inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
New Orleans Hornets 91 Excitement7.0 [387] MVPDevin Brown (NOH): +30.0%
Utah Jazz 87 Comeback2.6 [114] LVPPaul Millsap (UTA): -15.4%


New Orleans Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Devin Brown0.300,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.3,0.3,0.30.180.140.022067%0.392-0.09560%-0.02
David West0.090,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.090.070.040.021371%0.183-0.082100%0.01
James Posey0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.06-0.020.02767%0.051-0.034100%0.01
Julian Wright-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Emeka Okafor-0.030,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.070.02-0.02262%0.054-0.09425%-0.04
Morris Peterson-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.01-0.00350%0.012-0.0500%0.00
Peja Stojakovic-0.060,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.05-0.01-0.01928%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Darius Songaila-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.060.00-0.00420%-0.041-0.022100%0.01
Darren Collison-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.07-0.010.00425%-0.022-0.0600%0.00
Chris Paul-0.100,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.07,-0.14,-0.1,-0.11,-0.1-0.08-0.010.001537%-0.062-0.042100%0.01

Utah Jazz
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Andrei Kirilenko0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.160.080.07-0.011060%0.1600.005100%0.05
Deron Williams0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.010.010.06-0.020.021163%0.092-0.08580%0.00
Ronnie Brewer0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.010.00-0.00540%-0.0000.0000%0.00
CJ Miles0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.02-0.000.031450%0.011-0.022100%0.01
Kyle Korver0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Wesley Matthews0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.010.00530%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Carlos Boozer0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.05-0.04-0.001653%0.025-0.102100%0.01
Ronnie Price0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.07-0.03-0.0030%-0.061-0.0400%0.00
Mehmet Okur0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.07-0.04-0.011137%-0.032-0.07250%-0.02
Paul Millsap0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15-0.15-0.11-0.06-0.021127%-0.092-0.0600%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.01.828.316.422.32.731.6130.1
league avg26.22.430.316.527.22.433.7141.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
NOH +53.6%
UTA -8.9%
NOH +17.5%
UTA -12.4%
NOH +0.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsNOHUTANBANOHUTANBA
this game16.415.915.3102.297.8106.0
season15.515.3106.0109.5
opponent15.015.2104.5108.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
NOH15.717.515.517.316.4
UTA13.816.818.115.515.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Devin Brown67680.53-0.030.570.4240416.616.00.5416.115.20.94
Chris Paul71710.53-0.030.550.4431216.914.62.3015.716.6-0.88
Emeka Okafor54540.480.020.450.4513-217.015.61.3517.513.54.00
David West75750.440.060.390.47-15-616.118.1-1.9215.915.70.23
James Posey49490.340.160.180.2240417.814.82.9515.316.6-1.34
Peja Stojakovic49480.280.220.070.087-31015.517.6-2.0416.115.70.42
Darius Songaila30300.040.46-0.41-0.0431216.416.5-0.0713.817.0-3.23
Morris Peterson18170.030.47-0.44-0.0322016.316.5-0.1515.216.1-0.83
Darren Collison2222-0.090.59-0.67-0.06-15-614.617.0-2.4116.315.80.54
Julian Wright1011-0.090.59-0.68-0.03-26-814.016.8-2.7615.615.9-0.31

Utah Jazz
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kyle Korver1212-0.06-0.440.370.02-3-1-213.216.3-3.1717.716.31.41
CJ Miles4446-0.09-0.410.32-0.183-71015.716.1-0.4113.719.4-5.70
Ronnie Price1919-0.10-0.400.29-0.02-3-1-214.316.3-2.0318.116.02.11
Mehmet Okur5858-0.18-0.320.14-0.180-4416.315.31.0015.518.3-2.78
Wesley Matthews2422-0.18-0.320.13-0.16-1-3217.515.32.2320.415.25.20
Ronnie Brewer4141-0.28-0.22-0.07-0.11-62-817.914.23.6516.116.8-0.70
Carlos Boozer6364-0.36-0.14-0.22-0.391-5615.716.5-0.8914.920.4-5.49
Andrei Kirilenko5757-0.38-0.12-0.25-0.35-1-3214.518.3-3.8017.215.22.02
Deron Williams7070-0.40-0.10-0.29-0.37-1-3216.314.32.0316.018.1-2.11
Paul Millsap5756-0.46-0.04-0.42-0.20-95-1415.816.0-0.1919.211.87.46


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.66,0.61,0.65,0.61,0.6,0.65,0.71,0.66,0.66,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.7,0.64,0.7,0.71,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.52,0.35,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.33,0.2,0.22,0.26,0.18,0.28,0.24,0.26,0.35,0.34,0.45,0.28,0.04,0.04,0
GameSimilarity Score
ATL 95, NOH 860.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.68,0.69,0.68,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.64,0.56,0.67,0.67,0.74,0.63,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.19,0.3,0.25,0.25,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.17,0.31,0.15,0.05,0,092.3%
MIL 104, CHI 960.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.72,0.7,0.74,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.7,0.64,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.59,0.66,0.7,0.78,0.7,0.62,0.6,0.51,0.63,0.52,0.48,0.35,0.3,0.34,0.23,0.36,0.46,0.38,0.29,0.24,0.23,0.31,0.47,0.39,0.25,0.37,0.09,0.04,091.9%
DEN 88, CHA 800.5,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.67,0.66,0.7,0.65,0.68,0.71,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.68,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.18,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.15,0.3,0.35,0.33,0.25,0.15,0.03,0,091.8%