NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	105		Excitement	7.2 [367]		MVP	James Johnson (SAC): +78.2%
Sacramento Kings	106		Comeback	23.6 [33]		LVP	DeMarcus Cousins (SAC): -16.7%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Copeland	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.13	0.12	0.03	16	64%	0.24	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Tyson Chandler	0.11	0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.06	0.08	0.02	13	60%	0.14	2	-0.03	9	33%	-0.09
Steve Novak	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.09	0.01	0.04	7	79%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James White	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	3	50%	0.02	1	-0.01	2	0%	-0.01
Jason Kidd	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,0.04,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.09,0	-0.01	0.04	0.02	13	62%	0.18	5	-0.18	0	0%	0.00
J.R. Smith	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,-0.06,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	25	51%	0.08	4	-0.09	5	100%	0.04
Ronnie Brewer	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Pablo Prigioni	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.78	0.78	0.04	0.76	0.02	14	59%	0.84	2	-0.06	1	0%	-0.00
Francisco Garcia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.05	0.07	-0.02	4	75%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Thornton	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.11	-0.05	0.02	12	60%	0.05	0	0.00	6	100%	0.02
Jimmer Fredette	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.09	-0.04	0.03	9	83%	0.05	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Thomas	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0	0.00	0.03	-0.05	-0.02	10	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Charles Hayes	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Thompson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.01	-0.02	8	37%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Brooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.03	-0.03	0.00	6	83%	0.10	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
John Salmons	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.03	-0.04	0.02	9	40%	-0.07	1	-0.01	2	0%	-0.01
DeMarcus Cousins	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.05	-0.13	-0.01	14	44%	-0.12	2	-0.04	6	83%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	3.4	26.7	14.8	25.4	2.5	30.8	128.7
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +35.0%

NYK -3.0%

SAC +17.0%

SAC +4.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	SAC	NBA	NYK	SAC	NBA
this game	15.4	16.1	15.4	115.4	115.2	104.1
season	16.2	15.0		107.9	104.7
opponent	15.2	15.5		109.4	103.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	14.5	16.9	13.8	16.3	15.4
SAC	14.3	15.1	18.1	17.2	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Pablo Prigioni	37	38	0.12	-0.62	0.73	-0.38	17	-18	35	13.6	16.5	-2.92	16.1	16.2	-0.11
Marcus Camby	20	19	0.03	-0.53	0.56	0.06	-1	0	-1	15.4	15.3	0.13	18.4	15.5	2.90
Kurt Thomas	24	25	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.07	-1	0	-1	15.3	15.4	-0.08	17.4	15.6	1.76
James White	16	16	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	0.24	-13	12	-25	16.9	15.0	1.92	16.2	16.1	0.16
Steve Novak	49	49	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.60	15	-16	31	15.0	15.8	-0.85	16.3	15.9	0.36
Ronnie Brewer	24	24	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.09	-11	10	-21	14.8	15.6	-0.76	14.0	16.9	-2.92
Chris Copeland	74	75	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.42	0	-1	1	15.9	13.1	2.75	16.8	13.3	3.47
J.R. Smith	82	83	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.51	1	-2	3	15.3	15.4	-0.10	15.8	18.7	-2.82
Tyson Chandler	71	73	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.53	0	-1	1	15.3	15.4	-0.13	15.5	18.4	-2.90
Jason Kidd	58	58	-0.60	0.10	-0.69	-0.24	-12	11	-23	16.0	14.3	1.69	15.9	16.5	-0.60

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeMarcus Cousins	59	59	0.77	-0.27	1.05	0.60	6	-5	11	15.5	17.3	-1.85	16.1	14.1	1.99
Isaiah Thomas	56	55	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.66	1	0	1	15.6	17.0	-1.45	15.5	15.2	0.26
Francisco Garcia	45	44	0.66	-0.16	0.83	0.43	8	-7	15	16.3	16.0	0.29	16.3	14.4	1.87
James Johnson	56	56	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.51	4	-3	7	15.9	16.4	-0.53	14.3	17.0	-2.63
John Salmons	57	56	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.64	-1	2	-3	15.7	16.8	-1.14	15.3	15.5	-0.17
Jason Thompson	53	52	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.16	-5	6	-11	16.8	15.2	1.68	15.0	15.8	-0.87
Jimmer Fredette	36	35	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	-0.20	2	-1	3	17.0	15.6	1.45	15.6	15.2	0.45
Aaron Brooks	36	36	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	-0.19	0	1	-1	17.0	15.6	1.45	15.2	15.5	-0.26
Marcus Thornton	55	55	-0.26	0.76	-1.01	-0.14	-4	5	-9	15.6	16.9	-1.38	15.5	15.2	0.26
Charles Hayes	7	7	-0.30	0.80	-1.10	-0.13	-6	7	-13	20.4	15.8	4.66	12.6	15.6	-3.01

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.61,0.54,0.57,0.64,0.71,0.65,0.71,0.71,0.68,0.64,0.64,0.71,0.71,0.76,0.86,0.88,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.92,0.93,0.77,0.87,0.74,0.7,0.79,0.8,0.72,0.64,0.53,0.33,0.25,0.28,0.15,0.04,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 93, TOR 95	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.59,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.69,0.73,0.75,0.78,0.8,0.85,0.87,0.81,0.88,0.86,0.84,0.88,0.84,0.8,0.73,0.73,0.82,0.77,0.81,0.76,0.74,0.82,0.81,0.85,0.75,0.62,0.63,0.69,0.54,0.46,0.45,0.28,0.06,0.28,1	89.1%
DAL 98, MIN 100	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.65,0.75,0.72,0.69,0.7,0.79,0.81,0.82,0.76,0.74,0.83,0.86,0.91,0.89,0.91,0.91,0.88,0.92,0.92,0.9,0.77,0.74,0.82,0.85,0.84,0.68,0.66,0.78,0.66,0.71,0.73,0.69,0.71,0.47,0.32,0.36,0.23,0.58,1	88.4%
GSW 125, MIA 126	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.63,0.67,0.66,0.7,0.76,0.78,0.77,0.73,0.8,0.84,0.87,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.93,0.88,0.89,0.86,0.83,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.85,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.82,0.81,0.84,0.81,0.8,0.78,0.79,0.71,0.54,0.81,0.45,0.32,0.09,1	88.3%