NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	102		Excitement	7.6 [318]		MVP	Kyrie Irving (CLE): +31.8%
New York Knicks	103		Comeback	1.9 [1125]		LVP	Alonzo Gee (CLE): -14.9%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyrie Irving	0.32	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.32	0.24	0.08	0.00	25	72%	0.41	3	-0.09	7	86%	0.04
Tristan Thompson	0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.08	0.01	0.02	5	100%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Zeller	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.02	0.00	5	80%	0.08	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Jones	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donald Sloan	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	37%	-0.00	1	-0.04	4	75%	0.01
CJ Miles	-0.05	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05	0.01	-0.04	0.01	18	47%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Anderson Varejao	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,-0.08	0.03	-0.11	0.00	6	53%	-0.08	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.25
Daniel Gibson	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	-0.00	9	28%	-0.06	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Alonzo Gee	-0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.09	-0.06	-0.00	12	36%	-0.05	3	-0.10	1	100%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.3	0.30	0.16	0.14	-0.00	10	85%	0.37	2	-0.06	7	71%	0.01
Raymond Felton	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.12	0.12	0.09	0.06	0.03	20	57%	0.14	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Chris Copeland	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	0.01	0.02	5	92%	0.09	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Steve Novak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	-0.04	-0.01	9	65%	0.07	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.03
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Jason Kidd	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.07	0.04	-0.01	14	32%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Pablo Prigioni	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Brewer	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	3	33%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
J.R. Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.03	-0.01	20	36%	-0.04	2	-0.08	4	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.6	2.4	27.3	16.4	24.3	1.8	42.2	136.0
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +11.7%

NYK +7.6%

NYK +9.5%

NYK +13.2%

NYK +8.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	NYK	NBA	CLE	NYK	NBA
this game	15.0	16.6	15.4	112.1	113.2	104.1
season	15.5	16.2		102.5	107.9
opponent	15.5	15.2		103.8	107.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	14.8	18.2	16.3	11.5	15.0
NYK	15.8	17.8	15.7	17.3	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anderson Varejao	68	69	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.50	11	-12	23	14.4	16.8	-2.36	17.1	15.2	1.85
Tristan Thompson	33	33	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.07	-4	3	-7	16.1	14.4	1.68	15.9	17.0	-1.13
Kevin Jones	9	8	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.11	-12	11	-23	18.3	14.7	3.67	10.9	17.2	-6.31
Kyrie Irving	75	76	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.48	8	-9	17	14.1	19.5	-5.43	16.6	16.7	-0.05
Alonzo Gee	78	78	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.51	8	-9	17	14.1	20.8	-6.71	17.2	13.0	4.23
Tyler Zeller	29	30	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.10	-6	5	-11	17.1	14.0	3.06	15.0	17.4	-2.43
Donald Sloan	21	21	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.05	-9	8	-17	17.5	14.3	3.19	18.3	16.1	2.22
CJ Miles	77	76	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.36	0	-1	1	15.4	12.7	2.73	16.5	17.2	-0.69
Daniel Gibson	65	64	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.40	-1	0	-1	14.7	15.9	-1.21	16.8	16.1	0.73

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Kidd	72	71	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.46	5	-4	9	16.2	18.4	-2.20	14.7	16.0	-1.25
Steve Novak	59	61	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.35	5	-4	9	18.1	13.9	4.15	15.3	14.5	0.83
Raymond Felton	73	74	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.46	-2	3	-5	16.6	16.8	-0.26	14.4	17.9	-3.59
Tyson Chandler	65	65	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.58	-8	9	-17	16.5	17.0	-0.52	14.5	16.4	-1.91
J.R. Smith	65	66	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.35	-1	2	-3	17.0	15.8	1.20	14.4	16.7	-2.34
Kurt Thomas	27	26	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.08	9	-8	17	16.4	16.7	-0.36	16.4	14.5	1.91
Chris Copeland	35	34	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.12	-1	2	-3	16.5	16.7	-0.23	16.3	14.3	2.03
Pablo Prigioni	22	22	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.03	2	-1	3	16.6	16.6	0.01	17.8	14.1	3.69
Ronnie Brewer	37	36	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.08	-4	5	-9	15.3	17.6	-2.29	14.7	15.2	-0.45

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.62,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.69,0.66,0.64,0.56,0.54,0.62,0.72,0.8,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.71,0.75,0.63,0.73,0.6,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.86,0.82,0.74,0.91,0.87,0.81,0.96,0.94,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 92, LAC 100	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.43,0.48,0.53,0.49,0.58,0.6,0.68,0.66,0.61,0.54,0.61,0.59,0.58,0.66,0.72,0.75,0.67,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.76,0.74,0.75,0.66,0.62,0.71,0.76,0.85,0.83,0.85,0.9,0.89,0.93,1,1,1	93.6%
MIN 102, POR 107	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.37,0.38,0.42,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.59,0.56,0.64,0.66,0.58,0.59,0.7,0.6,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.71,0.68,0.69,0.73,0.71,0.68,0.66,0.74,0.7,0.76,0.73,0.89,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.85,0.94,0.96,1	93.5%
CLE 88, UTA 95	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.39,0.39,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.53,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.67,0.66,0.79,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.82,0.75,0.69,0.73,0.56,0.64,0.7,0.7,0.75,0.8,0.81,0.83,0.91,0.95,0.86,0.92,0.97,1,1	93.2%