inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 91 Excitement6.4 [574] MVPTierre Brown (LAL): +4.2%
Los Angeles Lakers 99 Comeback1.5 [973] LVPKenyon Martin (DEN): -22.4%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Nene0.020,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.030.04-0.001157%0.083-0.07667%-0.02
Francisco Elson-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.00-0.010.00367%0.021-0.0300%0.00
Nikoloz Tskitishvili-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.050.00-0.0130%-0.0300.0000%0.00
DerMarr Johnson-0.040,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.00-0.001346%0.012-0.0500%0.00
Earl Boykins-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.02-0.010.011146%-0.021-0.022100%0.01
Rodney White-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.07-0.00-0.02410%-0.0600.00250%-0.01
Bryon Russell-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06-0.05-0.000.02425%-0.041-0.0200%0.00
Carmelo Anthony-0.120,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12-0.05-0.07-0.002148%-0.101-0.021493%0.05
Andre Miller-0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.08-0.05-0.00744%-0.013-0.11250%-0.01
Kenyon Martin-0.220,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.22,-0.22,-0.21,-0.22-0.10-0.100.021238%-0.162-0.07560%-0.04

Los Angeles Lakers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tierre Brown0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.030.01-0.01462%0.0400.0000%0.00
Chris Mihm0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.01-0.000.00759%0.031-0.03367%-0.01
Jumaine Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.010.00-0.00550%0.021-0.0200%0.00
Lamar Odom0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.07-0.02-0.051443%-0.003-0.0500%0.00
Chucky Atkins0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.04-0.010.00940%-0.031-0.022100%0.00
Brian Grant0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.03-0.030.0020%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Brian Cook0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.04-0.020.00433%-0.0600.004100%0.02
Kobe Bryant0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.13,-0.1,-0.08,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.19,-0.12,-0.14,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.07-0.00-0.002957%0.117-0.181675%0.01
Caron Butler0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.06-0.020.021343%-0.062-0.044100%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.12.526.515.325.52.740.2139.7
league avg51.62.428.612.725.12.130.4153.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
LAL +25.2%
LAL +3.2%
LAL +12.0%
LAL +5.5%
LAL +4.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENLALNBADENLALNBA
this game13.915.215.591.9100.0104.0
season14.815.7103.8105.8
opponent15.315.6108.8102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN13.814.415.012.213.9
LAL14.515.014.317.015.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Nikoloz Tskitishvili65-0.09-0.410.320.06-5-3-216.213.72.4515.615.20.40
Francisco Elson4039-0.12-0.380.260.06-6-2-414.913.21.6915.615.00.65
Bryon Russell3333-0.12-0.380.26-0.151-91013.314.2-0.8514.015.8-1.79
Earl Boykins4039-0.17-0.330.16-0.08-3-5214.113.70.3517.014.12.93
Andre Miller6766-0.22-0.280.06-0.16-2-6414.013.70.3114.317.1-2.76
Carmelo Anthony8081-0.23-0.270.04-0.292-101214.113.01.0815.215.3-0.07
Nene7676-0.32-0.18-0.13-0.320-8814.013.50.4516.311.64.71
Rodney White2425-0.37-0.13-0.240.04-146-2012.514.3-1.7512.716.1-3.35
Kenyon Martin5656-0.38-0.12-0.26-0.32-2-6413.514.3-0.7715.814.41.38
DerMarr Johnson7375-0.49-0.01-0.47-0.16-113-1413.514.8-1.2714.716.9-2.18

Los Angeles Lakers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kobe Bryant77770.91-0.411.310.1426-184414.119.1-5.0314.312.51.82
Lamar Odom81810.490.010.480.239-11015.115.8-0.6813.515.6-2.06
Brian Grant38390.390.110.280.2453216.314.61.6914.513.51.02
Chris Mihm53530.320.180.150.069-11015.015.5-0.5613.614.2-0.53
Chucky Atkins76750.310.190.110.2235-215.514.41.0314.113.20.93
Caron Butler81800.220.28-0.070.25-19-1015.812.73.0613.416.0-2.64
Tierre Brown23240.190.31-0.110.0553214.415.5-1.0313.214.1-0.93
Jumaine Jones4444-0.120.62-0.740.14-917-2615.015.4-0.3213.614.1-0.50
Brian Cook2222-0.200.70-0.910.00-715-2216.714.81.9415.713.32.39


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.57,0.49,0.55,0.67,0.62,0.72,0.8,0.77,0.78,0.74,0.67,0.64,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.72,0.78,0.88,0.87,0.91,0.84,0.86,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.95,0.93,0.95,0.88,0.92,0.91,0.87,0.69,0.85,0.84,0.98,1
GameSimilarity Score
WAS 83, ORL 900.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.5,0.44,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.71,0.69,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.75,0.56,0.6,0.51,0.6,0.63,0.67,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.77,0.81,0.82,0.91,0.91,0.94,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.85,0.92,0.94,0.87,0.81,0.89,0.85,0.99,194.4%
IND 94, MIL 980.5,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.43,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.69,0.76,0.7,0.75,0.71,0.74,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.69,0.72,0.75,0.76,0.81,0.84,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.93,0.78,0.94,0.92,192.7%
GSW 115, TOR 1200.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.64,0.68,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.77,0.8,0.74,0.72,0.73,0.67,0.69,0.72,0.69,0.76,0.73,0.77,0.78,0.84,0.83,0.86,0.92,0.92,0.84,0.88,0.87,0.95,0.87,0.91,0.9,0.86,0.88,0.91,0.99,192.6%