inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Dallas Mavericks 106 Excitement9.3 [99] MVPDerek Fisher (DAL): +39.5%
Minnesota Timberwolves 114 Comeback4.5 [333] LVPLuke Ridnour (MIN): -22.5%


Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Derek Fisher0.400,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.28,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.40.090.31-0.00887%0.515-0.127100%0.10
Vince Carter0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.090.05-0.00490%0.1400.00250%-0.01
Elton Brand0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.140.010.13-0.001162%0.233-0.09250%-0.01
Rodrigue Beaubois-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0110%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Dahntay Jones-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.00-0.00350%0.011-0.022100%0.01
Darren Collison-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01-0.080.02-0.05835%0.032-0.04475%0.01
Jae Crowder-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.03-0.020.0020%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Chris Kaman-0.080,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.05-0.02-0.001242%-0.042-0.04250%-0.01
O.J. Mayo-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.080.04-0.100.021656%-0.042-0.044100%0.01
Brandan Wright-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.05-0.04-0.0020%-0.071-0.0200%0.00
Dominique Jones-0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.120.00-0.100.02375%0.062-0.172100%0.02
Shawn Marion-0.180,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.180.01-0.180.011450%-0.161-0.0200%0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Andrei Kirilenko0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.190.190.000.16-0.031052%0.212-0.02786%0.07
Derrick Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.070.02-0.00967%0.131-0.036100%0.04
Jose Juan Barea0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.05-0.010.06-0.001254%0.103-0.052100%0.00
Alexey Shved0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.020.001260%0.093-0.06650%-0.07
Greg Stiemsma0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.00-0.010.00267%0.021-0.032100%0.01
Nikola Pekovic0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.040.02-0.060.012149%0.021-0.071100%0.00
Dante Cunningham0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.06-0.020.00729%-0.051-0.0300%0.00
Ricky Rubio0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.13,-0.02,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17-0.17-0.03-0.16-0.02450%-0.122-0.05875%-0.10
Luke Ridnour0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.09,-0.01,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.22,-0.22-0.22-0.04-0.22-0.031744%-0.192-0.0300%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game24.31.732.015.724.81.737.61.413.4152.5
league avg24.82.329.514.026.82.333.12.017.3134.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DAL -37.9%
DAL -3.2%
MIN +62.1%
MIN +23.1%
MIN +5.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDALMINNBADALMINNBA
this game13.916.315.4101.9107.5104.1
season14.515.6104.3101.3
opponent14.915.6103.4105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
DAL11.415.116.712.015.113.9
MIN18.612.616.018.516.416.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Derek Fisher60590.16-0.660.830.054-121613.414.6-1.2116.516.20.24
Elton Brand52520.06-0.560.620.15-3-5212.715.1-2.3317.215.51.77
Dahntay Jones31320.04-0.540.59-0.136-142013.014.3-1.3517.615.81.78
Rodrigue Beaubois12-0.00-0.500.50-0.000-887.014.0-6.9813.516.4-2.90
Vince Carter3131-0.07-0.430.360.14-7-1-615.413.32.0516.516.30.28
Jae Crowder2828-0.11-0.390.29-0.131-91012.614.4-1.7914.117.2-3.10
Dominique Jones3234-0.13-0.370.25-0.213-111412.914.4-1.5017.915.62.26
Brandan Wright1918-0.25-0.25-0.000.04-102-1213.714.0-0.2214.716.7-1.96
Darren Collison6768-0.38-0.12-0.25-0.08-102-1214.213.50.7016.116.8-0.69
Chris Kaman4951-0.46-0.04-0.43-0.32-5-3-215.012.92.1315.816.9-1.05
O.J. Mayo8487-0.47-0.03-0.44-0.26-7-1-614.212.61.6316.416.00.43
Shawn Marion6668-0.900.40-1.31-0.55-124-1614.812.42.3916.116.7-0.60

Minnesota Timberwolves
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jose Juan Barea51490.64-0.140.770.2015-72215.317.3-2.0312.615.1-2.42
Alexey Shved91890.60-0.100.700.2512-41616.217.5-1.3813.913.90.05
Derrick Williams43410.440.060.39-0.0316-82413.618.2-4.6613.214.4-1.19
Luke Ridnour76760.340.160.190.2635-216.914.92.0214.811.53.35
Andrei Kirilenko79760.300.200.090.3008-817.114.22.8514.612.02.67
Greg Stiemsma23230.270.230.04-0.1113-51814.017.0-3.0012.914.2-1.34
Nikola Pekovic83810.240.26-0.010.39-513-1817.014.03.0014.212.91.34
Ricky Rubio3737-0.030.53-0.56-0.0617-615.716.7-0.9512.614.6-1.96
Dante Cunningham4748-0.310.81-1.120.13-1523-3818.714.44.3014.213.60.59


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.35,0.34,0.31,0.27,0.3,0.26,0.34,0.36,0.44,0.42,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.7,0.75,0.79,0.72,0.78,0.81,0.88,0.91,0.9,0.87,0.82,0.81,0.89,0.87,0.82,0.82,0.86,0.81,0.83,0.88,0.83,0.62,0.63,0.43,0.18,0.54,0.61,0.92,0.99,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
NYK 94, NOK 1030.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.3,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.73,0.86,0.81,0.76,0.8,0.85,0.81,0.9,0.91,0.86,0.89,0.88,0.87,0.85,0.85,0.68,0.67,0.63,0.83,0.89,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.85,0.26,0.54,0.69,0.84,0.78,0.98,189.0%
MIA 119, SAC 1230.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.48,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.29,0.27,0.34,0.4,0.47,0.5,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.59,0.64,0.56,0.64,0.7,0.63,0.69,0.7,0.75,0.75,0.68,0.74,0.76,0.83,0.86,0.94,0.92,0.93,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.91,0.83,0.46,0.45,0.04,0.46,0.53,0.72,0.68,0.92,188.6%
DAL 118, POR 1210.5,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.4,0.43,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.64,0.69,0.73,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.79,0.81,0.84,0.79,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.74,0.74,0.81,0.88,0.79,0.82,0.73,0.84,0.96,0.9,0.81,0.63,0.22,0.69,0.5,0.8,0.72,0.9,0.91,187.4%