NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	94		Excitement	5.6 [676]		MVP	Solomon Jones (IND): +13.0%
Milwaukee Bucks	98		Comeback	1.5 [1137]		LVP	A.J. Price (IND): -12.3%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Solomon Jones	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.13	0.06	0.06	-0.00	4	75%	0.13	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Troy Murphy	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0	0.03	-0.01	0.01	11	50%	0.00	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Brandon Rush	-0.00	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	14	42%	-0.00	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Josh McRoberts	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dahntay Jones	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	2	33%	-0.01	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Danny Granger	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,-0.06	0.12	-0.16	0.02	18	62%	-0.02	2	-0.04	11	100%	0.06
Roy Hibbert	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	5	43%	0.00	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.02
Earl Watson	-0.10	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.04	-0.02	0.04	11	62%	0.03	6	-0.13	2	100%	0.01
A.J. Price	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12	-0.07	-0.05	0.01	7	33%	-0.05	1	-0.07	4	100%	0.06

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luc Mbah a Moute	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.02	-0.03	7	59%	0.08	1	-0.01	3	67%	0.00
Luke Ridnour	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	-0.00	8	68%	0.08	1	-0.01	3	67%	-0.00
Carlos Delfino	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.04	-0.00	4	50%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.01	5	60%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bogut	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.04	-0.01	18	40%	0.01	0	0.00	7	43%	-0.04
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.04	-0.02	0.03	13	71%	0.12	5	-0.12	2	100%	0.01
Brandon Jennings	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.02	0.01	7	53%	0.04	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Charlie Bell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ersan Ilyasova	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	10	35%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
John Salmons	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.07	-0.04	0.01	11	43%	-0.01	3	-0.11	6	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	1.8	29.9	15.5	25.7	2.0	38.0	138.4
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +41.4%

IND -11.9%

MIL +10.4%

MIL +1.3%

MIL +8.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	MIL	NBA	IND	MIL	NBA
this game	14.5	16.0	15.3	98.9	104.3	106.0
season	14.2	15.5		102.2	103.3
opponent	15.5	15.1		101.8	105.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	14.4	14.8	13.6	15.0	14.5
MIL	17.6	16.5	14.1	16.3	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Solomon Jones	14	15	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.29	9	-13	22	13.6	14.6	-1.03	16.2	16.0	0.20
Josh McRoberts	14	14	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	0.08	-9	5	-14	15.8	14.2	1.56	16.0	16.0	-0.04
A.J. Price	29	31	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.26	2	-6	8	15.3	14.1	1.23	15.9	16.1	-0.24
Dahntay Jones	41	40	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.16	-2	-2	0	14.3	14.5	-0.20	15.6	16.4	-0.75
Roy Hibbert	59	56	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.02	-9	5	-14	15.2	13.2	2.07	15.5	16.8	-1.23
Earl Watson	66	63	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.12	-6	2	-8	14.1	15.3	-1.23	16.1	15.9	0.24
Troy Murphy	78	80	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.40	2	-6	8	14.2	15.5	-1.31	16.4	14.1	2.30
Danny Granger	88	87	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.42	1	-5	6	14.3	16.7	-2.44	16.2	13.6	2.66
Brandon Rush	86	84	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.31	-8	4	-12	14.3	16.0	-1.71	16.0	16.2	-0.19

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Carlos Delfino	67	64	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.23	14	-10	24	15.4	17.7	-2.35	15.5	12.4	3.07
Andrew Bogut	62	64	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.20	9	-5	14	15.7	16.7	-1.04	13.6	16.2	-2.58
Brandon Jennings	58	57	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.25	5	-1	6	16.0	16.1	-0.17	13.6	15.7	-2.05
John Salmons	71	72	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.36	-1	5	-6	16.0	16.2	-0.19	13.5	17.4	-3.93
Luc Mbah a Moute	44	45	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.28	1	3	-2	17.6	14.6	2.97	13.8	15.0	-1.16
Ersan Ilyasova	50	50	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.11	3	1	2	14.6	17.6	-2.97	15.0	13.8	1.16
Jerry Stackhouse	45	48	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.14	0	4	-4	17.0	15.1	1.90	14.4	14.5	-0.11
Luke Ridnour	36	38	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.13	-1	5	-6	16.1	16.0	0.17	15.7	13.6	2.05
Kurt Thomas	32	31	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.18	-5	9	-14	16.7	15.7	1.04	16.2	13.6	2.58
Charlie Bell	5	6	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.05	-5	9	-14	16.8	16.0	0.81	15.7	14.4	1.30

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.43,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.69,0.76,0.7,0.75,0.71,0.74,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.69,0.72,0.75,0.76,0.81,0.84,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.93,0.78,0.94,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 96, DAL 102	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.71,0.76,0.72,0.71,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.75,0.76,0.79,0.79,0.83,0.89,0.92,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.96,1	95.7%
BKN 117, BOS 122	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.45,0.44,0.47,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.71,0.75,0.74,0.72,0.73,0.71,0.69,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.69,0.72,0.78,0.79,0.86,0.87,0.89,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,0.99,0.99,1	95.2%
LAL 109, PHX 118	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.55,0.51,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.68,0.65,0.64,0.58,0.62,0.69,0.6,0.68,0.81,0.78,0.72,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.74,0.77,0.78,0.76,0.7,0.77,0.85,0.84,0.89,0.89,0.91,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.99,0.93,0.95,0.85,0.96,0.91,1	95.1%