NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	100		Excitement	9.7 [78]		MVP	Ramon Sessions (CHA): +21.9%
Los Angeles Lakers	101		Comeback	19.7 [78]		LVP	Byron Mullens (CHA): -47.1%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ramon Sessions	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.22	0.12	0.10	0.00	13	67%	0.26	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.04
Bismack Biyombo	0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11	-0.02	0.11	-0.02	7	40%	0.11	0	0.00	6	33%	-0.05
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	4	70%	0.05	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Reggie Williams	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brendan Haywood	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	1	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jeff Taylor	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kemba Walker	-0.18	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.18	0.05	-0.24	-0.00	25	52%	-0.16	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.08
Gerald Henderson	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.06,-0.04,-0.19	0.06	-0.25	0.00	16	53%	-0.16	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Ben Gordon	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.19	-0.08	-0.12	-0.01	7	29%	-0.15	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Byron Mullens	-0.47	0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.17,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.47,-0.47	-0.12	-0.34	0.01	19	34%	-0.37	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.17,0.14,0.09,0,0.13,0.1	0.10	0.09	0.04	0.04	24	55%	0.16	2	-0.07	7	86%	0.02
Jodie Meeks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.10	-0.01	0.00	13	61%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Metta World Peace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.01	0.06	0.00	18	42%	0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Chris Duhon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Ebanks	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Darius Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.05	0.00	6	58%	0.02	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.01	-0.01	10	38%	-0.00	2	-0.04	6	67%	-0.02
Dwight Howard	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	10	57%	0.07	5	-0.14	8	75%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.3	1.8	29.0	15.7	28.8	2.8	36.1	140.4
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +86.4%

LAL +0.0%

CHA -42.0%

CHA -1.8%

LAL +7.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	LAL	NBA	CHA	LAL	NBA
this game	15.5	15.5	15.4	105.3	111.0	104.1
season	15.6	14.9		99.9	106.0
opponent	15.3	15.4		105.7	109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	15.5	12.7	18.5	15.7	15.5
LAL	14.4	15.6	16.6	15.6	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bismack Biyombo	67	63	0.63	-1.13	1.76	-0.16	27	-28	55	14.7	17.3	-2.63	16.0	14.4	1.66
Reggie Williams	8	7	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.02	-6	5	-11	18.0	15.2	2.77	10.6	15.9	-5.35
Gerald Henderson	75	73	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.64	16	-17	33	14.7	18.3	-3.66	16.2	12.7	3.47
Kemba Walker	83	81	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.53	10	-11	21	15.2	17.5	-2.33	15.9	12.5	3.38
Brendan Haywood	14	14	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	0.13	-13	12	-25	18.5	14.9	3.56	15.1	15.6	-0.51
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	46	44	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.01	-9	8	-17	15.9	15.0	0.87	16.0	15.0	0.96
Byron Mullens	86	84	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.51	8	-9	17	15.4	15.8	-0.35	15.7	13.3	2.40
Jeff Taylor	22	21	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	0.11	-14	13	-27	16.0	15.3	0.70	14.1	15.9	-1.77
Ramon Sessions	59	54	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.31	-5	4	-9	15.9	14.7	1.15	14.7	16.7	-1.97
Ben Gordon	15	14	-1.00	0.50	-1.51	-0.45	-19	18	-37	16.5	15.3	1.27	12.9	16.0	-3.13

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darius Morris	54	57	1.05	-0.55	1.60	0.46	20	-19	39	14.8	16.5	-1.74	16.4	14.1	2.35
Metta World Peace	70	70	1.03	-0.53	1.56	0.33	24	-23	47	15.2	16.5	-1.32	15.6	15.0	0.68
Jodie Meeks	74	75	0.79	-0.29	1.08	0.32	16	-15	31	15.2	16.6	-1.40	15.9	13.6	2.30
Kobe Bryant	82	86	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.53	-7	8	-15	15.6	15.0	0.56	15.3	16.7	-1.33
Pau Gasol	57	60	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.16	-4	5	-9	14.9	16.6	-1.73	15.6	15.2	0.46
Dwight Howard	65	71	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.41	-17	18	-35	16.4	13.4	2.97	14.9	17.2	-2.39
Devin Ebanks	9	11	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	0.06	-6	7	-13	16.4	15.4	1.04	14.7	15.6	-0.83
Chris Duhon	44	45	-0.53	1.03	-1.57	0.08	-21	22	-43	16.6	14.5	2.10	14.3	16.5	-2.15

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.38,0.43,0.37,0.39,0.4,0.45,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.69,0.64,0.69,0.74,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.54,0.46,0.39,0.37,0.24,0.23,0.18,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.11,0.15,0.16,0.11,0.22,0.34,0.53,0.67,0.77,0.64,0.58,0.78,0.75,0.45,0.57,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 99, PHI 105	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.58,0.64,0.54,0.59,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.41,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.37,0.38,0.23,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.11,0.17,0.28,0.27,0.26,0.18,0.38,0.34,0.43,0.63,0.53,0.64,0.54,0.67,0.55,0.78,0.68,0.91,1	87.8%
BOS 103, CLE 109	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.36,0.36,0.46,0.43,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.23,0.25,0.19,0.18,0.17,0.21,0.38,0.43,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.73,0.75,0.72,0.78,0.85,1	87.2%
DET 89, PHI 94	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.75,0.74,0.73,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.69,0.56,0.56,0.44,0.42,0.31,0.37,0.39,0.3,0.27,0.16,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.14,0.21,0.38,0.34,0.47,0.58,0.77,0.83,0.8,0.78,0.68,0.57,0.55,0.84,1	86.8%