NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	89		Excitement	7.2 [380]		MVP	Jon Barry (DET): +11.0%
Philadelphia 76ers	94		Comeback	6.4 [394]		LVP	Dana Barros (DET): -31.5%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jon Barry	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.08	0.04	0.01	8	82%	0.16	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Zeljko Rebraca	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.03	-0.00	4	80%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Clifford Robinson	0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.15,0.09,0.16,0.1,0.07	0.05	0.02	-0.00	21	62%	0.13	3	-0.06	14	86%	-0.01
Ben Wallace	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.00	7	56%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Michael Curry	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Corliss Williamson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	7	50%	0.03	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.01
Jerry Stackhouse	-0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	9	22%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damon Jones	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.21	-0.15	-0.07	-0.01	8	12%	-0.14	2	-0.07	1	0%	-0.01
Dana Barros	-0.32	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.21,-0.32,-0.32	-0.10	-0.21	0.01	13	30%	-0.29	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.03

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.01	0.09	-0.01	6	65%	0.13	1	-0.02	8	87%	0.06
Allen Iverson	0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.14,-0.12,-0.09,-0.08,-0.1,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0.03	0.03	-0.11	0.07	-0.06	35	46%	0.17	4	-0.15	12	100%	0.14
Raja Bell	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damone Brown	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alvin Jones	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim James	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vonteego Cummings	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corie Blount	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	0.01	6	75%	0.04	3	-0.07	8	87%	0.01
Speedy Claxton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	3	67%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Matt Harpring	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	5	43%	-0.06	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.04
Derrick Coleman	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.12	-0.02	-0.01	18	38%	-0.07	2	-0.07	6	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	240.3	2.5	25.4	14.7	30.3	2.5	39.4	355.0
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +4.9%

PHI +28.6%

PHI +23.9%

DET -4.4%

DET -3.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	PHI	NBA	DET	PHI	NBA
this game	15.1	14.9	15.6	92.7	97.9	102.3
season	15.7	15.9		101.9	99.3
opponent	15.6	15.8		98.2	99.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	14.7	14.5	15.2	16.3	15.1
PHI	13.0	17.5	12.5	17.1	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerry Stackhouse	41	41	0.14	-0.64	0.77	0.05	3	-8	11	14.5	15.6	-1.05	15.5	14.4	1.17
Michael Curry	42	44	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	0.06	-7	2	-9	15.7	14.7	1.03	13.5	16.0	-2.48
Zeljko Rebraca	23	22	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.09	-4	-1	-3	14.5	15.3	-0.86	14.4	15.0	-0.59
Dana Barros	68	69	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.34	4	-9	13	15.1	15.3	-0.26	15.4	13.5	1.92
Ben Wallace	77	79	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.32	0	-5	5	15.9	12.1	3.78	15.2	13.5	1.69
Jon Barry	69	69	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.49	5	-10	15	15.0	15.6	-0.58	15.2	14.1	1.05
Clifford Robinson	88	89	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.29	-2	-3	1	15.2	14.2	0.97	15.0	13.1	1.86
Damon Jones	34	31	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.12	-11	6	-17	14.1	15.7	-1.67	12.7	15.9	-3.23
Corliss Williamson	38	36	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.23	-13	8	-21	15.2	15.1	0.17	15.3	14.6	0.71

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Harpring	70	70	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.31	9	-4	13	15.4	13.5	1.92	15.0	15.4	-0.34
Corie Blount	40	40	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.27	9	-4	13	14.7	15.0	-0.24	15.3	15.0	0.37
Aaron McKie	86	85	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.24	10	-5	15	14.7	16.5	-1.83	15.1	15.4	-0.26
Dikembe Mutombo	84	81	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.34	6	-1	7	15.4	11.2	4.23	15.7	12.2	3.48
Allen Iverson	91	90	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.32	6	-1	7	14.8	16.8	-2.04	14.9	18.7	-3.77
Speedy Claxton	34	36	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.06	0	5	-5	13.4	15.6	-2.20	14.5	15.5	-1.06
Tim James	4	5	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.02	1	4	-3	20.0	14.6	5.36	21.6	14.8	6.82
Damone Brown	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	7	-9	4.0	15.0	-10.98	4.0	15.3	-11.25
Alvin Jones	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	7	-9	4.0	15.0	-10.98	4.0	15.3	-11.25
Vonteego Cummings	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	7	-9	4.0	15.0	-10.98	4.0	15.3	-11.25
Derrick Coleman	60	60	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.01	-3	8	-11	14.6	15.4	-0.79	15.5	14.5	1.06
Raja Bell	9	11	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.13	-9	14	-23	16.9	14.7	2.23	12.2	15.5	-3.34

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.75,0.74,0.73,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.69,0.56,0.56,0.44,0.42,0.31,0.37,0.39,0.3,0.27,0.16,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.14,0.21,0.38,0.34,0.47,0.58,0.77,0.83,0.8,0.78,0.68,0.57,0.55,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 93, LAC 99	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.66,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.49,0.42,0.3,0.26,0.35,0.25,0.21,0.16,0.25,0.38,0.43,0.43,0.58,0.58,0.7,0.85,0.83,0.86,0.84,0.75,0.96,1	89.2%
MIN 100, UTA 107	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.55,0.61,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.6,0.51,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.37,0.36,0.33,0.36,0.29,0.32,0.28,0.28,0.33,0.44,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.7,0.76,0.91,0.61,0.54,0.59,0.74,1	89.2%
MIN 89, NYK 93	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.58,0.64,0.69,0.64,0.54,0.51,0.37,0.31,0.23,0.3,0.42,0.33,0.23,0.32,0.38,0.41,0.38,0.4,0.5,0.48,0.57,0.72,0.72,0.64,0.76,0.78,0.56,0.54,0.67,0.83,1	88.9%