NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	89		Excitement	5.2 [761]		MVP	David Lee (GSW): +9.3%
Golden State Warriors	96		Comeback	1.6 [959]		LVP	Evan Turner (PHI): -13.2%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lavoy Allen	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.00	0.01	6	69%	0.08	1	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Royal Ivey	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	2	62%	0.04	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Thaddeus Young	0.01	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01	0.05	0.00	0.04	16	56%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Kwame Brown	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dorell Wright	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	9	40%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jrue Holiday	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	0.02	19	47%	-0.01	2	-0.04	7	86%	0.02
Spencer Hawes	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Nick Young	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.05	-0.02	0.03	17	36%	-0.10	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Evan Turner	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.12	-0.02	-0.02	14	33%	-0.06	3	-0.07	2	0%	-0.03

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David Lee	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.00	0.06	-0.03	19	53%	0.19	4	-0.10	9	78%	0.01
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.02	-0.04	14	52%	0.08	3	-0.05	3	67%	0.00
Carl Landry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	10	52%	0.02	0	0.00	9	78%	0.01
Klay Thompson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	14	50%	0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Festus Ezeli	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andris Biedrins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Harrison Barnes	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.01	8	56%	0.03	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Stephen Curry	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.01	-0.04	11	50%	0.05	4	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Charles Jenkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	50%	-0.02	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Draymond Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	2.0	29.1	14.8	26.0	2.0	31.2	129.2
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +39.8%

GSW +11.8%

GSW +3.7%

PHI -6.7%

GSW +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	GSW	NBA	PHI	GSW	NBA
this game	14.0	14.8	15.4	89.0	96.0	104.1
season	15.5	14.6		100.5	104.6
opponent	15.3	15.7		103.7	104.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	14.2	14.7	13.1	14.2	14.0
GSW	14.0	13.0	15.1	17.1	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Royal Ivey	53	52	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.37	9	-16	25	13.6	14.6	-1.01	15.1	14.4	0.70
Spencer Hawes	19	20	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.07	-7	0	-7	15.2	13.8	1.38	12.6	15.3	-2.70
Kwame Brown	33	31	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.26	4	-11	15	13.8	14.2	-0.38	17.2	13.7	3.57
Lavoy Allen	60	61	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.00	-6	-1	-5	15.4	12.0	3.32	15.0	14.4	0.62
Dorell Wright	48	49	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.09	-5	-2	-3	14.0	14.1	-0.04	14.4	15.1	-0.65
Nick Young	54	54	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.33	2	-9	11	13.4	14.8	-1.42	14.7	14.8	-0.04
Evan Turner	67	68	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.01	-10	3	-13	15.0	12.1	2.91	14.6	15.0	-0.35
Thaddeus Young	81	80	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.25	-10	3	-13	13.4	16.8	-3.39	14.4	16.3	-1.92
Jrue Holiday	85	85	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	-0.23	-12	5	-17	13.5	16.9	-3.40	14.6	15.4	-0.75

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jarrett Jack	67	68	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.22	11	-4	15	14.9	14.5	0.41	13.9	14.3	-0.45
David Lee	77	77	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.30	8	-1	9	15.7	11.6	4.15	14.5	12.6	1.86
Stephen Curry	81	81	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.29	7	0	7	15.4	12.2	3.21	14.0	14.3	-0.28
Klay Thompson	83	81	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.30	5	2	3	15.0	13.5	1.48	13.5	16.3	-2.74
Carl Landry	57	58	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.22	6	1	5	15.2	14.2	1.05	13.9	14.2	-0.26
Andris Biedrins	29	30	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.01	6	1	5	14.0	15.1	-1.02	15.6	13.4	2.28
Draymond Green	30	30	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.03	1	6	-5	12.7	15.6	-2.94	13.6	14.2	-0.68
Charles Jenkins	21	21	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.05	2	5	-3	11.2	15.7	-4.52	13.6	14.2	-0.59
Harrison Barnes	33	32	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.07	-4	11	-15	14.5	14.9	-0.41	14.3	13.9	0.45
Festus Ezeli	22	22	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.10	-7	14	-21	14.2	14.9	-0.68	13.9	14.1	-0.23

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.53,0.59,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.7,0.77,0.8,0.88,0.91,0.88,0.87,0.88,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.84,0.78,0.85,0.81,0.85,0.9,0.77,0.79,0.76,0.9,0.95,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 94, DET 103	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.49,0.41,0.43,0.4,0.47,0.4,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.64,0.59,0.61,0.69,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.84,0.89,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.92,0.89,0.89,0.9,0.94,0.87,0.88,0.76,0.81,0.79,0.91,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,1	94.0%
UTA 93, DAL 102	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.47,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.49,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.66,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.84,0.81,0.82,0.93,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.93,0.92,0.85,0.85,0.87,0.88,0.82,0.85,0.78,0.84,0.88,0.9,0.92,0.98,1,1	94.0%
POR 86, UTA 96	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.48,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.72,0.66,0.72,0.72,0.79,0.82,0.86,0.86,0.88,0.87,0.89,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.96,0.9,0.9,0.85,0.87,0.84,0.89,0.92,0.91,0.92,0.99,1,1,1	93.8%