NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Brooklyn Nets	117		Excitement	4.9 [840]		MVP	Jae Crowder (BOS): +12.8%
Boston Celtics	122		Comeback	1.4 [1215]		LVP	Luis Scola (BKN): -6.6%

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Justin Hamilton	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08	0.12	-0.02	0.02	12	70%	0.10	1	-0.02	3	67%	0.01
Isaiah Whitehead	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris McCullough	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sean Kilpatrick	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	13	46%	0.03	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jeremy Lin	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.03	14	55%	0.03	2	-0.04	5	80%	-0.00
Trevor Booker	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.04	-0.02	0.03	5	80%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Bojan Bogdanovic	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01	0.07	-0.05	0.04	17	62%	0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Greivis Vasquez	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Harris	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	15	53%	0.03	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Brook Lopez	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.00	7	39%	-0.01	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	0.03	3	50%	-0.03	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Luis Scola	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	0.02	0.04	8	44%	-0.03	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jae Crowder	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.10	0.01	-0.02	15	70%	0.15	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Thomas	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11	0.11	0.11	0.01	0.01	14	68%	0.19	3	-0.08	9	100%	0.05
Gerald Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.01	-0.04	7	64%	0.08	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Zeller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.08	0.01	0.06	7	81%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Jaylen Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	4	75%	0.04	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Al Horford	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.00	8	69%	0.04	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Avery Bradley	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	15	57%	0.08	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Terry Rozier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	5	50%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jonas Jerebko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.09	0.00	-0.07	8	22%	-0.02	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Amir Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	6	62%	0.06	4	-0.10	1	0%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	1.7	33.2	15.4	24.5	1.7	40.3	141.1
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +46.4%

BOS +6.0%

BKN -0.2%

BKN -1.9%

BKN -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BKN	BOS	NBA	BKN	BOS	NBA
this game	13.8	13.9	14.8	112.5	117.3	107.7
season	13.7	14.7		103.2	110.1
opponent	14.9	14.4		108.3	109.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BKN	14.2	13.8	14.6	12.6	13.8
BOS	14.6	12.9	12.0	16.2	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris McCullough	10	9	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.32	14	-19	33	8.5	14.4	-5.90	14.2	13.8	0.40
Isaiah Whitehead	11	10	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.28	12	-17	29	8.6	14.5	-5.82	12.9	14.0	-1.06
Justin Hamilton	54	54	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.07	0	-5	5	13.6	14.1	-0.43	14.3	13.4	0.92
Joe Harris	56	56	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.25	3	-8	11	12.8	15.0	-2.24	14.3	13.3	1.01
Sean Kilpatrick	46	44	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.04	-7	2	-9	14.9	13.0	1.93	14.3	13.5	0.76
Trevor Booker	57	57	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.33	5	-10	15	12.7	15.2	-2.43	13.0	14.9	-1.93
Greivis Vasquez	36	35	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	0.13	-13	8	-21	15.4	13.0	2.37	15.1	13.2	1.94
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson	53	54	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.03	-9	4	-13	13.7	14.0	-0.36	13.3	14.4	-1.09
Jeremy Lin	60	61	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.24	-3	-2	-1	13.8	13.9	-0.13	13.6	14.2	-0.64
Bojan Bogdanovic	49	51	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.43	2	-7	9	14.4	13.4	1.00	13.4	14.3	-0.91
Brook Lopez	45	45	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.10	-10	5	-15	14.4	13.4	0.95	13.6	14.0	-0.41
Luis Scola	43	44	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	0.11	-19	14	-33	16.1	12.2	3.93	14.3	13.5	0.80

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Isaiah Thomas	73	74	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.05	15	-10	25	12.4	17.4	-4.98	14.0	13.5	0.47
Al Horford	62	62	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.01	13	-8	21	12.5	15.9	-3.40	13.6	14.2	-0.59
Terry Rozier	60	56	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.23	2	3	-1	14.7	12.7	1.92	14.0	13.6	0.39
Jae Crowder	66	67	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.18	3	2	1	12.6	16.0	-3.42	13.4	14.6	-1.22
Amir Johnson	45	45	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.08	5	0	5	11.8	15.4	-3.58	13.9	13.8	0.13
Jonas Jerebko	38	37	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.17	2	3	-1	16.0	12.6	3.42	14.6	13.4	1.22
Avery Bradley	71	74	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.13	3	2	1	14.2	13.2	0.99	13.9	13.7	0.24
Jaylen Brown	41	41	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.20	0	5	-5	15.6	12.7	2.86	13.7	13.9	-0.17
Gerald Green	32	31	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.37	-9	14	-23	15.2	13.3	1.92	13.6	13.9	-0.32
Tyler Zeller	32	33	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.34	-9	14	-23	17.0	12.5	4.54	13.8	13.9	-0.12

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.45,0.44,0.47,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.71,0.75,0.74,0.72,0.73,0.71,0.69,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.69,0.72,0.78,0.79,0.86,0.87,0.89,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,0.99,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 96, DAL 102	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.71,0.76,0.72,0.71,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.75,0.76,0.79,0.79,0.83,0.89,0.92,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.96,1	96.2%
SAS 93, MEM 109	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.54,0.62,0.6,0.69,0.73,0.75,0.68,0.61,0.61,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.75,0.74,0.63,0.64,0.73,0.79,0.82,0.87,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%
POR 91, DET 111	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.61,0.6,0.59,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.65,0.67,0.72,0.77,0.69,0.69,0.59,0.59,0.67,0.63,0.69,0.72,0.76,0.67,0.79,0.83,0.91,0.96,0.92,0.94,0.92,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%