	53	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.23	5	4	1	17.7	17.9	-0.28	16.5	15.1	1.38
John Jenkins	33	35	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.01	11	-2	13	17.7	17.8	-0.14	15.6	16.2	-0.58
Jeff Teague	70	70	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.25	0	9	-9	18.2	15.7	2.53	16.1	15.1	1.00
Anthony Tolliver	26	28	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.04	7	2	5	18.3	17.5	0.74	15.4	16.2	-0.81
Zaza Pachulia	35	37	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.00	8	1	7	17.9	17.7	0.23	15.3	16.4	-1.13
Al Horford	72	73	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.23	0	9	-9	18.0	16.5	1.43	16.1	15.0	1.11

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Al-Farouq Aminu	12	11	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	0.05	-4	-5	1	15.4	16.0	-0.61	13.6	18.4	-4.73
Lance Thomas	27	28	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.09	-1	-8	7	16.9	15.5	1.43	17.6	17.8	-0.22
Anthony Davis	61	61	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.02	-4	-5	1	16.7	14.0	2.74	18.2	16.6	1.57
Robin Lopez	45	43	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.28	4	-13	17	17.0	14.8	2.27	18.3	17.1	1.21
Greivis Vasquez	67	68	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.26	3	-12	15	16.4	14.3	2.15	18.2	15.9	2.34
Brian Roberts	15	14	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.01	-7	-2	-5	14.7	16.2	-1.54	16.6	18.0	-1.33
Austin Rivers	30	30	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.00	-8	-1	-7	17.0	15.4	1.62	17.1	18.1	-1.06
Jason Smith	24	23	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	0.03	-9	0	-9	14.0	16.7	-2.75	17.0	18.0	-1.03
Eric Gordon	43	42	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.16	-5	-4	-1	15.0	16.9	-1.98	17.0	18.5	-1.44
Roger Mason Jr.	48	47	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.23	-6	-3	-3	15.6	16.4	-0.81	18.7	16.6	2.12
Ryan Anderson	58	58	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.22	-8	-1	-7	15.0	17.9	-2.89	17.8	17.6	0.23

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.68,0.69,0.68,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.64,0.56,0.67,0.67,0.74,0.63,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.19,0.3,0.25,0.25,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.17,0.31,0.15,0.05,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 82, LAL 72	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.56,0.53,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.6,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.56,0.55,0.6,0.61,0.64,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.61,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.36,0.26,0.34,0.38,0.37,0.23,0.17,0.24,0.17,0.15,0.07,0.01,0,0	92.5%
MEM 99, LAL 93	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.61,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.7,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.69,0.64,0.61,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.48,0.4,0.4,0.26,0.3,0.38,0.24,0.23,0.3,0.41,0.4,0.19,0.15,0.16,0.04,0	92.4%
NOH 91, UTA 87	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.66,0.61,0.65,0.61,0.6,0.65,0.71,0.66,0.66,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.7,0.64,0.7,0.71,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.52,0.35,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.33,0.2,0.22,0.26,0.18,0.28,0.24,0.26,0.35,0.34,0.45,0.28,0.04,0.04,0	92.3%