inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 93 Excitement3.9 [1087] MVPMike Conley (MEM): +8.3%
Memphis Grizzlies 109 Comeback1.1 [817] LVPGeorge Hill (SAS): -13.4%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Richard Jefferson0.050,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.040.01-0.003117%0.092-0.0500%0.00
Chris Quinn0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.060.00-0.08837%0.022-0.0000%0.00
Antonio McDyess0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.030.000.02664%0.041-0.03250%-0.01
Steve Novak-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.050.000.05470%-0.0000.002100%0.00
Matt Bonner-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.01-0.01350%0.021-0.0200%0.00
Tiago Splitter-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.01-0.000.01654%0.011-0.021100%0.00
Manu Ginobili-0.020,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.00-0.010.01847%0.011-0.033100%0.01
James Anderson-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.04-0.000.05558%-0.0200.00250%0.00
DeJuan Blair-0.020,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.01-0.01564%0.043-0.06475%0.00
Gary Neal-0.070,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.04-0.010.021347%-0.022-0.05475%-0.00
Tim Duncan-0.080,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.06-0.020.011041%-0.042-0.04250%-0.01
George Hill-0.130,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.160.02-0.00640%-0.016-0.13367%0.04

Memphis Grizzlies
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Mike Conley0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.070.030.021169%0.102-0.024100%0.02
Zach Randolph0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.020.04-0.031951%0.103-0.023100%0.01
Tony Allen0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.160.010.09991%0.101-0.034100%0.01
Hamed Haddadi0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.060.010.023100%0.0500.0000%0.00
O.J. Mayo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.04-0.020.00-0.051041%0.0400.00250%-0.00
Marc Gasol0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.000.00367%0.0200.0000%0.00
Sam Young0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.00-0.01-0.02743%0.0100.0000%0.00
Greivis Vasquez00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Rodney Carney0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Shane Battier0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.030.00-0.02333%0.011-0.0300%0.00
Darrell Arthur0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.00-0.010.011951%0.033-0.063100%0.01
Jason Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.070.00-0.03425%-0.022-0.0200%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.22.432.315.727.31.827.2132.9
league avg26.22.430.316.427.22.433.9140.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MEM +25.3%
MEM +3.3%
SAS -5.6%
MEM +28.3%
SAS -1.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASMEMNBASASMEMNBA
this game15.715.615.5100.0119.8105.7
season15.515.5109.3106.1
opponent15.515.2103.7103.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAS15.418.414.914.315.7
MEM13.415.915.118.615.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Steve Novak1716-0.00-0.500.50-0.269-253412.216.4-4.2120.114.75.46
James Anderson3331-0.00-0.500.50-0.062-182014.916.1-1.1416.815.01.74
Tiago Splitter2825-0.05-0.450.400.10-5-11616.615.31.2817.414.92.50
Matt Bonner1819-0.08-0.420.330.21-10-6-419.614.74.8815.115.8-0.66
Chris Quinn4138-0.11-0.390.28-0.02-3-131015.615.7-0.1217.214.52.72
DeJuan Blair3534-0.21-0.290.080.05-9-7-213.716.9-3.1514.516.3-1.75
Manu Ginobili4142-0.27-0.23-0.040.05-11-5-616.215.30.8815.315.9-0.59
Antonio McDyess4141-0.28-0.22-0.06-0.16-4-12815.216.1-0.9116.215.20.99
Gary Neal5652-0.29-0.21-0.080.00-10-6-415.116.5-1.4314.916.6-1.73
Tim Duncan5151-0.37-0.13-0.25-0.02-12-4-816.514.61.8914.617.0-2.41
George Hill5253-0.39-0.11-0.28-0.01-13-3-1015.715.60.1214.517.2-2.72
Richard Jefferson5253-0.44-0.06-0.38-0.03-14-2-1216.514.61.9515.216.2-1.00

Memphis Grizzlies
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Zach Randolph72710.450.050.400.2479-216.014.31.6614.918.3-3.46
Tony Allen66660.390.110.28-0.051511415.316.4-1.0715.117.2-2.12
Sam Young56570.380.120.270.1879-215.815.30.5514.317.9-3.65
Darrell Arthur57580.340.160.180.02115615.416.0-0.6416.813.92.92
Mike Conley66680.330.170.160.04106416.014.81.1915.316.8-1.48
O.J. Mayo35360.280.220.06-0.101331015.715.60.1016.814.91.89
Shane Battier42450.160.34-0.19-0.17115616.015.30.6516.415.01.44
Marc Gasol24250.120.38-0.25-0.02511-614.016.2-2.1515.415.8-0.38
Jason Williams25250.090.41-0.320.00313-1014.516.0-1.5316.115.50.61
Greivis Vasquez230.000.50-0.500.00016-1621.515.56.0122.015.56.53
Rodney Carney230.000.50-0.500.00016-1621.515.56.0122.015.56.53
Hamed Haddadi88-0.040.54-0.590.02-218-2015.615.6-0.0018.915.43.50


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.54,0.62,0.6,0.69,0.73,0.75,0.68,0.61,0.61,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.75,0.74,0.63,0.64,0.73,0.79,0.82,0.87,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
BKN 117, BOS 1220.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.45,0.44,0.47,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.71,0.75,0.74,0.72,0.73,0.71,0.69,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.69,0.72,0.78,0.79,0.86,0.87,0.89,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,0.99,0.99,196.1%
GSW 85, UTA 960.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.7,0.76,0.64,0.73,0.71,0.78,0.83,0.8,0.86,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.9%
UTA 96, DAL 1020.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.71,0.76,0.72,0.71,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.75,0.76,0.79,0.79,0.83,0.89,0.92,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.96,195.5%