NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	83		Excitement	5.6 [669]		MVP	E'Twaun Moore (ORL): +13.7%
Orlando Magic	90		Comeback	1.4 [1070]		LVP	Glen Davis (ORL): -15.5%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cartier Martin	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.09	0.01	0.00	7	79%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nene	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.08	-0.01	0.02	10	83%	0.16	4	-0.11	4	100%	0.02
Martell Webster	0.05	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05	0.08	-0.02	0.01	8	69%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Singleton	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Crawford	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	16	56%	0.16	7	-0.21	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Seraphin	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	9	33%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Emeka Okafor	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08	-0.02	-0.06	-0.00	9	40%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Shaun Livingston	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	7	14%	-0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Earl Barron	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	6	17%	-0.06	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
E'Twaun Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.10	0.04	-0.01	10	75%	0.17	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
JJ Redick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.12	0.00	0.00	9	81%	0.17	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.02
Arron Afflalo	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.07	0.02	-0.08	18	37%	0.05	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Josh McRoberts	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.02	2	75%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Vucevic	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	-0.01	9	44%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jameer Nelson	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.01	5	57%	0.03	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Maurice Harkless	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	6	56%	0.03	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.01
Gustavo Ayon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Andrew Nicholson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Glen Davis	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.12,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.14	-0.02	-0.01	18	33%	-0.07	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.9	2.4	25.4	16.4	22.4	2.4	35.6	126.5
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +9.1%

ORL +8.2%

ORL +19.2%

ORL +13.6%

WAS -0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	ORL	NBA	WAS	ORL	NBA
this game	16.1	15.4	15.4	92.2	96.8	104.1
season	15.1	15.5		98.8	100.3
opponent	15.3	15.7		107.7	101.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	16.1	17.1	16.7	14.4	16.1
ORL	14.5	15.7	14.0	17.5	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nene	45	46	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.26	9	-16	25	16.0	16.2	-0.27	16.9	13.9	2.96
Chris Singleton	27	30	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.07	-2	-5	3	16.9	15.8	1.09	16.4	14.9	1.48
Cartier Martin	56	60	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.26	1	-8	9	16.4	15.6	0.80	15.7	14.8	0.99
Emeka Okafor	52	54	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.22	-1	-6	5	16.0	16.2	-0.16	14.8	16.2	-1.35
Martell Webster	61	63	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.23	-2	-5	3	15.4	17.6	-2.26	15.0	16.2	-1.18
Earl Barron	39	42	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.09	-7	0	-7	15.9	16.3	-0.38	14.1	16.5	-2.33
Jordan Crawford	77	79	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.28	-2	-5	3	15.8	17.6	-1.78	15.4	15.2	0.22
Kevin Seraphin	44	43	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.02	-15	8	-23	16.5	15.7	0.80	15.4	15.4	-0.00
Shaun Livingston	49	48	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.05	-16	9	-25	16.6	15.4	1.19	15.1	15.7	-0.61

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
JJ Redick	50	49	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.14	15	-8	23	15.2	15.6	-0.34	16.1	16.0	0.12
Gustavo Ayon	31	31	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.00	10	-3	13	15.5	15.3	0.23	16.6	15.8	0.80
Josh McRoberts	18	17	0.24	0.26	-0.01	-0.05	10	-3	13	17.8	14.8	2.95	17.5	15.8	1.78
Andrew Nicholson	11	11	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.08	11	-4	15	16.6	15.2	1.40	18.0	15.8	2.18
Nikola Vucevic	67	64	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.29	-2	9	-11	15.0	16.5	-1.58	15.9	16.6	-0.69
Maurice Harkless	35	35	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.14	3	4	-1	14.8	15.8	-1.00	15.8	16.3	-0.43
Arron Afflalo	77	74	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.37	-5	12	-17	15.5	14.7	0.86	15.8	17.6	-1.87
Glen Davis	76	73	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.37	-5	12	-17	15.3	15.6	-0.30	15.8	17.5	-1.70
Jameer Nelson	61	59	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.26	-3	10	-13	15.3	15.5	-0.16	16.1	16.0	0.14
E'Twaun Moore	39	37	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.02	1	6	-5	15.3	15.5	-0.24	16.2	16.0	0.12

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.5,0.44,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.71,0.69,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.75,0.56,0.6,0.51,0.6,0.63,0.67,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.77,0.81,0.82,0.91,0.91,0.94,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.85,0.92,0.94,0.87,0.81,0.89,0.85,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 91, LAL 99	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.57,0.49,0.55,0.67,0.62,0.72,0.8,0.77,0.78,0.74,0.67,0.64,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.72,0.78,0.88,0.87,0.91,0.84,0.86,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.95,0.93,0.95,0.88,0.92,0.91,0.87,0.69,0.85,0.84,0.98,1	94.4%
MEM 85, TOR 98	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.53,0.49,0.54,0.62,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.61,0.7,0.75,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.61,0.68,0.75,0.77,0.84,0.85,0.87,0.94,0.89,0.96,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.87,0.89,0.95,0.9,1,1	93.6%
MIA 80, DET 86	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.41,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.61,0.69,0.66,0.71,0.67,0.64,0.58,0.54,0.63,0.69,0.76,0.81,0.71,0.62,0.72,0.76,0.87,0.87,0.85,0.85,0.9,0.89,0.9,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.9,0.89,0.99,0.99,1	93.6%